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Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 67-95
13-24 20-28 14-25 20-18
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game70.5
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game75.3
AustraliaNBL WRound 9· Adelaide Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W
18 Nov 2025
ADEL74
BEND82
27 Dec 2024
ADEL67
BEND95
02 Dec 2023
ADEL65
BEND70
14 Jan 2023
ADEL68
BEND86
28 Dec 2022
ADEL66
BEND78
05 Feb 2022
ADEL62
BEND74
09 Dec 2020
ADEL69
BEND59
15 Dec 2019
ADEL91
BEND75
09 Nov 2019
ADEL105
BEND77
28 Oct 2018
ADEL91
BEND63
29 Dec 2017
ADEL87
BEND74
21 Oct 2017
ADEL79
BEND75
19 Nov 2016
ADEL51
BEND74
29 Nov 2015
ADEL73
BEND89
01 Nov 2015
ADEL76
BEND68
09 Nov 2014
ADEL33
BEND76
22 Nov 2013
ADEL76
BEND84
03 Feb 2013
ADEL86
BEND66
05 Oct 2012
ADEL71
BEND73
20 Jan 2012
ADEL70
BEND54
12 Dec 2010
ADEL69
BEND76
07 Nov 2010
ADEL79
BEND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
57avg 65
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 65
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
72avg 65
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
41avg 65
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 65
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 65
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
59-69
59
69
-10
54avg 65
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 65
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 65
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 65
A22/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
18-28
18-18
14-21
18-13
17-19
22-15
7-17
20-11
18-12
16-17
24-14
18-9
22-11
2-16
5-17
19-22
21-20
21-8
7-19
28-17
18-17
23-11
28-26
19-14
7-18
13-16
20-21
17-15
22-13
19-19
10-20
24-19
23-23
21-20
14-10
18-25
13-18
21-19
34-11
142.1Avg total
72.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.670.5143.2+2.145%
Season at home (5)74.870.8145.6+4.060%
Season away (6)70.870.3141.2+0.533%
Last 10 (10)72.969.2142.1+3.750%
Last 5 (5)78.470.4148.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.772.3140.0-4.533%
vs Similar (11)78.475.6154.0+2.755%
vs Weaker (4)70.573.5144.0-3.025%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
99-76
99
76
+23
94avg 79
A08/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
93avg 79
H10/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
83avg 79
A13/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 79
A16/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 79
H24/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
98-78
98
78
+20
96avg 79
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
72-66
72
66
+6
64avg 79
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 79
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 79
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 79
A22/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
25-19
25-14
21-21
31-14
26-14
22-23
16-27
29-18
27-18
19-17
15-18
28-20
15-22
21-20
20-14
16-18
11-24
24-20
28-9
35-22
25-18
17-12
21-26
17-14
15-21
15-18
25-13
28-16
24-16
13-29
21-19
16-22
22-12
14-17
16-20
20-25
26-20
11-25
31-21
161.7Avg total
85.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.775.3161.0+10.582%
Season at home (6)85.074.7159.7+10.383%
Season away (5)86.676.0162.6+10.680%
Last 10 (10)85.975.8161.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)76.978.3155.2-1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.773.3159.1+12.487%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/12
NBL W
73.7Avg total
38.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.473.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.235.673.8+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.437.272.6-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.973.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.873.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.737.073.7-0.333%-
vs Similar (11)37.935.573.4+2.564%-
vs Weaker (4)33.237.070.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A08/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H10/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A13/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A16/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H24/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H30/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/12
NBL W
83.9Avg total
46.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.581.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.438.983.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.179.0+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)46.437.583.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.282.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)40.139.479.5+0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.237.682.8+7.680%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.920.4
44.4%
46.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.6
31.4%
32.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
75.1%11.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.1
49.1%
46.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
32.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.818.5
88.9%
75.1%18.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
WWWLWLLWLL
Bendigo W
LLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+4.8
Net rating
+12.4
90.2
Offensive rating
110.1
85.5
Defensive rating
97.8
45.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
39.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.4%
3-point %
34.8%
63.7%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 110.1Defence85.5 · 97.8Shooting45.3% · 50.4%3-point %31.4% · 34.8%Ball care20.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Adelaide Lightning W wins
8
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-70
10/01/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W96-68
15/12/23Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W81-77
02/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W65-70 OT
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
09/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W69-59
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ASydney W86-73
20/12/24HSouthside W82-72
15/12/24HCanberra Capitals W68-67
08/12/24AGeelong United W59-69
06/12/24ASouthside W97-71
29/11/24HTownsville W68-69
23/11/24ATownsville W47-53
20/11/24HSydney W78-54
16/11/24AGeelong United W66-72 OT
09/11/24HPerth Lynx W78-92
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ASouthside W88-91
19/12/24HPerth Lynx W68-71
14/12/24HTownsville W86-80
05/12/24APerth Lynx W72-66
30/11/24HCanberra Capitals W98-78
24/11/24HSouthside W79-71
16/11/24ATownsville W84-76
13/11/24ASydney W90-71
10/11/24HGeelong United W95-78
08/11/24ACanberra Capitals W99-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW45%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game72.674.870.8
Allowed / game70.570.870.3
Point differential+2.1+4.0+0.5
Avg total143.2145.6141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL82%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game85.785.086.6
Allowed / game75.374.776.0
Point differential+10.5+10.3+10.6
Avg total161.0159.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W119282%85.775.3+10.5
2 Perth Lynx W129375%86.077.6+8.4
3 Townsville W106460%78.573.1+5.4
4 Adelaide Lightning W115645%72.670.5+2.1
5 Sydney W104640%78.380.8-2.5
6 Geelong United W104640%71.581.7-10.2
7 Southside W114736%82.685.2-2.5
8 Canberra Capitals W112918%74.286.7-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1320142067
Bendigo W2428251895
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