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Absheron Lions vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-86 (OT)
14-18 19-24 27-12 20-26 14-6
Position#42
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game101.3
vs
Position#31
Record2-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Absheron Lions winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denizli Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
73avg 77
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 77
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 77
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 77
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
88-105
88
105
-17
72avg 77
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#21
L
83-105
83
105
-22
75avg 77
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
84-108
84
108
-24
67avg 77
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#9
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
73avg 77
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
20-28
27-15
22-25
26-18
27-30
21-19
23-35
17-21
16-25
20-24
23-30
24-26
20-25
14-23
25-34
25-26
19-17
18-15
22-30
22-19
184.4Avg total
88.4Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.0101.3186.3-16.30%
Season at home (1)83.0105.0188.0-22.00%
Season away (2)86.099.5185.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)88.496.0184.4-7.620%
Last 5 (5)87.699.0186.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.0101.3186.3-16.30%
vs Similar (4)88.896.8185.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Best Balikesir
#6
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 78
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 78
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
101-87
101
87
+14
98avg 78
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 78
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 78
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
84avg 78
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#21
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 78
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 78
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
16-14
14-13
11-18
20-24
17-19
28-34
33-24
24-25
21-22
21-23
15-15
30-22
20-14
25-25
26-26
30-21
19-20
16-16
18-12
16-26
18-24
27-22
15-13
23-28
22-22
17-27
29-19
16-17
12-23
25-16
17-19
19-24
23-15
15-17
23-20
13-29
27-18
17-28
19-22
165.3Avg total
81.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.780.3165.0+4.367%
Season at home (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)85.586.0171.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.384.0165.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)78.685.8164.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.884.0161.8-6.222%
vs Similar (8)72.473.5145.9-1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.070.3146.3+5.775%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
Absheron LionsDenizli Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#23
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A14/09
Champions League
Geneva Lions
#21
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#23
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
88.4Avg total
42.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)42.843.886.6-1.142%-
Last 30 at home (5)45.245.290.4+0.040%-
Last 30 away (7)41.042.983.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.688.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.284.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.743.078.7-7.333%-
vs Similar (4)44.547.291.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Best Balikesir
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Geneva Lions
#21
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.3Avg total
40.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.676.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.335.273.5+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.679.2-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.183.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.283.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.145.885.9-5.722%-
vs Similar (8)35.435.070.4+0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.135.273.3+2.858%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.7
55.5%
53.4%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
72.8%13.6
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.0
52.4%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.6
37.2%
32.5%25.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.3
79.5%
72.8%16.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Absheron Lions
LLLLWLWLLL
Denizli Basket
LWLLLWWLLL
#42
League position
#31
-8.8
Net rating
-0.3
101.8
Offensive rating
99.1
110.6
Defensive rating
99.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
37.2%
48.0%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 99.1Defence110.6 · 99.4Shooting53.2% · 53.6%3-point %32.3% · 37.2%Ball care14.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Absheron Lions   ■ Denizli Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Absheron Lions wins
0
Denizli Basket wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ABakken Bears88-91 OT
13/10/26ABC Prievidza84-108
07/10/26HGeneva Lions83-105
14/09/26AVEF Riga88-105
19/11/25ANeftchi IK95-86
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ATurk Telekom76-97
21/10/26AGeneva Lions80-76
18/10/26HTrabzonspor70-75
14/10/26ABenfica91-96
11/10/26AAnadolu Efes76-85
06/10/26HBC Prievidza83-69
03/10/26HTofas101-87
26/09/26APetkim Spor81-85
15/09/26AVechta98-101
19/05/16ABest Balikesir57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.083.086.0
Allowed / game101.3105.099.5
Point differential-16.3-22.0-13.5
Avg total186.3188.0185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Denizli Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.783.085.5
Allowed / game80.369.086.0
Point differential+4.3+14.0-0.5
Avg total165.0152.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
2 Esenler Erokspor440100%93.872.5+21.2
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Trier330100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Dziki Warszawa330100%94.380.3+14.0
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Benfica330100%95.085.0+10.0
8 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
9 CSM Oradea43175%88.278.2+10.0
10 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
11 Keravnos43175%81.577.2+4.2
12 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
13 Bakken Bears43175%83.282.5+0.8
14 Korfez Basket32167%88.073.3+14.7
15 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
16 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
17 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
18 Iraklis32167%79.772.7+7.0
19 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
20 Denizli Basket32167%84.780.3+4.3
21 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%82.081.3+0.7
22 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
23 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
24 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
25 Kolossos Rhodes42250%73.867.2+6.5
26 Bashkimi21150%81.582.5-1.0
27 Levice42250%75.077.0-2.0
28 Parnu52340%71.476.4-5.0
29 Opava31233%83.375.0+8.3
30 Geneva Lions31233%84.780.3+4.3
31 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
32 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
33 Szolnoki Olaj31233%80.387.3-7.0
34 Split31233%74.382.0-7.7
35 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
36 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
37 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
38 Fribourg Olympic31233%70.082.0-12.0
39 Vienna Basket41325%78.282.5-4.2
40 Neftchi IK61517%74.884.2-9.3
41 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
42 Absheron Lions3030%85.0101.3-16.3
43 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
44 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
45 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Manchester Basketball2020%71.595.5-24.0
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi4040%66.894.0-27.2
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Absheron Lions141927201494
Denizli Basket18241226686
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