Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 107-65

29-23 24-11 22-18 32-13

Position#3

Record17-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game82.2

Nunawading 🏆

Geelong

Position#4

Record17-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game81.1

SEABLSEABL - Quarter-finals

Other2017

Meetings · Nunawading v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nunawading winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

91-82

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

93-96

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

97-80

+17

A01/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-92

-11

A07/07

SEABL

Dandenong

75-87

-12

A15/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

96-86

+10

H22/07

SEABL

Geelong

76-96

-20

A28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

79-63

+16

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

87-69

+18

H05/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-92

-11

A11/08

SEABL

19-24

33-17

19-21

20-20

35-21

15-27

19-22

24-26

25-23

22-18

28-17

22-22

19-23

18-24

21-20

23-25

23-19

20-24

17-17

15-27

17-19

32-22

26-27

21-18

23-27

19-20

11-27

23-22

18-12

18-15

22-17

21-19

22-11

25-25

17-11

23-22

22-27

20-22

19-23

20-20

169.9Avg total

85.6Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	88.2	82.2	170.4	+6.0	68%
Season at home (12)	88.3	76.9	165.2	+11.4	83%
Season away (13)	88.1	87.0	175.1	+1.1	54%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	84.3	169.9	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	81.2	165.0	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.5	84.5	163.0	-6.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.1	82.3	166.4	+1.9	57%
vs Weaker (17)	91.9	80.2	172.1	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

88-93

-5

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-85

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

84-107

107

-23

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

79-62

+17

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

100-72

100

+28

H15/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

86-84

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

96-76

+20

H28/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

109-84

109

+25

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

88-73

+15

H13/08

SEABL

27-41

21-35

19-6

27-22

18-23

12-22

31-29

27-19

26-15

24-15

15-30

27-25

22-25

18-37

28-23

16-22

15-13

21-18

20-21

23-10

18-20

28-15

23-16

31-21

20-17

24-15

21-27

21-25

27-23

20-19

27-11

22-23

29-16

28-22

26-27

26-19

28-20

16-19

25-12

19-22

175.6Avg total

91.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	88.2	81.1	169.3	+7.0	68%
Season at home (13)	88.3	76.4	164.7	+11.9	77%
Season away (12)	88.0	86.2	174.2	+1.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	84.0	175.6	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	77.8	173.6	+18.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.7	97.3	182.0	-12.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	84.2	81.4	165.6	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (22)	92.0	78.7	170.6	+13.3	82%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NunawadingGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.5	42.0	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	20.5	43.6	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	22.8	45.6	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.2	43.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	29.0	48.7	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.0	20.1	44.1	+3.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.8	19.1	43.8	+5.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.2	19.3	43.5	+4.9	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.4	41.9	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	24.7	40.0	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.8	18.8	43.5	+6.0	82%	-

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

52-41

+11

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

50-48

A24/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-41

A01/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

37-47

-10

A07/07

SEABL

Dandenong

43-43

A15/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-41

H22/07

SEABL

Geelong

42-47

-5

A28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

36-27

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-36

+11

H05/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

42-49

-7

A11/08

SEABL

86.5Avg total

44.5Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	39.1	84.5	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	46.0	36.6	82.6	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 away (18)	44.9	40.8	85.8	+4.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.0	86.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.0	83.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.8	38.8	79.7	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	44.0	41.9	85.9	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.5	38.1	85.6	+9.4	100%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

48-76

-28

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-45

-15

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

50-30

+20

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

40-62

-22

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

36-31

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

46-35

+11

H15/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-32

+12

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-42

H28/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

57-38

+19

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-39

H13/08

SEABL

87.2Avg total

44.2Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	41.5	87.6	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.7	38.8	85.5	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.3	44.9	90.2	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	43.0	87.2	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	37.2	84.8	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.0	53.7	88.7	-18.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.0	45.4	86.4	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	48.8	38.9	87.7	+9.9	95%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	22.7	42.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.3	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	19.1	41.4	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.2	43.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	22.0	47.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	15.4	36.8	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.8	21.1	42.8	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.8	83.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.3	40.3	82.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.6	42.8	84.4	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.3	83.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.2	81.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.8	42.8	79.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.1	40.4	80.6	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.4	42.1	86.5	+2.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.5	83.4	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.8	39.0	82.8	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.9	40.2	84.2	+3.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	41.0	88.4	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.6	88.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	49.7	43.7	93.3	+6.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.2	36.0	79.2	+7.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (22)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	59%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nunawading wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
28/07/17	Geelong v Nunawading	96-76
03/06/17	Nunawading v Geelong	73-79
28/05/16	Nunawading v Geelong	86-68
27/06/15	Geelong v Nunawading	94-63
17/05/15	Nunawading v Geelong	94-83

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/08/17	A	Mt Gambier	81-92
05/08/17	H	Canberra	87-69
29/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	79-63
28/07/17	A	Geelong	76-96
22/07/17	H	Albury	96-86
15/07/17	A	Dandenong	75-87
07/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	81-92
01/07/17	A	Canberra	97-80
24/06/17	A	Southern Sabres	93-96
17/06/17	H	Frankston	91-82

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/08/17	H	Southern Sabres	88-73
05/08/17	H	Albury	109-84
28/07/17	H	Nunawading	96-76
21/07/17	H	Southern Sabres	86-84
15/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	100-72
09/07/17	H	Kilsyth	79-62
07/07/17	A	Ballarat	84-107
01/07/17	A	NW Tasmania	92-85
30/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	88-93
23/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nunawading

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	68%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WLLLL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	68%	83%	54%
Points / game	88.2	88.3	88.1
Allowed / game	82.2	76.9	87.0
Point differential	+6.0	+11.4	+1.1
Avg total	170.4	165.2	175.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	75%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	77%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	68%	77%	58%
Points / game	88.2	88.3	88.0
Allowed / game	81.1	76.4	86.2
Point differential	+7.0	+11.9	+1.8
Avg total	169.3	164.7	174.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	62%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (2)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	25	22	3	88%	92.9	79.3	+13.6
2	Dandenong	26	18	8	69%	84.3	80.7	+3.6
3	Geelong	25	17	8	68%	88.2	81.1	+7.0
4	Nunawading	25	17	8	68%	88.2	82.2	+6.0
5	Ballarat	25	17	8	68%	88.3	83.7	+4.6
6	Hobart Chargers	26	16	10	62%	93.4	82.3	+11.1
7	NW Tasmania	25	13	12	52%	83.9	84.0	-0.1
8	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
9	Kilsyth	24	11	13	46%	79.6	81.2	-1.6
10	Southern Sabres	25	11	14	44%	83.2	84.2	-1.0
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	24	7	17	29%	81.1	87.9	-6.8
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8
15	BA CoE	16	2	14	12%	74.8	89.0	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nunawading	29	24	22	32	107
Geelong	23	11	18	13	65

← all games of the day

Nunawading vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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