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Benfica W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 67-53
20-19 12-7 15-10 20-17
Position#2
Record3-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game67.6
Benfica W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Natacao W
Portugal
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game70.4
PortugalLFB WomenRound 6· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Women2023-24
Meetings · Benfica W v Natacao W
24 Nov 2024
BENF101
NATA40
29 Oct 2023
BENF67
NATA53
11 Mar 2023
BENF57
NATA44
11 Dec 2022
BENF71
NATA57
06 Mar 2021
BENF102
NATA39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A30/04
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
62-49
62
49
+13
no box
H06/05
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
55-61
55
61
-6
no box
H07/05
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
44avg 48
H01/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
64-59 OT
64
59
+5
no box
A05/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
52avg 48
H08/10
LFB Women
Namur W
#20
L
52-60
52
60
-8
35avg 48
H12/10
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
73-65
73
65
+8
70avg 48
H15/10
LFB Women
Caledonia Gladiators W
#21
L
52-73
52
73
-21
41avg 48
A18/10
EuroCup Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
A22/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
7-17
17-17
25-23
18-16
17-12
12-10
15-11
9-19
21-8
13-16
12-18
16-11
8-17
15-10
11-22
11-11
5-15
24-11
9-12
12-21
29-12
10-25
20-18
17-15
10-17
14-13
11-15
26-15
20-16
12-20
15-14
16-12
17-21
7-17
12-23
23-22
14-19
18-14
17-17
128.6Avg total
63.0Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.467.6136.0+0.860%
Season at home (3)64.767.0131.7-2.333%
Season away (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)63.065.6128.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)66.470.4136.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.066.5118.5-14.50%
vs Similar (4)60.262.5122.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)70.958.6129.4+12.383%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
no box
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
no box
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 56
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 56
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
42-75
42
75
-33
22avg 56
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 56
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 56
H21/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
17-24
21-18
23-18
21-15
22-15
14-18
16-16
8-18
11-12
10-10
15-17
20-19
24-22
14-19
19-21
19-12
7-8
16-12
19-17
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
20-19
18-21
21-17
21-18
6-16
7-20
14-25
15-14
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
137.5Avg total
67.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.870.4136.2-4.660%
Season at home (3)59.770.7130.3-11.033%
Season away (2)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.669.9137.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)65.870.4136.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)58.867.9126.7-9.135%
vs Similar (7)60.165.6125.7-5.429%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
Benfica WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A30/04
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/05
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H07/05
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H01/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
16-26
16
26
-10
A05/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/10
LFB Women
Namur W
#20
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
EuroCup Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H15/10
LFB Women
Caledonia Gladiators W
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A18/10
EuroCup Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/10
LFB Women
62.8Avg total
31.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.465.5+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.329.565.8+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)33.431.665.0+1.854%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.462.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.070.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.032.562.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (4)32.231.563.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)35.729.965.7+5.874%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
66.5Avg total
32.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.833.762.5-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.831.560.3-2.743%-
Last 30 away (16)28.835.664.4-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.166.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.867.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.335.263.5-6.930%-
vs Similar (7)30.132.963.0-2.729%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 59.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.814.2
34.8%
43.3%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.2
26.3%
28.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.09.2
70.8%
72.6%9.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.613.8
38.8%
43.3%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
28.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
72.6%17.0
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica W
WLWLLWLLWL
Natacao W
LWLWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#8
-8.5
Net rating
-5.5
84.1
Offensive rating
85.8
92.6
Defensive rating
91.4
36.7%
Effective FG%
40.8%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.40
26.3%
3-point %
29.3%
61.7%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.1 · 85.8Defence92.6 · 91.4Shooting36.7% · 40.8%3-point %26.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.7% · 21.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 23.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Benfica W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Benfica W wins
0
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Benfica W v Natacao W57-44
11/12/22Benfica W v Natacao W71-57
02/10/22Natacao W v Benfica W48-58
06/03/21Benfica W v Natacao W102-39
27/12/20Natacao W v Benfica W40-97
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ABarcelos W84-78 OT
18/10/23ACaledonia Gladiators W52-73
15/10/23HCAB Madeira W73-65
12/10/23HNamur W52-60
08/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W71-76
05/10/23AImortal W64-59 OT
01/10/23HCDEFF W50-60
07/05/23HGdessa Barreiro W55-61
06/05/23HGdessa Barreiro W62-49
30/04/23AGdessa Barreiro W67-75
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
08/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W42-75
05/10/23AEsgueira W80-75
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
26/03/23HAD Vagos W61-49
19/03/23AGalitos W77-81
11/03/23ABenfica W44-57
05/03/23HGdessa Barreiro W73-64
26/02/23ACAB Madeira W92-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game68.464.774.0
Allowed / game67.667.068.5
Point differential+0.8-2.3+5.5
Avg total136.0131.7142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %40%0%100%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game65.859.775.0
Allowed / game70.470.770.0
Point differential-4.6-11.0+5.0
Avg total136.2130.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W65183%73.258.0+15.2
2 Gdessa Barreiro W54180%65.254.8+10.4
3 Uniao Sportiva W64267%62.757.0+5.7
4 Quinta Dos Lombos W53260%60.659.0+1.6
5 Benfica W53260%68.467.6+0.8
6 Natacao W53260%65.870.4-4.6
7 Imortal W63350%68.366.2+2.2
8 CDEFF W63350%61.259.3+1.8
9 CAB Madeira W52340%59.464.6-5.2
10 ACD Ferragudo W51420%56.465.0-8.6
11 Galitos W51420%49.060.2-11.2
12 Barcelos W5050%66.479.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica W2012152067
Natacao W197101753
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