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Bilbao vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-78
20-24 24-17 21-21 22-16
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.0
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 2
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H11/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A15/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H22/04
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A29/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H13/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H20/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A24/05
ACB
Oviedo
#6
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
A06/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
20-26
26-25
17-17
24-13
11-31
27-19
30-15
4-14
20-23
12-24
20-23
23-15
14-20
24-25
11-22
23-30
19-19
10-24
26-20
20-15
17-5
13-28
19-22
17-15
17-27
21-18
19-18
19-22
13-23
22-21
19-16
21-30
24-18
17-17
24-25
18-22
22-21
20-15
12-14
159.6Avg total
76.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.683.0159.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)76.879.4156.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.284.3158.6-10.115%
vs Similar (8)74.681.6156.2-7.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valladolid
#11
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H01/04
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#2
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H13/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A20/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H27/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A04/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A06/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H11/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H13/05
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H05/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-36
28-17
28-25
15-10
15-22
21-7
18-29
21-15
13-21
23-23
22-16
15-23
12-16
17-31
31-13
29-18
23-26
20-15
16-17
22-28
12-21
18-29
15-17
17-25
21-10
9-17
21-16
24-17
19-19
14-12
14-21
12-15
19-28
18-19
17-11
19-20
22-17
13-17
24-17
156.1Avg total
77.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.079.1156.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)72.478.2150.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.879.0154.8-3.250%
vs Similar (24)76.976.2153.1+0.654%
vs Weaker (2)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
BilbaoCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A15/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/04
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A29/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A05/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H20/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/05
ACB
Oviedo
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/10
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
36.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.040.675.6-5.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.639.073.6-4.429%-
Last 30 away (16)35.442.077.4-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.778.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.941.276.1-6.315%-
vs Similar (8)34.140.975.0-6.812%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.533.573.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valladolid
#11
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H01/04
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A07/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H13/04
Primera FEB
Caceres
#10
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A20/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H27/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A04/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A06/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/05
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/10
Primera FEB
77.8Avg total
37.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.477.7-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.282.1-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.337.472.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.777.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.077.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.243.879.0-8.50%-
vs Similar (24)38.739.177.8-0.454%-
vs Weaker (2)39.534.574.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
51.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
73.6%12.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Castello wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/18AOviedo82-77 OT
24/05/18ASan Pablo Burgos86-90
20/05/18HMurcia73-82
13/05/18HBaskonia74-78
05/05/18AObradoiro CAB69-70
29/04/18AUnicaja78-93
22/04/18HMoraBanc Andorra72-82
15/04/18AJoventut Badalona56-84
11/04/18HGran Canaria92-78
08/04/18AEstudiantes84-96
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/18HPrat Joventut78-71
13/05/18HMelilla66-73
11/05/18HMelilla71-69
06/05/18AMelilla80-83 OT
04/05/18AMelilla67-95
27/04/18HMelilla88-76
20/04/18ACaceres75-83
13/04/18HForca Lleida79-75
07/04/18APrat Joventut69-68
01/04/18HValladolid97-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Castello
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forca Lleida220100%84.065.5+18.5
2 Palencia220100%85.076.5+8.5
3 Huesca110100%92.084.0+8.0
4 Castello110100%78.071.0+7.0
5 Bilbao110100%82.077.0+5.0
6 Caceres110100%68.064.0+4.0
7 Granada110100%68.064.0+4.0
8 Melilla110100%111.0109.0+2.0
9 Valladolid21150%90.587.0+3.5
10 Real Betis21150%90.090.0+0.0
11 Leyma Coruna21150%91.593.0-1.5
12 Barcelona B2020%73.577.0-3.5
13 Ourense1010%64.068.0-4.0
14 Oviedo1010%77.082.0-5.0
15 Araberri2020%94.0101.0-7.0
16 Prat Joventut2020%68.080.0-12.0
17 Real Canoe1010%70.084.0-14.0
18 Iberojet Palma1010%66.086.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2024212287
Castello2417211678
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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