Karsiyaka vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

On 9 November 2026 the Basketbol Super Ligi will see Besiktas visit Karsiyaka, with the model favouring Besiktas at 66% to 34% for Karsiyaka, a 4-point swing over the 5.5-point line that Besiktas must cover with a 52% chance; the over on the 166.25-point total is 59% likely, and a 5% overtime probability is noted. Karsiyaka sits 9th with a 3-3 record, averaging 80.8 points and conceding 82.5, while at home they are 2-1, 81.7 points for and 82.3 against; their last five games were 3-2. Besiktas also 3-3 overall, 84.3 points for and 86.7 against, but 0-3 on the road, 80.0 points for and 94.3 against; their last five were 2-3. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, Besiktas leads 7-3, most recently winning 92-86 on 6 April 2026. The model projects a 83-87 score for the game, a total of 170.2 points, and the final concrete fact is that Besiktas will need to win by at least five points to cover the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon

35.9%fair 2.79

Best odds4.05

Implied26.5%

Edge+9.4pp

Besiktas winLost

64.1%fair 1.56

Best odds1.36

Implied73.5%

Edge-9.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karsiyaka

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKarsiyaka

Date

Competition

Bahcesehir Kol.

88-74

+14

91avg 76

A18/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Esenler Erokspor

68-67

58avg 76

H26/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

78-87

-9

69avg 76

A03/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#12

84-82

71avg 76

H10/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

72-73

-1

71avg 76

A26/09

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

78-71 OT

64avg 76

H02/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

82-92

-10

80avg 76

A10/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Cayirova

#14

95-79

+16

96avg 76

H16/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

72-97

-25

60avg 76

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#16

86-83

78avg 76

A01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

20-14

26-21

20-20

22-19

11-13

20-18

21-19

16-17

20-23

26-24

11-14

21-26

16-14

15-34

31-18

22-16

15-17

29-20

15-16

13-20

18-13

17-21

15-14

15-17

13-20

21-22

24-28

24-22

24-19

23-21

24-17

16-25

20-24

14-25

22-23

21-19

21-20

24-18

20-26

160.8Avg total

80.3Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	80.8	82.5	163.3	-1.7	50%
Season at home (3)	81.7	82.3	164.0	-0.7	67%
Season away (3)	80.0	82.7	162.7	-2.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	80.5	160.8	-0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	84.4	167.0	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	77.2	87.1	164.3	-9.8	22%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	86.1	86.3	172.4	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	90.5	81.0	171.5	+9.5	100%

This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Besiktas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBesiktas

Date

Competition

Turk Telekom

63-88

-25

48avg 82

A11/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

82-100

100

-18

72avg 82

A14/10

Euroleague

Bayern

#18

95-87

90avg 82

H16/10

Euroleague

Galatasaray

83-80

78avg 82

H18/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

#13

80-89

-9

69avg 82

A22/10

Euroleague

Bahcesehir Kol.

96-100

100

-4

88avg 82

A24/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Olympiacos

73-81

-8

66avg 82

H28/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#15

103-101

103

101

93avg 82

A30/10

Euroleague

Cayirova

#14

93-76

+17

no box

H02/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Zalgiris Kaunas

67-83

-16

no box

H06/11

Euroleague

14-24

13-27

19-19

17-18

18-22

21-21

16-32

27-25

26-17

27-18

16-23

26-29

19-22

25-17

20-21

19-20

17-29

19-28

24-11

20-21

24-31

26-21

21-19

25-29

23-25

13-17

22-19

15-20

24-24

23-30

23-20

33-27

27-16

19-22

28-18

19-20

17-20

14-25

13-17

23-21

172.0Avg total

83.5Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.3	86.7	171.0	-2.3	50%
Season at home (3)	88.7	79.0	167.7	+9.7	100%
Season away (3)	80.0	94.3	174.3	-14.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	88.5	172.0	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	88.2	174.6	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.1	90.9	171.0	-10.8	11%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.0	83.6	166.6	-0.6	57%
vs Weaker (7)	90.3	83.1	173.4	+7.1	71%

This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 169 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 168.75.

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

61.4%

@ 1.53+0.3pp

Under 163.5

38.6%

@ 2.50-0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.53

Bet365

1.50

Marathon Be

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.27

Over/Under 168.75 · main lineActual: Under 168.75

Over 168.75

49.7%

@ 1.82-0.0pp

Under 168.75

50.3%

@ 1.80+0.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.82

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Under 173.5

Over 173.5

38.1%

@ 2.47-1.5pp

Under 173.5

61.9%

@ 1.54+1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

Bet365

2.35

Marathon Be

2.08

Under

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.52

Betano

1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Karsiyaka total 77.5Actual: Karsiyaka over 77.5

Over 77.5

66.8%

@ 1.60+6.0pp

Under 77.5

33.2%

@ 2.75-6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.43

Bet365

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.22

Betano

2.15

Karsiyaka total 81.5 · main lineActual: Karsiyaka over 81.5

Over 81.5

52.3%

@ 2.15+4.6pp

Under 81.5

47.7%

@ 1.83-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.15

Marathon Be

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.76

1xBet

1.64

Betano

1.60

Karsiyaka total 85.5Actual: Karsiyaka under 85.5

Over 85.5

37.7%

@ 2.57+2.1pp

Under 85.5

62.3%

@ 1.54-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.54

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.34

Besiktas total 83.5Actual: Besiktas under 83.5

Over 83.5

61.2%

@ 1.43-3.8pp

Under 83.5

38.8%

@ 2.70+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.70

Bet365

2.65

1xBet

2.44

Besiktas total 87.5 · main lineActual: Besiktas under 87.5

Over 87.5

45.8%

@ 1.83-5.5pp

Under 87.5

54.2%

@ 1.93+5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.69

Under

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.75

Besiktas total 91.5Actual: Besiktas under 91.5

Over 91.5

31.1%

@ 2.42-6.7pp

Under 91.5

68.9%

@ 1.52+6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.32

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Karsiyaka's side (positive = Karsiyaka win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.2; Karsiyaka win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.

Spread Karsiyaka +4.5Actual: Karsiyaka +4.5

KAR +4.5

49.8%

@ 2.52+6.0pp

BES -4.5

50.2%

@ 1.85-6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

KAR

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.16

Marathon Be

2.12

Pinnacle

2.08

Bet365

2.05

BES

BetVictor

1.85

SBO

1.77

Betfair

1.73

Bet365

1.68

Pinnacle

1.62

Spread Karsiyaka +7.5 · main lineActual: Karsiyaka +7.5

KAR +7.5

60.8%

@ 1.98+11.3pp

BES -7.5

39.2%

@ 2.05-11.3pp

Best 5 market prices

KAR

Betano

1.98

Pinnacle

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

Betfair

1.73

BES

Bet365

2.05

Betfair

2.00

Marathon Be

1.90

1xBet

1.82

Pinnacle

1.81

Spread Karsiyaka +10.5Actual: Karsiyaka +10.5

KAR +10.5

70.6%

@ 1.62+9.8pp

BES -10.5

29.4%

@ 2.55-9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

KAR

Betano

1.62

Marathon Be

1.53

Pinnacle

1.49

Bet365

1.47

1xBet

1.43

BES

Bet365

2.55

1xBet

2.34

Pinnacle

2.31

Marathon Be

2.21

Betano

2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KarsiyakaBesiktas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	27%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	27%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.9	41.8	-3.9	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.7	22.2	39.9	-4.5	17%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	30%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	100%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.2	50%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.1	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	21.1	42.4	+0.1	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.0	43.9	-2.1	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	24.1	43.6	-4.7	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.8	64%	29%
vs Weaker (7)	25.6	20.1	45.7	+5.4	86%	86%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	40%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.5	40%	87%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.4	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	39%	61%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.5	23.2	45.7	-0.7	30%	80%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	100%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	33%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.4	41.5	-1.2	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	23.9	45.1	-2.8	29%	79%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	22%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	43%	71%
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	29%	57%

KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bahcesehir Kol.

46-35

+11

A18/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Esenler Erokspor

31-31

H26/04

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

46-47

-1

A03/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#12

31-48

-17

H10/05

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Turk Telekom

44-37

A26/09

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

35-34

H02/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bahcesehir Kol.

34-42

-8

A10/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Cayirova

#14

48-41

H16/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Fenerbahce

36-49

-13

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Bursaspor

#16

42-39

A01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

79.6Avg total

39.3Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.75
Last 30 (30)	39.7	44.3	84.0	-4.7	23%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	43.1	81.4	-4.9	20%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	45.5	86.6	-4.5	27%	60%
Last 10 (10)	39.3	40.3	79.6	-1.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.1	43.9	81.9	-5.8	17%	39%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.5	46.0	87.5	-4.5	20%	60%
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	100%	50%

This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Turk Telekom

27-51

-24

A11/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

39-43

-4

A14/10

Euroleague

Bayern

#18

53-35

+18

H16/10

Euroleague

Galatasaray

44-39

H18/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

#13

36-57

-21

A22/10

Euroleague

Bahcesehir Kol.

50-52

-2

A24/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Olympiacos

36-42

-6

H28/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

#15

47-54

-7

A30/10

Euroleague

Cayirova

#14

46-38

H02/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Zalgiris Kaunas

31-45

-14

H06/11

Euroleague

86.5Avg total

40.9Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.75
Last 30 (30)	42.4	43.2	85.7	-0.8	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.9	50%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	45.1	87.4	-2.7	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	45.6	86.5	-4.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.0	46.2	88.2	-4.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.4	47.1	86.6	-7.7	11%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.9	57%	64%
vs Weaker (7)	46.1	41.4	87.6	+4.7	57%	57%

This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Karsiyaka win

KAR win

42.9%

@ 3.20+12.2pp

BES win

57.1%

@ 1.50-12.2pp

1st half Spread Karsiyaka +4 · main lineActual: Karsiyaka +4

KAR +4

60.3%

@ 1.85+10.8pp

BES -4

39.7%

@ 1.86-10.8pp

1st half Over/Under 83.75 · main lineActual: Under 83.75

Over

52.4%

@ 1.83+2.8pp

Under

47.6%

@ 1.80-2.8pp

Karsiyaka 1st half total 40 · main linePush

Over

57.4%

@ 1.85+8.2pp

Under

42.6%

@ 1.85-8.2pp

Besiktas 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Besiktas under 44

Over

43.4%

@ 1.87-5.4pp

Under

56.6%

@ 1.83+5.4pp

1st half: KAR + total 84.5

KAR & over

20.3%

@ 5.00+2.9pp

KAR & under

20.9%

@ 5.00+3.5pp

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

2.0%

@ 29.00-1.0pp

Draw & under

2.2%

@ 29.00-0.8pp

1st half: BES + total 84.5

BES & over

26.4%

@ 2.95-3.1pp

BES & under

28.3%

@ 2.90-1.6pp

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

56.2%

@ 1.80+0.9pp

Under

43.8%

@ 2.20-0.9pp

1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Under 85

Over

46.5%

@ 1.96-0.1pp

Under

53.5%

@ 1.84+0.1pp

1st half Spread Karsiyaka +3Actual: Karsiyaka +3

KAR +3

55.9%

@ 1.87+7.0pp

BES -3

44.1%

@ 1.87-7.0pp

1st half Spread Karsiyaka +5Actual: Karsiyaka +5

KAR +5

64.5%

@ 1.78+10.4pp

BES -5

35.5%

@ 1.99-10.4pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5

Over

41.0%

@ 2.22-3.0pp

Under

59.0%

@ 1.66+3.0pp

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

63.7%

@ 1.60+2.2pp

Under

36.3%

@ 2.62-2.2pp

1st half Spread Karsiyaka +2Actual: Karsiyaka +2

KAR +2

51.7%

@ 2.06+7.5pp

BES -2

48.3%

@ 1.87-7.5pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Karsiyaka (regulation)

KAR

41.2%

@ 3.25+7.9pp

Draw

4.2%

@ 17.00-1.3pp

BES

54.7%

@ 1.53-6.7pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	27%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	33%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	20%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.9	22.1	38.9	-5.2	11%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	40%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	100%	100%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.0	-0.9	40%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.1	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	23.1	42.6	-3.7	22%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	36%	36%
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	71%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	44%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	70%	30%
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	-0.1	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	38%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	21.6	43.4	+0.3	50%	36%
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.4	46.4	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.6	56%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.1	43%	21%
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	29%	43%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.5	81.5	-1.5	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	47%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	43.3	83.7	-2.9	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.6	79.3	+0.1	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.2	83.2	-1.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.6	42.3	79.9	-4.7	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.2	40.1	83.3	+3.1	50%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	41.0	86.5	+4.5	50%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.8	82.6	-1.0	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	41.4	81.8	-1.1	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	42.2	83.6	-0.8	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	42.6	42.9	85.5	-0.3	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.7	43.8	84.4	-3.1	11%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.3	40.6	79.9	-1.3	43%	29%
vs Weaker (7)	44.1	41.7	85.9	+2.4	57%	57%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

KAR win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

BES win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BES leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (KAR:BES): KAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Q2: Over 37.5	73.3%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
Besiktas +3	72.3%	1.40	Pinnacle 1.55	Bet365 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.28	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Besiktas +2.5	70.3%	1.36	Pinnacle 1.59	1xBet 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.31	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.27	+13.2pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka over 36.5	75.2%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka over 37.5	70.3%	1.48	Betano 1.62	1xBet 1.45	Bet365 1.37	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka +13.5	78.8%	1.35	Betano 1.40	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Q2: Karsiyaka over 17.5	72.7%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Q2: Karsiyaka over 16.5	78.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Karsiyaka +10.5	70.6%	1.51	Betano 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.53	Pinnacle 1.49	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.43	+9.8pp	Won
Besiktas +7.5	83.4%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Karsiyaka +15.5	83.3%	1.25	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Q4: Besiktas over 17.5	78.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +8.5	76.4%	1.33	1xBet 1.35	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Besiktas under 95.5	81.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Besiktas under 99.5	89.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 50.5	85.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Besiktas under 97.5	85.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 25.5	78.6%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka +14.5	81.1%	1.27	Betano 1.34	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka +11.5	73.5%	1.44	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.46	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	+7.8pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 48.5	78.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Besiktas under 93.5	75.4%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka +9.5	77.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 52.5	91.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 51.5	88.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Karsiyaka +12	75.5%	1.39	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka +8.5	73.8%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Besiktas under 96.5	83.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka +5.5	74.7%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Besiktas under 98.5	87.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 88.5	72.2%	1.36	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.39	Bet365 1.27	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 47.5	74.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka +13	78.2%	1.33	Marathon Bet 1.36	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Besiktas under 105.5	96.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Karsiyaka +12.5	76.2%	1.38	Betano 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.40	Bet365 1.34	1xBet 1.29	-	+7.2pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 49.5	82.5%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Q1: Under 49.5	85.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Besiktas under 101.5	92.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 24.5	72.2%	1.39	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Besiktas under 107.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka +11	72.7%	1.44	Marathon Bet 1.48	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +9.5	79.6%	1.25	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Besiktas under 103.5	95.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
2nd half: Besiktas +4.5	76.0%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka over 35.5	79.3%	1.25	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka +7.5	70.3%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Q3: Karsiyaka over 16.5	76.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
1st half: Besiktas under 54.5	95.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q4: Karsiyaka +6.5	76.8%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Besiktas under 92.5	72.2%	1.38	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka +7.5	82.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 89.5	75.1%	1.35	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Besiktas under 106.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Besiktas under 104.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Besiktas under 109.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Besiktas under 94.5	78.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Besiktas under 102.5	93.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka +16.5	85.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka over 35.5	76.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Q1: Under 47.5	77.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka +6.5	79.1%	1.25	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Q4: Karsiyaka +5.5	72.6%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +10.5	82.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas under 53.5	93.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Besiktas under 100.5	91.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +7.5	72.9%	1.36	1xBet 1.42	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 95.5	85.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Besiktas +5.5	78.6%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 76.5	70.1%	1.42	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Karsiyaka +26.5	96.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 26.5	83.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
2nd half: Besiktas under 47.5	73.5%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka +25.5	95.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 75.5	73.3%	1.34	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.28	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Besiktas under 108.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Besiktas +6.5	81.1%	1.23	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +12.5	87.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 30.5	96.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka +21.5	92.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 32.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Under 178	71.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Q3: Besiktas under 24.5	73.4%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka over 36.5	71.4%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Besiktas +16.5	95.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	81.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas under 28.5	91.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q4: Besiktas over 18.5	72.4%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Karsiyaka +24.5	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Karsiyaka +30.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 104.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 29.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 60.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 62.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka +20.5	91.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	81.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 91.5	75.7%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Under 185.5	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 74.5	76.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 178.5	72.4%	1.38	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Besiktas +21.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Besiktas over 66.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Besiktas over 65.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka +29.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 27.5	91.6%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 64.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Besiktas +15.5	94.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 103.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 70.5	86.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 179.5	74.3%	1.33	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka +31.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q2: Besiktas under 24.5	72.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 31.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Besiktas +11.5	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Karsiyaka +23.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 101.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q4: Karsiyaka under 23.5	71.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Besiktas +20.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Besiktas over 68.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 25.5	83.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Under 180.5	76.1%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 66.5	93.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Karsiyaka +28.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	83.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 61.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Q3: Karsiyaka over 17.5	70.1%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Karsiyaka over 63.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 12.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 99.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Besiktas over 70.5	93.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 195.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Besiktas over 67.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Besiktas +18.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 11.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Besiktas +19.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 10.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Besiktas over 69.5	94.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Q4: Besiktas +3.5	74.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Lost
Besiktas +14.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas over 12.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Q4: Besiktas under 24.5	70.8%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 17.5	73.8%	1.30	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Karsiyaka over 72.5	81.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 68.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka +19.5	90.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 65.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 100.5	95.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Besiktas +4	75.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q4: Karsiyaka over 17.5	70.9%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 30.5	97.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka over 33.5	86.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka over 31.5	91.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 28.5	94.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 97.5	91.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 102.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka under 51.5	92.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Under 190.5	89.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka +11.5	85.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 14.5	89.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 16.5	79.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
1st half: Under 90.5	72.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 23.5	71.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q2: Besiktas over 18.5	71.6%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
1st half: Under 92.5	78.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 93.5	85.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	72.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Besiktas over 71.5	92.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q3: Besiktas over 18.5	71.5%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Under 194.5	93.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q3: Karsiyaka under 23.5	74.3%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
2nd half: Besiktas over 38.5	73.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 98.5	93.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 13.5	92.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 67.5	91.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 95.5	88.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka under 49.5	87.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Besiktas over 72.5	91.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas +5.5	82.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas over 14.5	92.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Besiktas +13.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 144.5	92.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 143.5	93.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Under 193.5	92.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 33.5	91.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka or Besiktas	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Under 177.5	70.4%	1.37	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +8.5	85.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +6.5	80.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Besiktas +10.5	88.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 74.5	82.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 71.5	84.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Besiktas over 76.5	83.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 91.5	80.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Besiktas +4.5	75.9%	1.27	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
2nd half: Besiktas +3.5	72.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Karsiyaka +18.5	88.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Besiktas over 73.5	89.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Under 183.5	81.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 69.5	88.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Under 189.5	88.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Besiktas over 74.5	87.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.1%	1.02	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 184.5	82.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 96.5	90.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka under 47.5	80.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 26.5	88.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +4.5	74.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 145.5	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
2nd half: Karsiyaka under 44.5	70.1%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 34.5	88.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Karsiyaka under 45.5	72.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Besiktas over 78.5	77.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Over 148.5	88.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 188.5	87.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Q2: Karsiyaka or Besiktas	94.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 35.5	85.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 92.5	82.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Karsiyaka over 73.5	79.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 38.5	73.6%	1.26	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Q1: Over 36.5	79.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Besiktas over 77.5	80.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Besiktas over 75.5	85.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Besiktas +9.5	87.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Over 149.5	87.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka over 15.5	84.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas over 18.5	72.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 94.5	87.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Besiktas over 80.5	71.7%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Over 153.5	81.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Over 154.5	79.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 75.5	79.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas over 16.5	84.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
1st half: Over 76.5	76.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 36.5	81.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Over 158.5	72.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Q1: Karsiyaka under 24.5	78.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas over 37.5	78.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +7.5	83.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Q1: Over 38.5	70.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Karsiyaka under 90.5	77.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 78.5	70.5%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
Q1: Besiktas +4.5	77.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Besiktas +8.5	85.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Over 159.5	70.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Besiktas +3.5	73.0%	1.30	1xBet 1.42	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Q1: Besiktas +3.5	73.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Q1: Over 37.5	74.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Over 150.5	85.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	73.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Besiktas over 79.5	74.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +5.5	77.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Over 155.5	78.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
1st half: Besiktas +3.5	70.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.6	52.0%	54.8%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.4	7.9	36.9%	35.9%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	22.9	16.5	72.1%	75.9%	16.5

They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Besiktas: 85.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.7	54.8%	54.8%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.8	38.8%	35.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.9	77.3%	75.9%	11.9

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.1	53.7%	54.8%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.4	36.7%	35.9%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	21.5	14.6	67.9%	75.9%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	21.2	57.6%	54.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	8.2	37.4%	35.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	25.9	20.7	79.9%	75.9%	20.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.2	52.1%	54.8%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	8.1	36.0%	35.9%	24.2
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.7	76.8%	75.9%	16.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	18.7	55.0%	54.8%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.9	37.5%	35.9%	32.6
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.5	77.0%	75.9%	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.9	54.9%	54.8%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	11.1	37.5%	35.9%	33.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.1	73.3%	75.9%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	20.8	55.8%	54.8%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.0	34.9%	35.9%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.8	76.1%	75.9%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Karsiyaka

WLWLWLWLWW

Besiktas

LWWLLLWWLL

League position

#10

+0.5

Net rating

-2.4

96.8

Offensive rating

102.7

96.3

Defensive rating

105.1

53.2%

Effective FG%

56.2%

54.3%

Opp. effective FG%

57.1%

14.8%

Turnover %

14.1%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.23

36.9%

3-point %

38.8%

63.3%

Assist %

60.6%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Karsiyaka ■ Besiktas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Karsiyaka wins

Besiktas wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/26	Besiktas v Karsiyaka	92-86
07/12/25	Karsiyaka v Besiktas	73-86
28/02/25	Karsiyaka v Besiktas	79-93
26/10/24	Besiktas v Karsiyaka	89-82
23/03/24	Besiktas v Karsiyaka	115-66
25/11/23	Karsiyaka v Besiktas	94-85
04/02/23	Karsiyaka v Besiktas	94-90
15/10/22	Besiktas v Karsiyaka	81-92
16/03/22	Besiktas v Karsiyaka	77-71
14/11/21	Karsiyaka v Besiktas	67-79

Karsiyakalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Bursaspor	86-83
25/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	72-97
16/10/26	H	Cayirova	95-79
10/10/26	A	Bahcesehir Kol.	82-92
02/10/26	H	Galatasaray	78-71 OT
26/09/26	A	Turk Telekom	72-73
10/05/26	H	Bursaspor	84-82
03/05/26	A	Tofas	78-87
26/04/26	H	Esenler Erokspor	68-67
18/04/26	A	Bahcesehir Kol.	88-74

Besiktaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	67-83
02/11/26	H	Cayirova	93-76
30/10/26	A	Virtus Bologna	103-101
28/10/26	H	Olympiacos	73-81
24/10/26	A	Bahcesehir Kol.	96-100
22/10/26	A	Anadolu Efes	80-89
18/10/26	H	Galatasaray	83-80
16/10/26	H	Bayern	95-87
14/10/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	82-100
11/10/26	A	Turk Telekom	63-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	80.8	81.7	80.0
Allowed / game	82.5	82.3	82.7
Point differential	-1.7	-0.7	-2.7
Avg total	163.3	164.0	162.7
Over 168.75	67%	67%	67%
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

Besiktas

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	84.3	88.7	80.0
Allowed / game	86.7	79.0	94.3
Point differential	-2.3	+9.7	-14.3
Avg total	171.0	167.7	174.3
Over 168.75	67%	67%	67%
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turk Telekom	7	6	1	86%	83.6	73.1	+10.4
2	Bahcesehir Kol.	7	6	1	86%	92.7	86.6	+6.1
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	71%	86.9	79.6	+7.3
4	Anadolu Efes	7	5	2	71%	86.0	79.4	+6.6
5	Galatasaray	7	4	3	57%	88.6	79.4	+9.1
6	Petkim Spor	7	4	3	57%	83.7	83.6	+0.1
7	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	57%	83.0	83.3	-0.3
8	Esenler Erokspor	7	4	3	57%	82.9	84.7	-1.9
9	Karsiyaka	6	3	3	50%	80.8	82.5	-1.7
10	Besiktas	6	3	3	50%	84.3	86.7	-2.3
11	Tofas	7	3	4	43%	81.3	85.0	-3.7
12	Korfez Basket	7	2	5	29%	82.0	85.9	-3.9
13	Bordo Bandirma	7	2	5	29%	82.3	87.0	-4.7
14	Cayirova	7	2	5	29%	81.9	88.0	-6.1
15	Denizli Basket	7	1	6	14%	80.6	87.6	-7.0
16	Bursaspor	7	1	6	14%	74.9	83.6	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Karsiyaka	17	23	12	32	84
Besiktas	22	16	21	24	83

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Karsiyaka vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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