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Bowling Green vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-70
35-26 45-44
Position#127
Record18-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#226
Record15-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bowling Green v Ball State
12 Jan 2027
BOWL v BALL
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
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BALL52
01 Mar 2025
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BALL52
08 Mar 2024
BOWL80
BALL70
31 Jan 2023
BOWL60
BALL69
19 Feb 2022
BOWL82
BALL91
12 Jan 2021
BOWL64
BALL88
28 Jan 2020
BOWL67
BALL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#226
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
48-41
32-35
30-27
34-26
53-47
30-41
30-45
24-33
36-36
17-28
39-28
39-38
37-30
28-25
30-41
28-28
31-38
31-29
42-36
139.4Avg total
69.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.071.3145.3+2.860%
Season at home (18)78.470.5148.9+7.972%
Season away (12)67.472.4139.8-5.042%
Last 10 (10)69.070.4139.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)65.265.4130.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.775.7145.3-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.972.5145.4+0.554%
vs Weaker (12)74.071.8145.8+2.267%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
41-48
39-22
38-45
27-36
45-36
31-37
29-31
29-30
30-50
27-31
43-32
27-26
29-32
38-31
41-40
26-32
39-33
37-32
39-37
142.3Avg total
70.4Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.770.7144.3+3.050%
Season at home (16)77.868.7146.4+9.156%
Season away (14)69.072.9141.9-3.943%
Last 10 (10)70.471.9142.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)71.467.8139.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.782.3158.0-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.878.5148.3-8.720%
vs Weaker (17)75.664.0139.6+11.676%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
Bowling GreenBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#226
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
17-28
17
28
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A06/03
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.664.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.030.964.9+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)30.232.762.9-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.461.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.658.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.733.068.7+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.332.566.8+1.854%-
vs Weaker (12)29.631.861.3-2.242%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H06/03
NCAA
62.2Avg total
31.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.766.5+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.430.866.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)31.934.966.7-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.062.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.461.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.336.366.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.737.970.6-5.220%-
vs Weaker (17)35.029.064.0+6.065%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bowling Green wins
5
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AWestern Michigan73-65
01/03/24AOhio59-66
28/02/24HMiami (Ohio)58-66
24/02/24HToledo76-68
21/02/24ACentral Michigan60-62 OT
17/02/24AEastern Michigan60-69
11/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette60-86
07/02/24HBuffalo87-73
03/02/24HCentral Michigan76-77 OT
31/01/24ABall State81-72
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HKent State76-69
02/03/24HWestern Michigan76-78 OT
28/02/24ACentral Michigan79-71
24/02/24HEastern Michigan56-58
21/02/24ANorthern Illinois70-63
17/02/24AMiami (Ohio)59-80
10/02/24ATexas State60-68
07/02/24HOhio79-84 OT
03/02/24AWestern Michigan77-67
31/01/24HBowling Green72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeLLWWL72%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %60%72%42%
Points / game74.078.467.4
Allowed / game71.370.572.4
Point differential+2.8+7.9-5.0
Avg total145.3148.9139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%39%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %13%17%8%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %50%56%43%
Points / game73.777.869.0
Allowed / game70.768.772.9
Point differential+3.0+9.1-3.9
Avg total144.3146.4141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%19%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron31211068%74.766.2+8.5
2 UMass30201067%78.170.7+7.4
3 Toledo30191163%80.576.6+3.9
4 Ohio30181260%77.871.0+6.8
5 Bowling Green30181260%74.071.3+2.8
6 Central Michigan30171357%66.970.5-3.6
7 Miami (Ohio)29151452%71.569.7+1.8
8 Kent State30151550%75.771.9+3.8
9 Ball State30151550%73.770.7+3.0
10 Eastern Michigan30131743%66.272.9-6.7
11 Western Michigan31121939%71.874.6-2.8
12 Northern Illinois30102033%73.077.7-4.7
13 Buffalo3042613%68.079.8-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green354580
Ball State264470
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