PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Belgium W vs USA W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-87
23-23 15-23 15-14 21-27
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game72.8
Belgium W
vs
USA W 🏆
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game60.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Belgium W v USA W
01 Aug 2024
BELG74
USA 87
11 Feb 2022
BELG75
USA 84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Italy W
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
93-53
93
53
+40
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 84
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 84
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 84
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 84
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 84
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 84
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
17-17
11-15
18-10
28-8
21-23
22-14
22-8
18-8
26-22
10-16
13-17
13-17
12-15
18-16
21-10
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
144.1Avg total
81.7Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.872.8153.5+8.050%
Season at home (2)87.563.5151.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)81.762.4144.1+19.370%
Last 5 (5)91.863.8155.6+28.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.782.2150.8-13.50%
vs Similar (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker (23)86.359.0145.3+27.383%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Argentina W
#7
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
no box
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
no box
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
no box
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 95
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
100-46
100
46
+54
105avg 95
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
101-39
101
39
+62
103avg 95
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 95
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
14-11
16-11
16-16
12-15
13-20
14-14
15-18
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
16-14
21-21
10-25
11-9
15-19
19-24
23-23
24-13
19-13
32-7
24-15
25-11
29-15
21-8
26-9
25-7
22-15
28-24
29-18
23-19
139.0Avg total
80.2Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.060.0156.0+36.0100%
Season at home (2)91.577.5169.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)100.542.5143.0+58.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.258.8139.0+21.480%
Last 5 (5)88.461.8150.2+26.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.659.8149.4+29.9100%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
Belgium WUSA W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy W
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
71.8Avg total
39.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.832.273.0+8.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.574.0+11.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.132.972.0+6.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.071.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.473.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.040.875.8-5.817%-
vs Similar (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (23)42.330.172.5+12.274%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentina W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Belgium W
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
72.2Avg total
42.2Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.230.475.6+14.987%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.231.876.0+12.480%-
Last 30 away (15)46.328.975.2+17.393%-
Last 10 (10)42.230.072.2+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.432.076.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.066.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.530.176.6+16.489%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.7 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.727.3
61.2%
45.1%54.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.8%
30.1%24.5
🏀 Free throws10.57.0
66.7%
74.5%7.0
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.422.0
46.4%
45.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.1
30.5%
30.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.916.9
73.8%
74.5%16.9
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium W
LWWLWLWWWW
USA W
WWWWLWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
+28.8
Net rating
+27.8
110.4
Offensive rating
105.7
81.5
Defensive rating
77.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
46.2%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
38.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
43.7%
0.15
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
30.5%
79.3%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 105.7Defence81.5 · 77.9Shooting55.6% · 46.2%3-point %30.8% · 30.5%Ball care18.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.5% · 43.7%Free throws0.15 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Belgium W   ■ USA W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium W wins
3
USA W wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24USA W v Belgium W81-79
22/09/22USA W v Belgium W87-72
11/02/22Belgium W v USA W75-84
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
25/06/23ASpain W64-58
24/06/23HFrance W67-63
22/06/23HSerbia W93-53
18/06/23HItaly W72-64
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24HJapan W102-76
11/02/24ASenegal W101-39
09/02/24ANigeria W100-46
08/02/24HBelgium W81-79
10/07/23ABrazil W58-69
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44
04/07/23HBrazil W54-67
02/07/23AArgentina W65-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.887.574.0
Allowed / game72.863.582.0
Point differential+8.0+24.0-8.0
Avg total153.5151.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USA W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.091.5100.5
Allowed / game60.077.542.5
Point differential+36.0+14.0+58.0
Avg total156.0169.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W440100%96.060.0+36.0
2 France W550100%82.847.4+35.4
3 Australia W54180%70.464.0+6.4
4 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
5 Spain W54180%72.272.8-0.6
6 Serbia W53260%70.065.4+4.6
7 Belgium W42250%80.872.8+8.0
8 Canada W84450%68.963.2+5.6
9 China W52340%79.473.8+5.6
10 Japan W52340%77.483.0-5.6
11 Nigeria W52340%61.676.0-14.4
12 Puerto Rico W83538%63.574.2-10.8
13 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W2315152174
USA W2323142787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.