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Bernau vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-76
19-22 17-19 26-12 16-23
Position#11
Record14-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.3
Bernau 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record20-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game69.8
GermanyPro BPro B - Quarter-finals· S-Arena Bernau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bernau v Paderborn
03 May 2025
BERN78
PAD76
19 Oct 2024
BERN62
PAD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bernau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BernauGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berlin Braves
#19
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
H01/03
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A08/03
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A15/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H22/03
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A30/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A05/04
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H12/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A20/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H25/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A30/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-14
15-20
17-15
12-14
22-11
17-18
23-20
8-18
18-25
15-17
20-15
24-20
25-22
13-19
14-22
22-17
24-25
21-24
23-21
18-15
14-23
19-24
17-20
23-16
21-24
19-25
16-22
19-11
20-16
30-19
19-10
26-19
24-14
17-22
24-24
16-16
17-13
12-26
15-22
154.4Avg total
77.4Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.582.3164.8+0.248%
Season at home (14)88.385.4173.6+2.957%
Season away (15)77.179.4156.5-2.340%
Last 10 (10)77.477.0154.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)77.276.2153.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.578.3152.8-3.830%
vs Similar (14)82.985.0167.9-2.150%
vs Weaker (6)93.585.7179.2+7.867%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wolmirstedt
#2
L
65-102
65
102
-37
A02/03
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/03
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A22/03
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H29/03
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A06/04
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H12/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H20/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A25/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H30/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
16-34
19-25
21-19
26-14
8-13
22-19
18-16
18-8
25-18
17-15
15-20
22-16
22-13
22-27
21-19
19-14
26-24
23-10
18-19
12-13
14-20
20-11
16-23
19-14
17-14
18-14
18-18
17-22
20-11
17-20
21-14
16-24
24-22
21-16
23-20
16-16
13-17
26-12
22-15
146.0Avg total
75.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.669.8149.4+9.869%
Season at home (15)82.565.2147.7+17.387%
Season away (14)76.574.7151.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)75.770.3146.0+5.480%
Last 5 (5)74.067.2141.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.576.0145.5-6.50%
vs Similar (3)85.794.3180.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.367.5147.8+12.876%
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
BernauPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BernauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Berlin Braves
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/03
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/03
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/03
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A30/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/04
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A20/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H25/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A30/04
Pro B
74.9Avg total
39.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.441.186.4+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.138.277.4+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.674.9+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.473.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.538.077.5+1.570%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.382.7+2.157%-
vs Weaker (6)45.340.585.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wolmirstedt
#2
L
25-58
25
58
-33
A02/03
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/03
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A22/03
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H29/03
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A06/04
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/04
Pro B
71.0Avg total
35.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.675.3+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.934.174.0+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.476.7+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.171.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.668.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.542.081.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (3)36.751.388.0-14.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.033.273.2+6.868%-
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bernau wins
3
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
30/04/25Paderborn v Bernau77-60
15/03/25Paderborn v Bernau75-61
19/10/24Bernau v Paderborn62-80
Bernaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25APaderborn60-77
25/04/25HKoln91-79
20/04/25AKoln88-56
12/04/25HWedel79-87
05/04/25AIserlohn68-82
30/03/25ARSV Eintracht90-87
22/03/25HLeverkusen76-83
15/03/25APaderborn61-75
08/03/25ASchwelm74-63
01/03/25HBerlin Braves87-81 OT
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HBernau77-60
25/04/25ALowen84-82
20/04/25HLowen75-67
12/04/25HSchwelm72-60
06/04/25AWedel62-67
29/03/25HETB Miners86-67
22/03/25ASandersdorf87-75
15/03/25HBernau75-61
08/03/25HItzehoe74-62
02/03/25AWolmirstedt65-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bernau
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game82.588.377.1
Allowed / game82.385.479.4
Point differential+0.2+2.9-2.3
Avg total164.8173.6156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Paderborn
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%87%50%
Points / game79.682.576.5
Allowed / game69.865.274.7
Point differential+9.8+17.3+1.8
Avg total149.4147.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leverkusen2928197%81.265.9+15.2
2 Wolmirstedt2924583%85.274.2+11.1
3 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen2820871%90.382.6+7.8
4 Paderborn2920969%79.669.8+9.8
5 Koln2819968%90.582.8+7.7
6 Ahorn Camp Baskets30191163%79.175.6+3.5
7 Fellbach29181162%77.174.0+3.1
8 Sandersdorf29181162%76.574.8+1.7
9 Iserlohn29151452%81.385.4-4.0
10 s.Oliver Wurzburg 228141450%84.485.2-0.8
11 Wedel30151550%74.675.6-1.0
12 Bernau29141548%82.582.3+0.2
13 Lowen28131546%85.982.9+3.0
14 Oberhaching26121446%83.584.0-0.5
15 Coburg26121446%80.583.8-3.3
16 ETB Miners29131645%80.878.0+2.8
17 OrangeAcademy28121643%81.683.8-2.1
18 Rhondorf28121643%84.889.0-4.3
19 Berlin Braves26111542%82.882.5+0.3
20 Schwelm26111542%78.580.7-2.1
21 Frankfurt 226101638%80.480.5-0.1
22 Itzehoe26101638%75.082.4-7.4
23 Neustadt2691735%79.382.1-2.8
24 Ludwigsburg 22691735%76.281.9-5.7
25 RSV Eintracht2691735%75.382.0-6.7
26 Bayern 22681831%77.084.9-7.9
27 Ehingen2671927%80.489.8-9.3
28 Rostock 22642215%69.983.7-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bernau1917261678
Paderborn2219122376
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