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NW Tasmania vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 76-101
19-22 28-23 18-24 11-32
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Frankston
04 May 2024
NW T76
FRAN101
03 Jun 2023
NW T69
FRAN76
31 Mar 2017
NW T86
FRAN79
30 Apr 2016
NW T85
FRAN71
15 Aug 2015
NW T92
FRAN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H07/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A14/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
14-28
22-22
15-13
28-27
18-20
18-18
16-16
19-23
12-18
29-13
8-22
23-17
16-18
26-15
20-11
18-29
23-25
21-24
15-19
15-24
27-27
16-32
13-18
28-19
16-26
25-27
15-19
30-32
22-24
23-28
21-21
29-26
31-27
17-23
21-19
22-23
23-21
19-24
20-15
170.2Avg total
82.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.090.4175.4-5.443%
Season at home (5)83.087.4170.4-4.460%
Season away (2)90.098.0188.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.088.2170.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)86.695.0181.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.988.3167.2-9.425%
vs Similar (5)95.692.6188.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H15/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
H22/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H29/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H05/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A13/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
24-25
32-21
23-24
30-17
20-27
18-14
16-26
25-24
26-17
18-34
22-20
38-21
23-34
32-18
22-25
29-21
27-22
25-33
23-15
24-23
25-19
24-18
19-14
38-19
14-26
17-23
18-25
18-12
22-21
15-13
9-21
29-26
23-26
17-12
26-14
22-18
16-25
22-19
20-26
179.4Avg total
92.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.084.1175.1+6.957%
Season at home (4)101.585.2186.8+16.2100%
Season away (3)77.082.7159.7-5.70%
Last 10 (10)92.387.1179.4+5.250%
Last 5 (5)83.680.0163.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)96.589.1185.6+7.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.083.7175.6+8.367%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
NW TasmaniaFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H07/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A14/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H12/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H13/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A21/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
92.3Avg total
44.0Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.646.488.0-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.944.785.6-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.448.490.7-6.036%-
Last 10 (10)44.048.392.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.649.898.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.545.785.2-6.229%-
vs Similar (5)51.250.2101.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H05/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A13/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H24/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/05
NBL1 South
93.6Avg total
49.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.642.690.2+5.069%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.745.294.9+4.569%-
Last 30 away (13)45.039.584.5+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)49.344.393.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.089.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)50.943.194.0+7.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.042.889.8+4.365%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
NW Tasmania wins
5
Frankston wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HCasey Cavaliers84-83
26/04/24HBallarat98-95
21/04/24AKeilor Thunder96-105
19/04/24AMt Gambier84-91
13/04/24HDandenong71-101
12/04/24HWaverley77-97
06/04/24HHobart Chargers85-61
14/07/23AHobart Chargers68-76
08/07/23HMt Gambier80-81
07/07/23HKeilor Thunder77-92
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24AHobart Chargers80-88
24/04/24HDandenong95-78
20/04/24AGeelong64-67
13/04/24AMt Gambier87-93
11/04/24HDiamond Valley92-74
07/04/24HEltham104-91
05/04/24HKeilor Thunder115-98
29/07/23HDiamond Valley91-95
22/07/23HMt Gambier96-97 OT
15/07/23HSandringham Sabres99-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game85.083.090.0
Allowed / game90.487.498.0
Point differential-5.4-4.4-8.0
Avg total175.4170.4188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game91.0101.577.0
Allowed / game84.185.282.7
Point differential+6.9+16.2-5.7
Avg total175.1186.8159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nunawading75271%85.181.1+4.0
2 Mt Gambier75271%88.385.0+3.3
3 Knox64267%96.580.8+15.7
4 Eltham64267%93.579.2+14.3
5 Ballarat64267%96.086.5+9.5
6 Hobart Chargers85362%81.480.5+0.9
7 Keilor Thunder85362%96.199.1-3.0
8 Frankston74357%91.084.1+6.9
9 Dandenong95456%83.180.1+3.0
10 Ringwood95456%87.388.8-1.4
11 Sandringham Sabres84450%92.882.6+10.1
12 Waverley84450%88.185.6+2.5
13 NW Tasmania73443%85.090.4-5.4
14 Bendigo Braves73443%80.187.3-7.1
15 Melbourne Tigers83538%78.585.2-6.8
16 Geelong62433%80.284.2-4.0
17 Casey Cavaliers72529%81.684.4-2.9
18 Kilsyth61517%77.098.2-21.2
19 Diamond Valley6060%80.7100.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania1928181176
Frankston22232432101
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