Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 15:00

Postponed

Position#4

Record14-6

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game79.9

Beroe

Cherno More

Position#7

Record7-12

FormWLLLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game87.2

NBLRound 27

Other2019-20

Meetings · Beroe v Cherno More

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Cherno More win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Beroe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

101-61

101

+40

H30/12

NBL

Academic

83-71

+12

A04/01

NBL

Balkan

65-75

-10

H11/01

NBL

Rilski Sportist

75-78

-3

A18/01

NBL

Academic Bultex

94-75

+19

H23/01

NBL

Cherno More

89-79

+10

A01/02

NBL

Chernomorets

85-73

+12

H06/02

Bulgarian Cup

Lukoil Levski

62-81

-19

A08/02

Bulgarian Cup

Lukoil Levski

68-98

-30

A02/03

NBL

Yambol

#10

97-86

+11

A09/03

NBL

24-11

32-11

19-22

26-17

16-26

21-12

21-16

25-17

12-21

20-16

17-20

16-18

15-26

21-23

22-15

17-14

25-21

32-13

22-22

15-19

27-20

18-19

23-21

21-19

28-24

15-15

24-19

18-15

16-27

15-23

12-13

19-18

11-24

20-31

20-16

17-27

26-21

14-22

26-22

31-21

159.6Avg total

81.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	88.3	79.9	168.2	+8.4	70%
Season at home (9)	89.4	77.1	166.6	+12.3	78%
Season away (11)	87.5	82.2	169.6	+5.3	64%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	77.7	159.6	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	83.4	163.6	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.4	84.1	158.5	-9.8	25%
vs Similar (5)	82.4	91.2	173.6	-8.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	95.3	76.8	172.1	+18.5	94%

This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cherno More Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lukoil Levski

60-100

100

-40

A13/12

NBL

Balkan

67-88

-21

H18/12

NBL

Yambol

#10

88-74

+14

A28/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

93-96

-3

H04/01

NBL

Spartak Pleven

87-85

A11/01

NBL

Academic Bultex

71-65

H18/01

NBL

Chernomorets

104-107 OT

104

107

-3

A23/01

NBL

Beroe

79-89

-10

H01/02

NBL

Balkan

53-101

101

-48

A07/02

Bulgarian Cup

Academic

72-89

-17

A29/02

NBL

20-21

23-25

4-27

13-27

18-24

9-20

18-26

22-18

27-12

17-19

24-16

20-27

29-23

17-20

21-28

26-25

19-22

28-19

12-31

28-13

16-18

24-15

5-14

26-18

19-16

22-22

26-28

22-23

20-27

19-18

21-23

19-21

15-29

18-20

13-23

7-29

22-23

13-22

25-23

12-21

166.8Avg total

77.4Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.2	87.2	169.4	-5.1	37%
Season at home (9)	81.9	81.2	163.1	+0.7	56%
Season away (10)	82.4	92.6	175.0	-10.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	89.4	166.8	-12.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	90.2	166.0	-14.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	77.2	94.2	171.3	-17.0	11%
vs Similar (6)	86.0	80.8	166.8	+5.2	67%
vs Weaker (4)	96.0	86.8	182.8	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BeroeCherno More

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.9	23.8	38.6	-8.9	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	23.8	45.1	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	22.2	45.8	+1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.0	38.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	23.1	43.4	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.1	18.0	42.1	+6.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	20.2	42.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	19.5	41.2	+2.2	50%	-

BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

56-22

+34

H30/12

NBL

Academic

37-38

-1

A04/01

NBL

Balkan

32-37

-5

H11/01

NBL

Rilski Sportist

36-49

-13

A18/01

NBL

Academic Bultex

57-34

+23

H23/01

NBL

Cherno More

45-39

A01/02

NBL

Chernomorets

43-39

H06/02

Bulgarian Cup

Lukoil Levski

31-50

-19

A08/02

Bulgarian Cup

Lukoil Levski

31-55

-24

A02/03

NBL

Yambol

#10

40-43

-3

A09/03

NBL

81.4Avg total

40.8Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.5	84.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	38.5	83.6	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	44.5	86.2	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	45.2	83.2	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.1	46.9	82.0	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.2	44.4	88.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	47.3	38.1	85.4	+9.2	81%	-

This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lukoil Levski

43-46

-3

A13/12

NBL

Balkan

27-44

-17

H18/12

NBL

Yambol

#10

44-31

+13

A28/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

46-43

H04/01

NBL

Spartak Pleven

47-41

A11/01

NBL

Academic Bultex

40-33

H18/01

NBL

Chernomorets

41-38

A23/01

NBL

Beroe

39-45

-6

H01/02

NBL

Balkan

33-49

-16

A07/02

Bulgarian Cup

Academic

35-45

-10

A29/02

NBL

81.0Avg total

39.5Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	45.9	86.2	-5.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	44.6	83.6	-5.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	47.0	88.4	-5.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.3	48.6	86.9	-10.3	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.8	42.3	88.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	37.2	80.8	+6.2	100%	-

This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.3	43.6	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	19.5	43.3	+4.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.9	20.1	45.0	+4.9	81%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	22.7	41.2	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	23.9	40.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.6	23.3	41.9	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.0	21.2	49.2	+6.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	23.2	40.0	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.8	41.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	22.2	40.8	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.4	39.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	18.2	37.8	+1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	23.8	44.5	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.5	83.4	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.9	81.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.0	39.1	85.1	+6.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.1	78.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.2	80.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.2	37.2	76.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	46.8	85.0	-8.6	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	48.0	38.8	86.8	+9.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.3	84.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	43.5	86.5	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	44.9	81.9	-7.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	46.1	82.5	-9.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	44.6	79.8	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.8	45.5	84.4	-6.7	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	38.5	78.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.8	45.0	93.8	+3.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Beroe wins

Cherno More wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	Cherno More v Beroe	79-89
01/12/19	Beroe v Cherno More	86-85
18/04/19	Cherno More v Beroe	88-105
01/02/19	Cherno More v Beroe	98-97
24/11/18	Beroe v Cherno More	85-65
21/04/18	Beroe v Cherno More	76-60
03/02/18	Beroe v Cherno More	94-68
02/12/17	Cherno More v Beroe	97-91 OT
10/05/17	Cherno More v Beroe	68-94
07/05/17	Beroe v Cherno More	87-81

Beroelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/20	A	Yambol	97-86
02/03/20	A	Lukoil Levski	68-98
08/02/20	A	Lukoil Levski	62-81
06/02/20	H	Chernomorets	85-73
01/02/20	A	Cherno More	89-79
23/01/20	H	Academic Bultex	94-75
18/01/20	A	Rilski Sportist	75-78
11/01/20	H	Balkan	65-75
04/01/20	A	Academic	83-71
30/12/19	H	Chernomorets	101-61

Cherno Morelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/20	A	Academic	72-89
07/02/20	A	Balkan	53-101
01/02/20	H	Beroe	79-89
23/01/20	A	Chernomorets	104-107 OT
18/01/20	H	Academic Bultex	71-65
11/01/20	A	Spartak Pleven	87-85
04/01/20	H	Rilski Sportist	93-96
28/12/19	A	Yambol	88-74
18/12/19	H	Balkan	67-88
13/12/19	A	Lukoil Levski	60-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	70%
Home	WWWLW	78%
Away	WLWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	70%	78%	64%
Points / game	88.3	89.4	87.5
Allowed / game	79.9	77.1	82.2
Point differential	+8.4	+12.3	+5.3
Avg total	168.2	166.6	169.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	56%	55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cherno More

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	37%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	LWWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	37%	56%	20%
Points / game	82.2	81.9	82.4
Allowed / game	87.2	81.2	92.6
Point differential	-5.1	+0.7	-10.2
Avg total	169.4	163.1	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (1)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Balkan	20	19	1	95%	90.7	76.2	+14.4
2	Lukoil Levski	19	17	2	89%	93.4	69.6	+23.8
3	Rilski Sportist	20	15	5	75%	94.8	80.4	+14.4
4	Beroe	20	14	6	70%	88.3	79.9	+8.4
5	Academic	20	9	11	45%	81.0	90.0	-8.9
6	Academic Bultex	20	8	12	40%	80.6	81.0	-0.3
7	Cherno More	19	7	12	37%	82.2	87.2	-5.1
8	Spartak Pleven	20	4	16	20%	81.4	90.3	-8.9
9	Chernomorets	20	4	16	20%	79.2	95.1	-15.8
10	Yambol	20	2	18	10%	74.0	95.0	-21.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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