Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 68-65

22-20 14-11 11-18 21-16

Position#4

Record7-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game78.2

Vitoria 🏆

Benfica

Position#1

Record9-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game69.9

LPBRound 12

Other2016-17

Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

73-70

A15/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

90-77

+13

A22/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-93

-17

H29/10

LPB

Galitos

68-80

-12

A05/11

LPB

Oliveirense

66-62

H12/11

LPB

FC Porto

74-71

H19/11

LPB

Maia

#12

94-74

+20

A26/11

LPB

Ovarense

97-103

103

-6

H03/12

LPB

Electrico FC

104-77

104

+27

H08/12

LPB

Illiabum

71-68

A11/12

LPB

21-15

16-20

22-19

14-16

19-21

28-20

17-19

26-17

21-25

26-20

15-22

14-26

16-17

10-22

22-16

20-25

27-15

12-16

19-15

8-16

21-14

22-14

12-24

19-19

26-19

20-26

23-10

25-19

24-19

23-27

23-32

27-25

29-25

23-22

24-17

28-13

24-15

14-19

20-17

13-17

158.8Avg total

81.3Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	79.7	78.2	157.9	+1.5	64%
Season at home (5)	83.4	81.2	164.6	+2.2	60%
Season away (6)	76.7	75.7	152.3	+1.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	77.5	158.8	+3.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	78.6	166.6	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	75.8	84.8	160.7	-9.0	17%
vs Similar (6)	68.7	74.7	143.3	-6.0	33%
vs Weaker (18)	84.2	78.6	162.7	+5.6	78%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Fehervar

#12

71-90

-19

A09/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

85-62

+23

A12/11

LPB

Chalon/Saone

#13

77-69

H15/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

75-78

-3

A19/11

LPB

Basic-Fit Brussels

#35

75-80

-5

H23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sampaense

#11

99-65

+34

H26/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

91-82

A03/12

LPB

Galitos

68-69

-1

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

90-72

+18

A11/12

LPB

Academic

#14

72-84

-12

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

20-26

19-18

17-25

15-21

13-10

18-15

23-15

31-22

19-22

32-15

17-17

9-15

23-18

10-16

16-21

26-23

24-12

12-19

22-30

17-19

24-19

28-16

28-15

19-15

25-28

33-19

14-21

19-14

20-14

18-21

11-15

19-19

30-22

18-13

24-21

18-16

25-25

16-23

14-24

17-12

155.4Avg total

80.3Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	83.2	69.9	153.1	+13.3	82%
Season at home (4)	91.0	68.0	159.0	+23.0	100%
Season away (7)	78.7	71.0	149.7	+7.7	71%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	75.1	155.4	+5.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	74.4	158.4	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	75.4	79.4	154.8	-4.0	50%
vs Similar (4)	83.8	88.2	172.0	-4.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	82.3	69.6	151.9	+12.8	72%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	21.2	38.9	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.4	43.2	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	22.7	40.3	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	21.2	37.3	-5.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.2	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.8	40.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	17.7	39.4	+4.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	22.8	46.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	83%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	17.2	34.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	50%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

37-35

A15/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

47-41

A22/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-45

H29/10

LPB

Galitos

26-39

-13

A05/11

LPB

Oliveirense

39-31

H12/11

LPB

FC Porto

43-28

+15

H19/11

LPB

Maia

#12

46-45

A26/11

LPB

Ovarense

47-46

H03/12

LPB

Electrico FC

52-47

H08/12

LPB

Illiabum

38-34

A11/12

LPB

81.3Avg total

42.2Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	37.6	82.1	+7.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	39.1	81.3	+3.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.0	85.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.2	39.2	75.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.8	38.3	72.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.6	39.0	82.6	+4.6	78%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Fehervar

#12

39-44

-5

A09/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

31-25

A12/11

LPB

Chalon/Saone

#13

51-37

+14

H15/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

33-34

-1

A19/11

LPB

Basic-Fit Brussels

#35

36-31

H23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sampaense

#11

52-35

+17

H26/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

58-47

+11

A03/12

LPB

Galitos

38-35

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

48-35

+13

A11/12

LPB

Academic

#14

41-48

-7

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

79.8Avg total

42.7Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.4	34.2	74.5	+6.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	38.7	78.9	+1.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.1	79.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.0	87.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	42.8	84.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.4	34.7	75.1	+5.7	61%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	16.5	33.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.1	16.7	36.7	+3.4	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.4	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	16.6	36.2	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.2	33.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	17.2	34.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.4	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	41.9	79.9	-3.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	37.9	77.6	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.4	77.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.6	81.4	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.7	45.7	85.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.8	36.3	71.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	39.9	39.0	78.9	+0.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.1	76.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	36.8	77.0	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	34.4	71.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.9	40.2	75.1	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.0	45.5	87.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.7	33.9	74.6	+6.8	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
12/10/16	Benfica v Vitoria	85-64
12/12/15	Vitoria v Benfica	73-79
06/12/15	Benfica v Vitoria	75-56
30/05/15	Vitoria v Benfica	63-71
24/05/15	Benfica v Vitoria	77-69
23/05/15	Benfica v Vitoria	75-67
21/02/15	Vitoria v Benfica	77-69
23/11/14	Benfica v Vitoria	80-58
23/05/14	Vitoria v Benfica	72-88
18/05/14	Benfica v Vitoria	90-74

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/16	A	Illiabum	71-68
08/12/16	H	Electrico FC	104-77
03/12/16	H	Ovarense	97-103
26/11/16	A	Maia	94-74
19/11/16	H	FC Porto	74-71
12/11/16	H	Oliveirense	66-62
05/11/16	A	Galitos	68-80
29/10/16	H	CAB Madeira	76-93
22/10/16	A	Sampaense	90-77
15/10/16	A	Lusitania	73-70

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/16	A	Academic	72-84
11/12/16	A	CAB Madeira	90-72
08/12/16	A	Galitos	68-69
03/12/16	A	Lusitania	91-82
26/11/16	H	Sampaense	99-65
23/11/16	H	Basic-Fit Brussels	75-80
19/11/16	A	Oliveirense	75-78
15/11/16	H	Chalon/Saone	77-69
12/11/16	A	Electrico FC	85-62
09/11/16	A	Alba Fehervar	71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	60%	67%
Points / game	79.7	83.4	76.7
Allowed / game	78.2	81.2	75.7
Point differential	+1.5	+2.2	+1.0
Avg total	157.9	164.6	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	20%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	82%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	82%	100%	71%
Points / game	83.2	91.0	78.7
Allowed / game	69.9	68.0	71.0
Point differential	+13.3	+23.0	+7.7
Avg total	153.1	159.0	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	100%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	11	9	2	82%	84.0	67.6	+16.4
2	Benfica	11	9	2	82%	83.2	69.9	+13.3
3	Galitos	11	9	2	82%	74.8	69.8	+5.0
4	Oliveirense	11	8	3	73%	69.7	62.1	+7.6
5	Vitoria	11	7	4	64%	79.7	78.2	+1.5
6	Illiabum	12	7	5	58%	76.2	72.4	+3.8
7	CAB Madeira	12	5	7	42%	78.5	74.2	+4.3
8	Ovarense	12	5	7	42%	73.3	78.6	-5.2
9	Lusitania	11	3	8	27%	72.7	80.4	-7.6
10	Electrico FC	11	3	8	27%	71.3	82.9	-11.6
11	Maia	11	2	9	18%	75.2	82.0	-6.8
12	Sampaense	12	1	11	8%	70.7	89.8	-19.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	22	14	11	21	68
Benfica	20	11	18	16	65

← all games of the day

Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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