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Bellarmine vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-86
42-47 40-39
Position#362
Record3-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#243
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A05/11
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-100
68
100
-32
A20/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Midway
#572
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A30/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A05/12
NCAA
Brescia
#599
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-45
27-39
29-43
42-33
31-30
38-41
34-34
28-49
27-48
41-52
34-29
46-39
54-27
47-33
31-34
39-52
43-43
31-43
36-29
58-37
153.4Avg total
75.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.478.0153.4-2.630%
Season at home (5)83.068.2151.2+14.860%
Season away (5)67.887.8155.6-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.478.0153.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)83.873.2157.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.581.7151.2-12.214%
vs Similar (6)67.371.3138.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (2)97.563.0160.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A05/11
NCAA
Franklin
#451
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
44-45
27-27
39-44
44-28
43-32
26-41
43-36
39-36
45-58
27-32
32-38
29-36
34-25
46-31
48-26
33-30
27-43
41-39
28-43
144.6Avg total
72.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.371.7144.0+0.733%
Season at home (5)76.870.8147.6+6.040%
Season away (4)66.872.8139.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)72.172.5144.6-0.430%
Last 5 (5)69.068.6137.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.082.2156.2-8.20%
vs Similar (12)69.878.0147.8-8.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)72.867.0139.8+5.854%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -0.7-0.7
BellarmineBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A05/11
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Midway
#572
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A30/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A05/12
NCAA
Brescia
#599
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.471.3-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.233.768.9+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)34.638.873.3-4.219%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.271.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.472.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.937.871.7-3.927%-
vs Similar (6)35.034.069.0+1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/11
NCAA
Franklin
#451
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H21/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.165.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.931.665.6+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)31.834.366.1-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.567.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.037.070.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (12)31.136.467.5-5.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.529.262.6+4.362%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bellarmine wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Ball State v Bellarmine67-58
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HBrescia94-66
05/12/24AWestern Carolina74-86
30/11/24ANorthern Kentucky70-86
26/11/24HMidway101-60
23/11/24HBowling Green80-68
20/11/24ALouisville68-100
17/11/24AMarshall62-83
13/11/24HSouthern Indiana69-71
09/11/24HVMI71-76
05/11/24AVCU Rams65-84
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ASiu Edwardsville69-82
27/11/24HRichmond Spiders60-73
26/11/24HFlorida Tech94-57
25/11/24AEastern Kentucky63-61
21/11/24HDetroit59-70
16/11/24HIndiana State84-94
14/11/24ADayton69-77
08/11/24HFranklin87-60
05/11/24AGeorgia State66-71
09/03/24ABowling Green70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bellarmine
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game75.483.067.8
Allowed / game78.068.287.8
Point differential-2.6+14.8-20.0
Avg total153.4151.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game72.376.866.8
Allowed / game71.770.872.8
Point differential+0.7+6.0-6.0
Avg total144.0147.6139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama117464%78.371.4+6.9
2 North Florida106460%88.582.0+6.5
3 Lipscomb106460%74.067.9+6.1
4 Queens Royals116555%75.573.5+1.9
5 Eastern Kentucky105550%76.374.3+2.0
6 Austin Peay94544%64.470.8-6.3
7 Bellarmine103730%75.478.0-2.6
8 Florida Gulf Coast103730%65.468.3-2.9
9 Central Arkansas92722%72.276.9-4.7
10 Stetson91811%73.382.4-9.1
11 West Georgia111109%65.479.4-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State97278%68.360.6+7.8
2 Akron86275%85.872.4+13.4
3 Central Michigan85362%79.667.5+12.1
4 Miami (Ohio)85362%71.971.8+0.1
5 Toledo106460%81.277.3+3.9
6 Eastern Michigan95456%69.071.4-2.4
7 Buffalo105550%76.178.2-2.1
8 Bowling Green94544%78.873.2+5.6
9 Ohio94544%78.779.7-1.0
10 UMass114736%75.374.7+0.5
11 Western Michigan93633%72.070.6+1.4
12 Ball State93633%72.371.7+0.7
13 Northern Illinois103730%69.676.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bellarmine424082
Ball State473986
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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