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Bendigo Braves vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2019
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 96-80
31-22 19-22 29-17 17-19
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.8
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Geelong
27 May 2023
BEND109
GEEL97
01 May 2022
BEND73
GEEL90
12 May 2019
BEND96
GEEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A31/03
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H05/04
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A06/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A13/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H18/04
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H27/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H03/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
19-18
20-17
8-14
14-19
24-20
17-22
17-26
15-30
29-17
21-23
21-24
28-27
19-23
18-31
25-19
21-23
21-19
22-13
24-18
21-29
30-13
18-22
24-12
22-23
20-17
23-16
24-17
166.1Avg total
84.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.481.7166.1+2.757%
Season at home (4)85.577.2162.8+8.275%
Season away (3)83.087.7170.7-4.733%
Last 10 (7)84.481.7166.1+2.757%
Last 5 (5)89.283.2172.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.094.0180.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.780.7164.3+3.067%
vs Weaker (3)84.778.7163.3+6.067%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H13/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
65-107
65
107
-42
A19/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H29/03
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H06/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A12/04
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H20/04
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A25/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A05/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
104-103
104
103
+1
H11/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
16-19
25-12
19-22
23-29
11-24
18-22
13-32
21-32
16-28
18-16
15-17
30-17
9-22
26-18
23-15
18-25
16-6
19-19
19-27
26-19
26-17
32-15
19-21
21-27
10-18
26-9
16-18
23-28
25-26
17-24
13-17
34-17
21-19
12-12
25-14
24-22
30-24
24-23
26-34
165.9Avg total
83.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.080.8165.8+4.262%
Season at home (5)88.687.0175.6+1.660%
Season away (3)79.070.3149.3+8.767%
Last 10 (10)83.382.6165.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)90.080.8170.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.292.4171.6-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.489.0174.4-3.657%
vs Weaker (18)90.178.6168.7+11.683%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
Bendigo BravesGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/03
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/04
NBL 1
Ballarat
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A06/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A13/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/04
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/05
NBL 1
86.7Avg total
44.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)44.142.686.7+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (4)43.240.884.0+2.550%-
Last 30 away (3)45.345.090.3+0.333%-
Last 10 (7)44.142.686.7+1.643%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.047.091.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.743.388.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker (3)43.740.384.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H29/03
NBL 1
Knox
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/04
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H20/04
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/04
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H27/04
NBL 1
Waverley
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A05/05
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H11/05
NBL 1
86.7Avg total
42.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.287.8+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.186.3+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)43.945.389.2-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.986.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.491.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.250.485.6-15.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.447.993.3-2.443%-
vs Weaker (18)46.839.486.2+7.483%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bendigo Braves wins
0
Geelong wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/19HHobart Huskies89-73
27/04/19HNW Tasmania93-76
18/04/19HFrankston88-73
13/04/19AKilsyth90-100
06/04/19ABallarat86-94
05/04/19HBA CoE72-87
31/03/19AMelbourne Tigers73-69
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/19HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-103
05/05/19AWaverley92-62
27/04/19HKilsyth78-95
25/04/19ABA CoE73-72
20/04/19HEltham103-72
12/04/19AFrankston72-77
06/04/19HKnox88-72
29/03/19HNunawading70-93
19/08/17ANunawading65-107
13/08/17HSouthern Sabres88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.485.583.0
Allowed / game81.777.287.7
Point differential+2.7+8.2-4.7
Avg total166.1162.8170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.088.679.0
Allowed / game80.887.070.3
Point differential+4.2+1.6+8.7
Avg total165.8175.6149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat660100%95.274.7+20.5
2 Kilsyth86275%88.183.4+4.8
3 Nunawading85362%90.982.2+8.6
4 Geelong85362%85.080.8+4.2
5 Bendigo Braves74357%84.481.7+2.7
6 Waverley74357%90.391.9-1.6
7 Dandenong95456%89.383.8+5.6
8 BA CoE84450%86.585.8+0.8
9 Frankston84450%86.186.5-0.4
10 Albury-Wodonga Bandits63350%94.097.0-3.0
11 Melbourne Tigers84450%83.486.4-3.0
12 NW Tasmania84450%92.595.8-3.2
13 Knox73443%78.779.1-0.4
14 Hobart Huskies83538%89.492.8-3.4
15 Ringwood72529%91.997.3-5.4
16 Diamond Valley72529%82.489.4-7.0
17 Eltham82625%88.095.1-7.1
18 Southern Sabres82625%88.699.0-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves3119291796
Geelong2222171980
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