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Bendigo Braves vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 90-79
21-11 23-18 25-28 21-22
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game83.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Frankston
11 May 2024
BEND90
FRAN79
01 Apr 2023
BEND87
FRAN101
19 Jun 2022
BEND89
FRAN73
23 Apr 2021
BEND73
FRAN94
18 Apr 2019
BEND88
FRAN73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A03/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H06/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A12/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H21/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
61-111
61
111
-50
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H28/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
75-110
75
110
-35
A04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H05/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
17-27
17-26
15-24
20-20
18-22
22-22
26-33
17-12
30-23
26-24
17-14
23-24
28-11
21-24
16-22
11-19
29-22
16-19
25-19
20-16
18-21
18-13
17-23
14-24
14-27
14-38
19-22
20-14
24-19
10-33
23-23
25-22
25-27
15-25
10-36
19-23
15-18
17-23
24-26
167.7Avg total
77.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.090.1169.1-11.133%
Season at home (5)76.288.8165.0-12.620%
Season away (4)82.591.8174.2-9.250%
Last 10 (10)77.090.7167.7-13.730%
Last 5 (5)73.296.2169.4-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)84.894.8179.7-10.039%
vs Similar (7)81.385.3166.6-4.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
H22/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H29/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H05/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A13/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
101-76
101
76
+25
A04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
20-27
18-14
16-26
25-24
26-17
18-34
22-20
38-21
23-34
32-18
22-25
29-21
27-22
25-33
23-15
24-23
25-19
24-18
19-14
38-19
14-26
17-23
18-25
18-12
22-21
15-13
9-21
29-26
23-26
17-12
26-14
22-18
16-25
22-19
20-26
22-19
23-28
24-18
32-11
178.2Avg total
92.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.283.1175.4+9.162%
Season at home (4)101.585.2186.8+16.2100%
Season away (4)83.081.0164.0+2.025%
Last 10 (10)92.585.7178.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)85.480.4165.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (7)95.790.7186.4+5.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.483.3175.7+9.068%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Bendigo BravesFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A12/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/05
NBL1 South
80.7Avg total
39.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.888.5-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.687.1-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.048.090.0-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.080.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.747.189.9-4.439%-
vs Similar (7)42.741.484.1+1.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H05/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A13/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/05
NBL1 South
93.9Avg total
49.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.142.890.0+4.366%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.745.294.9+4.569%-
Last 30 away (13)44.039.983.9+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)49.444.593.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.089.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)49.943.493.3+6.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.043.089.9+4.062%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bendigo Braves wins
3
Frankston wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HMt Gambier75-90
04/05/24AWaverley75-110
28/04/24HRingwood77-89
27/04/24HSandringham Sabres61-111
21/04/24HNunawading78-81 OT
14/04/24ACasey Cavaliers81-79
12/04/24AGeelong88-81
06/04/24HWaverley90-73
03/04/24ABallarat86-97
16/07/23AKnox59-96
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24ANW Tasmania101-76
03/05/24AHobart Chargers80-88
24/04/24HDandenong95-78
20/04/24AGeelong64-67
13/04/24AMt Gambier87-93
11/04/24HDiamond Valley92-74
07/04/24HEltham104-91
05/04/24HKeilor Thunder115-98
29/07/23HDiamond Valley91-95
22/07/23HMt Gambier96-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game79.076.282.5
Allowed / game90.188.891.8
Point differential-11.1-12.6-9.2
Avg total169.1165.0174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game92.2101.583.0
Allowed / game83.185.281.0
Point differential+9.1+16.2+2.0
Avg total175.4186.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
2 Knox75271%98.081.1+16.9
3 Ballarat75271%98.486.0+12.4
4 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
5 Frankston85362%92.283.1+9.1
6 Dandenong106460%84.881.1+3.7
7 Ringwood106460%87.287.6-0.4
8 Eltham74357%91.180.1+11.0
9 Waverley95456%90.684.4+6.1
10 Nunawading95456%84.783.9+0.8
11 Keilor Thunder95456%94.7100.7-6.0
12 Sandringham Sabres84450%92.882.6+10.1
13 NW Tasmania83538%83.991.8-7.9
14 Melbourne Tigers93633%76.884.8-8.0
15 Bendigo Braves93633%79.090.1-11.1
16 Geelong72529%78.684.0-5.4
17 Casey Cavaliers82625%81.887.2-5.5
18 Kilsyth82625%79.494.8-15.4
19 Diamond Valley71614%82.199.0-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves2123252190
Frankston1118282279
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