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Paderborn vs Bernau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-61
18-8 25-18 17-15 15-20
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#11
Record11-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game83.8
GermanyPro BRound 22· Sportzentrum Maspernplatz
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paderborn v Bernau
07 May 2025
PAD84
BERN86
30 Apr 2025
PAD77
BERN60
15 Mar 2025
PAD75
BERN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paderborn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bernau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock 2
#28
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H20/12
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A04/01
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A11/01
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H18/01
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A26/01
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H01/02
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A08/02
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H15/02
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
L
65-102
65
102
-37
A02/03
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-8
19-24
20-16
25-23
20-17
23-22
20-14
22-12
26-10
18-13
23-20
12-20
22-14
22-14
33-11
23-11
15-17
14-21
20-9
14-19
26-19
22-17
29-20
19-10
12-24
24-20
12-22
19-12
14-9
14-22
16-26
29-23
9-24
16-34
19-25
21-19
26-14
8-13
22-19
18-16
149.5Avg total
79.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.570.7151.2+9.862%
Season at home (10)85.266.3151.5+18.980%
Season away (11)76.274.7150.9+1.545%
Last 10 (10)79.270.3149.5+8.960%
Last 5 (5)75.077.6152.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.988.0162.9-13.112%
vs Similar (5)83.686.6170.2-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.867.5149.3+14.271%
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BernauGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETB Miners
#13
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H21/12
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H04/01
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A11/01
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
L
87-97
87
97
-10
H18/01
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
113-97
113
97
+16
H25/01
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A01/02
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
L
87-101
87
101
-14
H08/02
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
105-102
105
102
+3
A15/02
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
H01/03
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A08/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
20-16
14-25
23-20
21-22
29-15
19-19
32-15
22-24
24-20
19-26
12-13
19-24
23-28
22-16
23-29
31-22
22-31
24-27
36-17
12-17
16-30
11-12
16-29
28-23
18-25
25-20
16-33
29-24
25-24
22-17
29-37
21-23
19-14
15-20
17-15
12-14
22-11
17-18
23-20
172.5Avg total
86.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.783.8168.5+0.952%
Season at home (11)90.086.0176.0+4.064%
Season away (10)78.981.4160.3-2.540%
Last 10 (10)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)81.687.0168.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.477.7151.1-4.427%
vs Similar (14)83.382.5165.8+0.864%
vs Weaker (5)94.285.4179.6+8.860%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
PaderbornBernau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock 2
#28
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/12
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/01
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A11/01
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H18/01
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A26/01
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H01/02
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/02
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/02
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
L
25-58
25
58
-33
A02/03
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/03
Pro B
73.2Avg total
37.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.479.0+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.477.3+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.239.580.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.673.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.273.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.443.084.4-1.662%-
vs Similar (5)42.843.085.8-0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.233.274.4+8.171%-
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BernauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETB Miners
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/12
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
Pro B
Wolmirstedt
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A11/01
Pro B
Neustadt
#23
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H18/01
Pro B
Rostock 2
#28
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H25/01
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A01/02
Pro B
Itzehoe
#22
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/02
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/02
Pro B
Berlin Braves
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/03
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/03
Pro B
85.8Avg total
43.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.683.5+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.378.2+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.885.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.737.577.2+2.364%-
vs Similar (14)42.439.782.1+2.757%-
vs Weaker (5)45.240.285.4+5.040%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paderborn wins
0
Bernau wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Bernau v Paderborn62-80
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HItzehoe74-62
02/03/25AWolmirstedt65-102
15/02/25HNeustadt73-80
08/02/25ALeverkusen67-78
01/02/25HBerlin Braves96-66
26/01/25ARSV Eintracht63-66
18/01/25HIserlohn100-50
11/01/25ARostock 279-63
04/01/25ASchwelm85-65
20/12/24HRostock 290-71
Bernaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ASchwelm74-63
01/03/25HBerlin Braves87-81 OT
15/02/25AETB Miners105-102
08/02/25HItzehoe87-101
01/02/25ASandersdorf55-88
25/01/25HRostock 2113-97
18/01/25HNeustadt87-97
11/01/25AWolmirstedt77-83
04/01/25HRSV Eintracht101-71
21/12/24HETB Miners74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paderborn
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game80.585.276.2
Allowed / game70.766.374.7
Point differential+9.8+18.9+1.5
Avg total151.2151.5150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bernau
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game84.790.078.9
Allowed / game83.886.081.4
Point differential+0.9+4.0-2.5
Avg total168.5176.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leverkusen2120195%80.664.9+15.7
2 Wolmirstedt2217577%85.174.7+10.4
3 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen2116576%91.882.6+9.1
4 Koln2215768%92.883.2+9.6
5 Ahorn Camp Baskets2114767%79.974.9+5.0
6 Fellbach2114767%77.974.5+3.4
7 Paderborn2113862%80.570.7+9.8
8 Iserlohn2213959%83.185.7-2.6
9 Sandersdorf2112957%77.075.8+1.2
10 Lowen21111052%88.384.9+3.5
11 Bernau21111052%84.783.8+0.9
12 Wedel21111052%75.276.2-1.0
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg 221111052%85.086.3-1.3
14 Rhondorf22111150%87.388.6-1.4
15 Coburg22111150%79.382.8-3.5
16 ETB Miners21101148%81.878.1+3.6
17 Schwelm21101148%78.380.1-1.8
18 Frankfurt 222101245%82.180.8+1.4
19 Oberhaching22101245%84.684.5+0.1
20 OrangeAcademy2091145%84.485.6-1.2
21 Berlin Braves2191243%82.982.5+0.3
22 RSV Eintracht2171433%74.581.5-7.0
23 Ludwigsburg 22271532%77.483.0-5.6
24 Itzehoe2161529%73.883.4-9.6
25 Neustadt2261627%80.084.9-4.8
26 Bayern 22261627%75.784.4-8.7
27 Ehingen2151624%79.689.8-10.1
28 Rostock 22241818%71.285.6-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paderborn1825171575
Bernau818152061
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