PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Besiktas vs Denizli Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game88.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 11· BJK Akatlar Sports Complex
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besiktas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denizli Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BesiktasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBesiktas
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 81
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
69avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
96-100
96
100
-4
88avg 81
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 81
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
103-101
103
101
+2
93avg 81
A30/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
25-17
20-21
19-20
17-29
19-28
24-11
20-21
24-31
26-21
21-19
25-29
23-25
13-17
22-19
15-20
24-24
23-30
23-20
33-27
27-16
19-22
28-18
19-20
17-20
14-25
13-17
23-21
22-17
16-23
21-12
24-32
25-28
18-24
22-16
30-23
24-15
21-12
10-23
21-21
170.5Avg total
84.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.184.4167.5-1.250%
Season at home (4)85.577.0162.5+8.5100%
Season away (4)80.891.8172.5-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.985.6170.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.881.0163.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.190.9171.0-10.811%
vs Similar (14)83.085.6168.6-2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.379.6166.9+7.786%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Benfica
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
84avg 77
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 77
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 77
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 77
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Absheron Lions
#45
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
77avg 77
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 77
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#22
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cayirova
#14
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
22-22
17-27
29-19
16-17
12-23
25-16
17-19
19-24
23-15
15-17
23-20
13-29
27-18
17-28
19-22
18-14
24-19
12-27
26-20
17-17
12-24
21-23
24-23
18-22
20-14
21-24
17-20
27-24
23-27
11-28
25-18
19-19
9-33
21-16
24-18
26-28
16-19
27-19
20-23
169.9Avg total
81.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.188.9172.0-5.825%
Season at home (4)86.586.8173.2-0.250%
Season away (4)79.891.0170.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)81.388.6169.9-7.320%
Last 5 (5)82.089.6171.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.186.2166.3-6.127%
vs Similar (9)73.677.8151.3-4.244%
vs Weaker (9)76.973.0149.9+3.967%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
BesiktasDenizli Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A22/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A30/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A13/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.2Avg total
41.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.582.7+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)41.746.388.0-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.686.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.447.186.6-7.711%-
vs Similar (14)41.543.585.0-2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.138.484.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Absheron Lions
#45
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cayirova
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.0Avg total
38.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.678.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.875.2-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.180.6-5.519%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.682.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.482.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.345.886.1-5.527%-
vs Similar (9)33.937.971.8-4.022%-
vs Weaker (9)37.836.774.4+1.144%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
54.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
75.9%11.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
54.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.9
81.2%
75.9%16.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Besiktas
WWLLWWLLLW
Denizli Basket
WLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#15
-2.4
Net rating
-2.3
102.7
Offensive rating
95.7
105.1
Defensive rating
98.0
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.8%
3-point %
35.8%
60.6%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 95.7Defence105.1 · 98.0Shooting56.2% · 52.0%3-point %38.8% · 35.8%Ball care14.1% · 15.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Besiktas   ■ Denizli Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Besiktas wins
0
Denizli Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBursaspor76-71
13/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne95-91
09/11/26AKarsiyaka83-84
06/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas67-83
02/11/26HCayirova93-76
30/10/26AVirtus Bologna103-101
28/10/26HOlympiacos73-81
24/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.96-100
22/10/26AAnadolu Efes80-89
18/10/26HGalatasaray83-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCayirova101-98 OT
11/11/26ABC Prievidza73-86
08/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.86-97
03/11/26HBakken Bears76-80
31/10/26HGalatasaray74-87
28/10/26AAbsheron Lions86-94 OT
24/10/26ATurk Telekom76-97
21/10/26AGeneva Lions80-76
18/10/26HTrabzonspor70-75
14/10/26ABenfica91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Besiktas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.185.580.8
Allowed / game84.477.091.8
Point differential-1.2+8.5-11.0
Avg total167.5162.5172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denizli Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.186.579.8
Allowed / game88.986.891.0
Point differential-5.8-0.2-11.2
Avg total172.0173.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.