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Benfica vs Maia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Postponed
Position#2
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#13
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game87.1
PortugalLPBRound 23
Other2019-20
Meetings · Benfica v Maia
09 Jan 2021
BEN93
MAIA73
14 Mar 2020
BEN v MAIA
upcoming
14 Jan 2017
BEN89
MAIA66
20 Dec 2015
BEN94
MAIA73
14 Mar 2015
BEN108
MAIA54
22 Feb 2014
BEN86
MAIA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A01/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
75-52
75
52
+23
H08/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#13
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H12/02
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
131-69
131
69
+62
A15/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H28/02
LPB
Barreirense
#8
W
108-70
108
70
+38
A03/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
27-14
24-20
21-24
23-21
24-14
15-21
22-19
21-15
13-20
23-18
23-16
20-16
23-21
19-27
13-17
19-13
12-12
29-12
15-15
17-22
21-10
37-23
21-21
35-19
29-14
31-20
36-16
13-17
19-28
21-21
32-16
24-20
31-16
30-16
23-18
26-21
27-32
26-18
11-10
165.4Avg total
92.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.871.0160.8+18.891%
Season at home (10)88.068.7156.7+19.3100%
Season away (12)91.372.9164.2+18.483%
Last 10 (10)92.572.9165.4+19.690%
Last 5 (5)102.075.6177.6+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.769.0160.7+22.796%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
114-68
114
68
+46
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-29
13-25
17-28
21-23
22-16
16-32
14-24
13-19
21-25
25-31
21-27
14-30
25-27
17-20
29-20
10-16
18-19
8-25
24-33
28-16
25-8
33-24
28-20
22-16
15-31
11-21
21-32
17-25
27-19
13-16
30-32
18-22
17-24
18-13
16-31
13-18
21-16
21-18
20-27
171.4Avg total
79.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.487.1164.5-9.727%
Season at home (11)79.585.9165.5-6.436%
Season away (11)75.388.3163.5-13.018%
Last 10 (10)79.192.3171.4-13.210%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.489.4163.8-15.014%
vs Similar (6)82.585.7168.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.0183.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
BenficaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A11/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A01/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/02
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
64-33
64
33
+31
A15/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H28/02
LPB
Barreirense
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A03/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A07/03
LPB
81.4Avg total
45.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.033.077.9+12.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.832.376.1+11.580%-
Last 30 away (15)46.133.779.8+12.580%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.181.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.888.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.537.579.0+4.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.532.778.1+12.878%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/03
LPB
82.0Avg total
39.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.280.6-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.442.880.2-5.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.543.681.1-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.243.677.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (6)46.744.591.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Benfica wins
0
Maia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Maia v Benfica68-99
14/01/17Benfica v Maia89-66
29/10/16Maia v Benfica60-66
20/12/15Benfica v Maia94-73
11/10/15Maia v Benfica50-64
14/03/15Benfica v Maia108-54
13/12/14Maia v Benfica59-84
22/02/14Benfica v Maia86-75
24/11/13Maia v Benfica55-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AOvarense90-81
03/03/20ABarreirense108-70
28/02/20HGalitos85-82
15/02/20ATerceira131-69
12/02/20HCAB Madeira96-76
08/02/20HIlliabum75-52
01/02/20ASporting CP75-81
25/01/20HFC Porto80-69
11/01/20AOliveirense84-75
04/01/20HBarreirense101-74
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HCAB Madeira75-79
29/02/20HOvarense69-90
15/02/20AGalitos87-92
09/02/20HVitoria69-100
08/02/20HTerceira114-68
01/02/20AIlliabum60-93
25/01/20HSporting CP85-97
11/01/20AFC Porto80-102
04/01/20HOliveirense73-95
29/12/19ABarreirense79-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game89.888.091.3
Allowed / game71.068.772.9
Point differential+18.8+19.3+18.4
Avg total160.8156.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game77.479.575.3
Allowed / game87.185.988.3
Point differential-9.7-6.4-13.0
Avg total164.5165.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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