Benfica vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 14:15

Final 89-66

27-13 11-14 28-12 23-27

Position#1

Record11-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game69.1

Benfica 🏆

Maia

Position#12

Record3-11

FormLLLLW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game82.0

LPBRound 15

Other2016-17

Meetings · Benfica v Maia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Maia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

91-82

A03/12

LPB

Galitos

68-69

-1

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

90-72

+18

A11/12

LPB

Academic

#14

72-84

-12

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

65-68

-3

A17/12

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

82-94

-12

H21/12

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

69-56

+13

H30/12

LPB

Enisey

69-99

-30

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

83-74

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

67-76

-9

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

25-28

33-19

14-21

19-14

20-14

18-21

11-15

19-19

30-22

18-13

24-21

18-16

25-25

16-23

14-24

17-12

20-22

11-14

18-11

16-21

16-22

22-24

13-26

31-22

16-12

22-15

16-16

15-13

13-21

22-29

18-27

16-22

29-19

15-19

23-22

16-14

22-23

12-15

18-22

15-16

153.0Avg total

75.6Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	80.9	69.1	149.9	+11.8	79%
Season at home (5)	86.6	65.6	152.2	+21.0	100%
Season away (9)	77.7	71.0	148.7	+6.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	77.4	153.0	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	79.8	153.8	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.2	80.0	154.2	-5.8	42%
vs Similar (4)	83.8	88.2	172.0	-4.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	80.8	70.1	150.9	+10.6	71%

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

86-89

-3

A05/11

LPB

Sampaense

#11

79-68

+11

H12/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

77-93

-16

A19/11

LPB

Vitoria

74-94

-20

H26/11

LPB

Galitos

74-75

-1

H03/12

LPB

Ovarense

71-81

-10

A07/12

LPB

FC Porto

66-90

-24

H10/12

LPB

Oliveirense

70-76

-6

H17/12

LPB

Illiabum

65-86

-21

A30/12

LPB

Electrico FC

98-84

+14

H07/01

LPB

19-18

24-26

18-24

25-21

21-25

19-22

16-10

23-11

22-20

14-31

19-20

22-22

19-26

26-20

10-23

19-25

14-10

21-22

9-15

30-28

21-20

8-26

26-14

16-21

25-20

12-31

7-15

22-24

14-21

14-23

26-15

16-17

20-29

22-13

11-28

12-16

25-21

25-15

19-20

29-28

159.6Avg total

76.0Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.7	82.0	157.7	-6.3	21%
Season at home (8)	75.9	80.2	156.1	-4.4	25%
Season away (6)	75.5	84.3	159.8	-8.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	83.6	159.6	-7.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	83.4	157.4	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	67.2	80.4	147.7	-13.2	0%
vs Similar (7)	81.1	78.1	159.3	+3.0	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaMaia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	17.8	39.8	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	22.8	46.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.2	17.7	40.9	+5.5	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-4.0	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.2	37.4	-1.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.9	16.4	34.4	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.5	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

58-47

+11

A03/12

LPB

Galitos

38-35

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

48-35

+13

A11/12

LPB

Academic

#14

41-48

-7

A14/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vitoria

31-36

-5

A17/12

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

38-46

-8

H21/12

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

38-27

+11

H30/12

LPB

Enisey

35-50

-15

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

44-38

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

34-38

-4

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

80.5Avg total

40.5Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.2	77.3	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.3	34.5	75.8	+6.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.2	39.3	78.5	-0.1	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.0	80.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.8	42.8	84.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.1	34.1	75.3	+7.0	64%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

43-44

-1

A05/11

LPB

Sampaense

#11

40-47

-7

H12/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

36-51

-15

A19/11

LPB

Vitoria

45-46

-1

H26/11

LPB

Galitos

35-32

H03/12

LPB

Ovarense

29-46

-17

A07/12

LPB

FC Porto

37-51

-14

H10/12

LPB

Oliveirense

28-44

-16

H17/12

LPB

Illiabum

42-42

A30/12

LPB

Electrico FC

50-36

+14

H07/01

LPB

82.4Avg total

38.5Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	40.7	76.4	-5.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	40.3	77.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	41.1	75.6	-6.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	43.9	82.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	43.8	81.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	34.0	41.5	75.5	-7.5	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.4	38.1	79.6	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	20.8	40.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.5	37.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.9	22.9	39.8	-6.0	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	18.9	34.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.8	18.6	33.4	-3.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	19.2	35.7	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	18.4	34.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	15.6	18.6	34.1	-3.0	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.6	20.0	35.6	-4.4	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.9	35.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.7	20.4	38.0	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	86%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.1	77.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	38.7	77.0	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.4	72.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.0	76.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.1	40.5	75.6	-5.4	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.0	45.5	87.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	39.2	73.9	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.2	39.6	74.8	-4.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	38.8	72.9	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.7	77.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	33.2	39.0	72.2	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Maia wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/16	Maia v Benfica	60-66
20/12/15	Benfica v Maia	94-73
11/10/15	Maia v Benfica	50-64
14/03/15	Benfica v Maia	108-54
13/12/14	Maia v Benfica	59-84
22/02/14	Benfica v Maia	86-75
24/11/13	Maia v Benfica	55-82

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/17	H	Academic	67-76
08/01/17	A	Ovarense	83-74
04/01/17	A	Enisey	69-99
30/12/16	H	FC Porto	69-56
21/12/16	H	Donar Groningen	82-94
17/12/16	A	Vitoria	65-68
14/12/16	A	Academic	72-84
11/12/16	A	CAB Madeira	90-72
08/12/16	A	Galitos	68-69
03/12/16	A	Lusitania	91-82

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/17	H	Electrico FC	98-84
30/12/16	A	Illiabum	65-86
17/12/16	H	Oliveirense	70-76
10/12/16	H	FC Porto	66-90
07/12/16	A	Ovarense	71-81
03/12/16	H	Galitos	74-75
26/11/16	H	Vitoria	74-94
19/11/16	A	CAB Madeira	77-93
12/11/16	H	Sampaense	79-68
05/11/16	A	Lusitania	86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	5	9
Win %	79%	100%	67%
Points / game	80.9	86.6	77.7
Allowed / game	69.1	65.6	71.0
Point differential	+11.8	+21.0	+6.7
Avg total	149.9	152.2	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Maia

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	21%
Home	LLLLW	25%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	21%	25%	17%
Points / game	75.7	75.9	75.5
Allowed / game	82.0	80.2	84.3
Point differential	-6.3	-4.4	-8.8
Avg total	157.7	156.1	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	14	11	3	79%	83.5	69.4	+14.1
2	Benfica	14	11	3	79%	80.9	69.1	+11.8
3	Galitos	14	11	3	79%	75.4	70.6	+4.7
4	Oliveirense	14	10	4	71%	71.6	64.9	+6.6
5	Vitoria	14	10	4	71%	79.1	76.4	+2.8
6	Illiabum	14	9	5	64%	77.6	72.6	+4.9
7	CAB Madeira	14	6	8	43%	78.2	74.0	+4.2
8	Ovarense	14	6	8	43%	74.0	78.3	-4.3
9	Maia	14	3	11	21%	75.7	82.0	-6.3
10	Lusitania	14	3	11	21%	73.4	81.6	-8.1
11	Electrico FC	14	3	11	21%	72.4	84.9	-12.5
12	Sampaense	14	1	13	7%	70.4	88.3	-17.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	27	11	28	23	89
Maia	13	14	12	27	66

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Maia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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