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Lok. Plovdiv vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 96-83
29-18 23-24 16-15 28-26
Position#4
Record14-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game83.8
Lok. Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record10-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.5
BulgariaNBLRound 26· Stadion Lokomotiv
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lok. Plovdiv v Beroe
30 Jan 2027
LOK. v BERO
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
LOK.96
BERO83
04 Jan 2026
LOK.117
BERO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
124avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 83
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
115-80
115
80
+35
114avg 83
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 83
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 83
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 83
A14/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 83
A19/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
29-26
38-21
16-20
19-27
31-18
23-21
32-21
14-19
20-24
19-26
19-15
24-14
27-25
17-30
18-21
33-21
25-18
33-26
24-15
15-19
30-18
23-15
16-27
23-27
28-39
21-21
31-22
17-19
27-18
13-22
19-20
17-16
25-20
19-27
29-19
33-11
18-28
26-25
17-19
180.3Avg total
94.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.583.8174.3+6.761%
Season at home (10)94.881.8176.6+13.070%
Season away (13)87.285.4172.5+1.854%
Last 10 (10)94.286.1180.3+8.160%
Last 5 (5)89.486.4175.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.883.4165.2-1.640%
vs Similar (3)81.390.7172.0-9.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)95.282.6177.8+12.680%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
88-117
88
117
-29
75avg 75
A04/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
93avg 75
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
A18/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
87avg 75
H24/01
NBL
Levski
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 75
A31/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
71avg 75
H08/02
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
60avg 75
A13/02
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
62avg 75
A09/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
85avg 75
H13/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
83avg 75
H18/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
26-29
21-38
20-16
30-15
22-27
22-22
23-19
21-19
18-22
15-29
19-24
19-24
20-20
28-16
23-19
14-24
17-20
20-24
28-16
22-18
19-25
20-24
23-19
22-24
15-19
16-24
21-27
16-23
22-24
18-18
19-23
23-19
24-21
29-22
19-27
20-24
29-19
18-21
26-21
174.7Avg total
84.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.687.5171.1-4.043%
Season at home (12)85.285.2170.4+0.167%
Season away (11)81.790.1171.8-8.418%
Last 10 (10)84.889.9174.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)83.493.7177.1-10.317%
vs Similar (5)88.480.0168.4+8.480%
vs Weaker (7)87.481.7169.1+5.771%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Lok. PlovdivBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/03
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/03
NBL
91.7Avg total
48.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)45.342.587.8+2.765%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.141.788.8+5.470%-
Last 30 away (13)43.843.287.0+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)48.942.891.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.089.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.642.682.2-3.060%-
vs Similar (3)43.344.087.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.542.289.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A04/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A18/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H24/01
NBL
Levski
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A31/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H08/02
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A13/02
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/03
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H13/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/03
NBL
87.0Avg total
42.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.485.5-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.183.5+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.945.787.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.087.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.285.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.445.486.8-3.933%-
vs Similar (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
vs Weaker (7)44.040.084.0+4.057%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.5
55.0%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.0
37.8%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.318.5
73.1%
71.3%18.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.623.1
48.5%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.516.2
66.1%
71.3%16.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
WWLLWWLLWW
Beroe
WWLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+10.8
Net rating
-2.5
110.6
Offensive rating
97.3
99.9
Defensive rating
99.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
10.9%
Turnover %
12.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.8%
3-point %
33.9%
65.2%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 97.3Defence99.9 · 99.8Shooting55.7% · 49.3%3-point %37.8% · 33.9%Ball care10.9% · 12.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Lok. Plovdiv v Beroe117-88
27/10/25Beroe v Lok. Plovdiv86-89
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AShumen94-83
14/03/26ABalkan90-82
08/03/26ACherno More76-79
04/03/26AMinyor103-109
15/02/26ASpartak Pleven84-79
07/02/26HLevski115-80
02/02/26AAcademic Plovdiv86-90
25/01/26HRilski Sportist72-84
17/01/26HBotev 2012105-87
04/01/26HBeroe117-88
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
13/03/26HShumen95-89
09/03/26ABotev 201275-88
13/02/26ABalkan74-94
08/02/26HCherno More84-86
31/01/26ALevski79-84
24/01/26HMinyor90-79
18/01/26ARilski Sportist73-94
11/01/26HSpartak Pleven97-83
04/01/26ALok. Plovdiv88-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %61%70%54%
Points / game90.594.887.2
Allowed / game83.881.885.4
Point differential+6.7+13.0+1.8
Avg total174.3176.6172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%60%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Beroe
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%67%18%
Points / game83.685.281.7
Allowed / game87.585.290.1
Point differential-4.0+0.1-8.4
Avg total171.1170.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2319483%90.877.6+13.2
2 Balkan2318578%91.776.7+15.0
3 Cherno More2317674%89.580.3+9.2
4 Lok. Plovdiv2314961%90.583.8+6.7
5 Spartak Pleven22111150%80.482.5-2.1
6 Botev 201222111150%79.182.5-3.3
7 Minyor23111248%85.189.6-4.5
8 Beroe23101343%83.687.5-4.0
9 Academic Plovdiv2381535%81.786.0-4.4
10 Shumen2231914%79.891.5-11.7
11 Levski2332013%75.990.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv2923162896
Beroe1824152683
← all games of the day
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