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Dayton vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-69
41-26 36-43
Position#62
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game61.5
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#243
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
34-44
40-21
40-45
35-32
37-45
49-35
51-48
31-38
39-32
28-30
29-35
25-34
38-26
33-40
35-38
40-28
47-29
24-32
47-34
146.5Avg total
75.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.061.5140.5+17.5100%
Season at home (2)79.061.5140.5+17.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.670.9146.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.078.0146.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.167.4139.4+4.772%
vs Weaker (11)81.762.7144.5+19.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A05/11
NCAA
Franklin
#451
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
29-31
29-30
30-50
27-31
43-32
27-26
29-32
38-31
41-40
26-32
39-33
37-32
39-37
26-35
44-45
27-27
39-44
44-28
43-32
139.7Avg total
69.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.565.5142.0+11.050%
Season at home (1)87.060.0147.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)69.969.8139.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.071.6146.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.782.3158.0-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.878.6148.5-8.818%
vs Weaker (15)72.366.7139.0+5.767%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.0+0.0
DaytonBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H10/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.429.563.9+4.959%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.529.865.4+5.759%-
Last 30 away (12)32.829.061.8+3.858%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.765.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.862.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.631.061.6-0.441%-
vs Weaker (11)40.426.266.5+14.291%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/11
NCAA
Franklin
#451
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H08/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
31.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.466.1-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.632.266.8+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)31.234.465.6-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.962.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.862.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.336.366.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.137.669.7-5.518%-
vs Weaker (15)33.030.063.0+3.053%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HNorthwestern71-66
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)87-57
23/03/24AArizona68-78
21/03/24HNevada63-60
14/03/24HDuquesne57-65
09/03/24HVCU Rams91-86 OT
06/03/24ASt. Louis Billikens100-83
02/03/24ALoyola Chicago72-77
28/02/24HDavidson80-66
22/02/24AGeorge Mason67-71
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HFranklin87-60
05/11/24AGeorgia State66-71
09/03/24ABowling Green70-80
06/03/24HKent State76-69
02/03/24HWestern Michigan76-78 OT
28/02/24ACentral Michigan79-71
24/02/24HEastern Michigan56-58
21/02/24ANorthern Illinois70-63
17/02/24AMiami (Ohio)59-80
10/02/24ATexas State60-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game61.561.5-
Point differential+17.5+17.5-
Avg total140.5140.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.587.066.0
Allowed / game65.560.071.0
Point differential+11.0+27.0-5.0
Avg total142.0147.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rhode Island330100%97.369.3+28.0
2 Loyola Chicago330100%90.363.3+27.0
3 Davidson220100%89.566.0+23.5
4 VCU Rams220100%82.060.0+22.0
5 Dayton220100%79.061.5+17.5
6 George Washington330100%81.064.3+16.7
7 La Salle330100%79.763.0+16.7
8 St. Bonaventure220100%78.567.0+11.5
9 George Mason32167%77.365.3+12.0
10 Saint Josephs Hawks32167%73.370.7+2.7
11 Fordham32167%65.070.3-5.3
12 St. Louis Billikens21150%86.564.5+22.0
13 Richmond Spiders21150%86.573.5+13.0
14 Duquesne2020%70.076.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State220100%84.059.5+24.5
2 Northern Illinois32167%83.061.0+22.0
3 Miami (Ohio)32167%77.771.3+6.3
4 Buffalo32167%82.382.0+0.3
5 Ball State21150%76.565.5+11.0
6 Eastern Michigan21150%63.561.0+2.5
7 Toledo21150%82.082.0+0.0
8 Bowling Green31233%86.770.3+16.3
9 Western Michigan31233%69.063.7+5.3
10 UMass31233%79.375.0+4.3
11 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
12 Central Michigan31233%69.371.0-1.7
13 Ohio31233%78.383.0-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton413677
Ball State264369
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