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Bendigo W vs Geelong United W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-73
25-22 16-15 25-13 29-23
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.7
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Geelong United W
Australia
Position#8
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.7
AustraliaNBL WRound 12· Geelong Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Bendigo W v Geelong United W
19 Jan 2025
BEND95
GEEL73
10 Nov 2024
BEND95
GEEL78
30 Jan 2024
BEND80
GEEL70
08 Jan 2023
BEND79
GEEL88
19 Dec 2021
BEND56
GEEL81
08 Dec 2021
BEND63
GEEL58
05 Dec 2020
BEND52
GEEL84
24 Nov 2019
BEND59
GEEL75
12 Oct 2019
BEND72
GEEL87
29 Dec 2018
BEND67
GEEL71
04 Nov 2017
BEND71
GEEL66
28 Jan 2017
BEND76
GEEL69
09 Jan 2016
BEND81
GEEL74
12 Dec 2015
BEND65
GEEL70
08 Feb 2015
BEND89
GEEL84
29 Nov 2014
BEND70
GEEL73
09 Feb 2014
BEND88
GEEL80
04 Jan 2014
BEND83
GEEL49
05 Jan 2013
BEND84
GEEL67
07 Dec 2011
BEND68
GEEL76
06 Feb 2011
BEND62
GEEL55
05 Dec 2010
BEND70
GEEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong United W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
98-78
98
78
+20
96avg 82
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
64avg 82
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 82
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 82
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 82
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
95-67
95
67
+28
98avg 82
A27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 82
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
92-71
92
71
+21
89avg 82
A02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
78avg 82
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
96avg 82
H15/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-22
25-18
17-12
21-26
17-14
15-21
15-18
25-13
28-16
24-16
13-29
21-19
16-22
22-12
14-17
16-20
20-25
26-20
11-25
31-21
24-13
28-20
25-14
18-20
15-20
22-14
26-18
13-13
31-24
25-17
26-12
10-18
28-21
17-13
24-14
11-14
23-30
22-23
20-17
30-16
158.7Avg total
85.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.373.7160.0+12.688%
Season at home (8)85.674.5160.1+11.188%
Season away (8)87.072.9159.9+14.188%
Last 10 (10)85.073.7158.7+11.380%
Last 5 (5)87.670.2157.8+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)78.878.0156.8+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.773.4161.1+14.389%
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
55-90
55
90
-35
35avg 62
A30/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
69-59
69
59
+10
58avg 62
H08/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
77avg 62
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 62
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
57avg 62
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
36avg 62
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
69-89
69
89
-20
49avg 62
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
64avg 62
A08/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 62
H12/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
81avg 62
H17/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-20
5-25
21-22
14-19
18-7
16-13
21-20
15-28
20-11
27-24
16-15
12-25
20-22
23-21
19-13
19-23
17-22
17-21
18-30
14-24
19-19
14-21
14-21
15-27
20-18
9-23
25-21
9-18
21-18
21-15
25-19
18-23
19-15
16-22
24-20
22-27
24-19
32-16
12-8
153.6Avg total
73.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.580.7153.3-8.240%
Season at home (8)73.875.0148.8-1.250%
Season away (7)71.187.3158.4-16.129%
Last 10 (10)73.080.6153.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)74.678.8153.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.580.7153.3-8.240%
vs Similar (13)76.274.0150.2+2.246%
vs Weaker (2)68.072.0140.0-4.050%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Bendigo WGeelong United W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A27/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A02/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H15/01
NBL W
84.4Avg total
46.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.083.8+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.939.184.0+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)44.838.983.6+5.979%-
Last 10 (10)46.338.184.4+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.086.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)41.538.980.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.139.086.1+8.178%-
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A30/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H08/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H17/01
NBL W
75.3Avg total
34.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.877.3-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.839.977.6-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.976.9-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.540.875.3-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.677.8-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.477.7-7.113%-
vs Similar (13)37.538.375.8-0.854%-
vs Weaker (2)38.545.083.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.3
50.1%
46.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
32.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.413.0
84.4%
75.1%13.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geelong United Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong United W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.821.3
41.1%
46.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.9
24.3%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
75.1%11.9
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
WWWWWLLWWW
Geelong United W
WLWLLLLWWL
#1
League position
#8
+15.0
Net rating
-9.2
108.7
Offensive rating
87.0
93.7
Defensive rating
96.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
39.6%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.7%
3-point %
24.3%
64.5%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 87.0Defence93.7 · 96.1Shooting51.6% · 39.6%3-point %35.7% · 24.3%Ball care15.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds26.3% · 33.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Geelong United W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bendigo W wins
4
Geelong United W wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Bendigo W v Geelong United W95-78
30/01/24Bendigo W v Geelong United W80-70
30/12/23Geelong United W v Bendigo W78-81
19/11/23Geelong United W v Bendigo W76-74
05/02/23Geelong United W v Bendigo W115-72
22/01/23Geelong United W v Bendigo W76-81
08/01/23Bendigo W v Geelong United W79-88
06/03/22Geelong United W v Bendigo W65-68
19/12/21Bendigo W v Geelong United W56-81
08/12/21Bendigo W v Geelong United W63-58
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HPerth Lynx W95-86
12/01/25HSydney W80-62
02/01/25ASydney W92-71
31/12/24ATownsville W76-65
27/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W95-67
22/12/24ASouthside W88-91
19/12/24HPerth Lynx W68-71
14/12/24HTownsville W86-80
05/12/24APerth Lynx W72-66
30/11/24HCanberra Capitals W98-78
Geelong United Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HSydney W90-70
12/01/25HPerth Lynx W77-80
08/01/25ASouthside W76-70
05/01/25ACanberra Capitals W69-89
29/12/24ATownsville W61-85
23/12/24APerth Lynx W71-96
14/12/24HSydney W74-81
11/12/24ASouthside W88-86 OT
08/12/24HAdelaide Lightning W69-59
30/11/24ASydney W55-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game86.385.687.0
Allowed / game73.774.572.9
Point differential+12.6+11.1+14.1
Avg total160.0160.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong United W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game72.573.871.1
Allowed / game80.775.087.3
Point differential-8.2-1.2-16.1
Avg total153.3148.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1614288%86.373.7+12.6
2 Perth Lynx W1713476%86.378.6+7.6
3 Townsville W1510567%79.471.8+7.6
4 Sydney W156940%77.981.4-3.5
5 Geelong United W156940%72.580.7-8.2
6 Adelaide Lightning W1651131%72.276.8-4.6
7 Canberra Capitals W1651131%77.285.6-8.4
8 Southside W1641225%80.484.3-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2516252995
Geelong United W2215132373
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