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Beroe vs Cherno More Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.7
BulgariaNBLRound 8· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v Cherno More
05 Dec 2026
BERO v CHER
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
BERO84
CHER86
02 May 2025
BERO86
CHER91
09 Dec 2024
BERO76
CHER95
29 Jan 2024
BERO80
CHER100
26 Apr 2023
BERO104
CHER75
17 Dec 2022
BERO94
CHER75
07 Apr 2022
BERO74
CHER64
16 Jan 2022
BERO99
CHER64
25 Jan 2021
BERO102
CHER63
08 Apr 2020
BERO v CHER
upcoming
01 Dec 2019
BERO86
CHER85
24 Nov 2018
BERO85
CHER65
21 Apr 2018
BERO76
CHER60
03 Feb 2018
BERO94
CHER68
07 May 2017
BERO87
CHER81
05 May 2017
BERO102
CHER68
25 Feb 2017
BERO77
CHER67
16 Feb 2017
BERO69
CHER58
15 Oct 2016
BERO79
CHER64
25 Mar 2016
BERO80
CHER60
07 Nov 2015
BERO89
CHER87
11 Oct 2014
BERO83
CHER72
22 Mar 2014
BERO70
CHER67
05 Jan 2014
BERO90
CHER110
16 Mar 2013
BERO95
CHER62
06 Jan 2013
BERO94
CHER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 76
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 76
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 76
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 76
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 76
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 76
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 76
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 76
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 85
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 85
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 85
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 85
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 85
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 85
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 85
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 85
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
20-10
21-28
25-15
19-13
162.8Avg total
83.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.871.7155.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)82.069.0151.0+13.067%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.5162.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.478.1170.5+14.380%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
BeroeCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NBL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.9+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.083.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.139.484.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
Cherno More
WLLWWWLLLL
#11
League position
#7
-0.6
Net rating
+6.3
96.6
Offensive rating
100.0
97.1
Defensive rating
93.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.6%
3-point %
31.2%
62.7%
Assist %
56.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 100.0Defence97.1 · 93.8Shooting50.0% · 52.5%3-point %26.6% · 31.2%Ball care14.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Beroe   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Beroe wins
10
Cherno More wins
DateGameScore
16/04/26Cherno More v Beroe117-76
08/02/26Beroe v Cherno More84-86
22/11/25Cherno More v Beroe96-90 OT
02/05/25Beroe v Cherno More86-91
30/04/25Cherno More v Beroe100-96 OT
26/04/25Cherno More v Beroe96-81
13/03/25Cherno More v Beroe88-84
10/02/25Cherno More v Beroe102-88
09/12/24Beroe v Cherno More76-95
29/01/24Beroe v Cherno More80-100
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPolytechnica85-66
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.882.085.7
Allowed / game71.769.074.3
Point differential+12.2+13.0+11.3
Avg total155.5151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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