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Benfica vs Academic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 67-76
22-23 12-15 18-22 15-16
Position#33
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#14
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2016
Meetings · Benfica v Academic
24 Sep 2017
BEN82
AKA91
11 Jan 2017
BEN67
AKA76
08 Dec 2010
BEN86
AKA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H26/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A03/12
LPB
Galitos
#7
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A08/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A11/12
LPB
Academic
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A17/12
LPB
Donar Groningen
#10
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H30/12
LPB
Enisey
#8
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A04/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A08/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
28-16
28-15
19-15
25-28
33-19
14-21
19-14
20-14
18-21
11-15
19-19
30-22
18-13
24-21
18-16
25-25
16-23
14-24
17-12
20-22
11-14
18-11
16-21
16-22
22-24
13-26
31-22
16-12
22-15
16-16
15-13
13-21
22-29
18-27
16-22
29-19
15-19
23-22
16-14
155.1Avg total
78.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.383.8159.1-8.433%
Season at home (4)77.879.2157.0-1.550%
Season away (5)73.487.4160.8-14.020%
Last 10 (10)78.876.3155.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)73.678.2151.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.880.4155.2-5.545%
vs Similar (4)83.888.2172.0-4.525%
vs Weaker (15)81.170.9152.1+10.273%
This opponent (Academic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#30
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H26/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#4
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A03/12
NBL
Benfica
#33
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Bultex
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A17/12
NBL
Enisey
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#5
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A29/12
NBL
Donar Groningen
#10
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H04/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lukoil Levski
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-20
20-15
16-21
24-24
21-22
16-18
21-8
29-30
18-22
25-12
22-26
25-25
23-16
24-14
12-17
23-11
10-20
17-21
22-22
15-22
22-23
21-19
13-28
26-19
16-18
27-12
25-19
15-19
23-16
24-18
24-22
28-24
17-13
19-12
24-13
20-15
23-17
23-20
18-17
158.7Avg total
83.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.676.8160.3+6.867%
Season at home (5)89.071.6160.6+17.4100%
Season away (4)76.883.2160.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)83.275.5158.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)84.673.2157.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)73.074.0147.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.773.9161.6+13.885%
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
BenficaAcademic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/11
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A03/12
LPB
Galitos
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A08/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A11/12
LPB
Academic
#14
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A17/12
LPB
Donar Groningen
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/12
LPB
Enisey
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A04/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A08/01
LPB
82.0Avg total
42.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.077.0+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.934.175.0+6.862%-
Last 30 away (17)39.239.378.5-0.135%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.782.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.739.177.8-0.436%-
vs Similar (4)41.842.884.5-1.025%-
vs Weaker (15)40.334.074.3+6.360%-
This opponent (Academic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#30
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H26/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#4
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/12
NBL
Benfica
#33
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Bultex
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A17/12
NBL
Enisey
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A29/12
NBL
Donar Groningen
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H04/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lukoil Levski
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/01
NBL
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.181.5+7.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.381.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.240.277.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.938.382.2+5.665%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Benfica wins
2
Academic wins
DateGameScore
14/12/16Academic v Benfica84-72
08/12/10Benfica v Academic86-79 OT
16/11/10Academic v Benfica92-71
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17AOvarense83-74
04/01/17AEnisey69-99
30/12/16HFC Porto69-56
21/12/16HDonar Groningen82-94
17/12/16AVitoria65-68
14/12/16AAcademic72-84
11/12/16ACAB Madeira90-72
08/12/16AGalitos68-69
03/12/16ALusitania91-82
26/11/16HSampaense99-65
Academiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/17HLukoil Levski84-69
04/01/17HDonar Groningen88-62
29/12/16ACherno More86-75
23/12/16HBalkan94-68
21/12/16AEnisey71-92
17/12/16AAcademic Bultex72-74
14/12/16HBenfica84-72
03/12/16ARilski Sportist94-90
26/11/16HBeroe82-72
23/11/16ABC Prievidza77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game75.377.873.4
Allowed / game83.879.287.4
Point differential-8.4-1.5-14.0
Avg total159.1157.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Academic
FIBA Europe Cup 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game83.689.076.8
Allowed / game76.871.683.2
Point differential+6.8+17.4-6.5
Avg total160.3160.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nanterre109190%84.175.6+8.5
2 Chalon/Saone108280%89.776.9+12.8
3 Gaziantep108280%81.272.0+9.2
4 Skycop86275%90.174.6+15.5
5 Elan Bearnais86275%84.470.5+13.9
6 Bonn86275%84.973.6+11.2
7 Buyukcekmece107370%85.775.8+9.9
8 Antwerp Giants107370%82.276.0+6.2
9 Enisey107370%88.082.4+5.6
10 Cluj Napoca107370%79.274.6+4.6
11 Alba Fehervar107370%84.382.4+1.9
12 Academic96367%83.676.8+6.8
13 Kormend106460%84.477.8+6.6
14 Donar Groningen106460%80.377.7+2.6
15 Minsk106460%81.179.1+2.0
16 Bnei Herzliya105550%80.280.5-0.3
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%81.381.8-0.5
18 Pardubice105550%82.785.3-2.6
19 Rilski Sportist63350%86.392.2-5.8
20 Apoel BC104640%75.779.0-3.3
21 BC Prievidza104640%79.487.8-8.4
22 Sodertalje83538%73.981.9-8.0
23 Oberwart Gunners83538%74.182.4-8.2
24 CSM Targu Mures83538%75.587.6-12.1
25 Soproni KC62433%73.882.0-8.2
26 Benfica93633%75.383.8-8.4
27 Belfius Mons41325%77.279.0-1.8
28 AEK Larnaca61517%75.076.7-1.7
29 Basic-Fit Brussels61517%75.580.7-5.2
30 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%78.586.0-7.5
31 Z-Mobile Prishtina61517%85.894.5-8.7
32 Limburg61517%83.293.7-10.5
33 Peja61517%70.882.8-12.0
34 FC Porto6060%74.581.5-7.0
35 Tartu Ulikool4040%69.280.8-11.5
36 Siauliai6060%77.288.8-11.7
37 Tallinna Kalev4040%62.589.8-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2212181567
Academic2315221676
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