Melilla vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 May 2018

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 95-67

28-22 21-12 29-18 17-15

Position#5

Record21-13

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game70.9

Melilla 🏆

Castello

Position#6

Record19-15

FormLWWLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game77.2

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Melilla v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melilla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

#18

67-71

-4

A04/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

58-85

-27

H09/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

61-64

-3

H16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

91-80

+11

H21/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

70-95

-25

A25/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

62-69

-7

H01/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

68-60

A06/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

94-65

+29

H13/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

90-66

+24

H20/04

Primera FEB

Castello

76-88

-12

A27/04

Primera FEB

22-8

13-20

15-19

17-24

21-11

15-28

9-22

13-24

16-17

20-20

10-15

15-12

26-13

21-21

20-24

24-22

13-31

16-24

20-26

21-14

13-22

20-14

20-18

9-15

12-15

18-21

17-13

21-11

29-11

23-19

24-25

18-10

28-21

24-20

12-11

26-14

18-29

26-23

15-20

17-16

148.0Avg total

73.7Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	74.5	70.9	145.5	+3.6	62%
Season at home (17)	77.3	69.5	146.8	+7.8	71%
Season away (17)	71.8	72.4	144.1	-0.6	53%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	74.3	148.0	-0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	69.6	147.6	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	73.0	80.5	153.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	71.6	72.6	144.2	-1.1	57%
vs Weaker (14)	77.1	68.9	146.1	+8.2	64%

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#17

74-78

-4

A02/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#18

78-67

+11

H09/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

52-64

-12

A16/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

83-62

+21

H20/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

75-65

+10

A25/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

97-98

-1

H01/04

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

69-68

A07/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

79-75

H13/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

75-83

-8

A20/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

88-76

+12

H27/04

Primera FEB

17-18

16-16

24-18

17-26

18-15

20-17

19-18

21-17

16-12

17-20

11-18

8-14

18-17

19-20

25-12

21-13

23-21

10-21

18-13

24-10

19-20

22-36

28-17

28-25

15-10

15-22

21-7

18-29

21-15

13-21

23-23

22-16

15-23

12-16

17-31

31-13

29-18

23-26

20-15

16-17

150.6Avg total

77.0Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	77.3	77.2	154.6	+0.1	56%
Season at home (17)	81.8	77.8	159.6	+4.1	71%
Season away (17)	72.8	76.7	149.5	-3.9	41%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	73.6	150.6	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	80.0	161.6	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.4	82.6	157.0	-8.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	77.8	75.4	153.2	+2.3	61%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	69.0	156.0	+18.0	100%

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MelillaCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	17.0	31.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	15.7	33.4	+2.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.3	41.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.3	36.3	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.5	38.2	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.0	19.4	38.5	-0.4	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	16.5	41.0	+8.0	100%	-

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraurgi SB

#18

35-28

A04/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

36-39

-3

H09/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

36-37

-1

H16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

47-34

+13

H21/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

29-55

-26

A25/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

33-36

-3

H01/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

30-36

-6

A06/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

52-30

+22

H13/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

52-41

+11

H20/04

Primera FEB

Castello

44-52

-8

A27/04

Primera FEB

78.2Avg total

39.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.4	73.4	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.0	81.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	37.0	68.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.5	34.9	71.4	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.5	35.6	76.1	+4.9	57%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#17

33-34

-1

A02/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#18

38-32

H09/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

33-32

A16/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

37-37

H20/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

33-42

-9

A25/03

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

41-56

-15

H01/04

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

30-32

-2

A07/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

34-36

-2

H13/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

27-39

-12

A20/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

52-44

H27/04

Primera FEB

74.2Avg total

35.8Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.1	77.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	41.2	82.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	37.0	73.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	38.4	74.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	41.4	78.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.6	43.2	76.8	-9.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.4	38.6	78.0	+0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.5	34.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.2	17.9	33.1	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.3	35.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	19.5	33.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.6	19.5	36.1	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	17.5	15.2	32.7	+2.3	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	15.7	36.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.1	36.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.9	17.3	36.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.2	34.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	13.2	31.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	24.0	52.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	24.4	44.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	35.7	71.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	35.3	73.5	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.8	36.1	69.8	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	35.5	69.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	30.6	66.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	43.5	85.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	34.1	37.0	71.1	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	36.6	33.3	69.9	+3.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	36.6	75.1	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.9	74.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	38.3	75.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.6	83.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	37.7	36.1	73.8	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	34.5	78.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melilla wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
27/04/18	Castello v Melilla	88-76
07/01/18	Melilla v Castello	75-68
07/04/17	Castello v Melilla	77-64
09/12/16	Melilla v Castello	82-71
12/02/16	Castello v Melilla	80-73
06/11/15	Melilla v Castello	70-76

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/18	A	Castello	76-88
20/04/18	H	Araberri	90-66
13/04/18	H	Caceres	94-65
06/04/18	A	Forca Lleida	68-60
01/04/18	H	Prat Joventut	62-69
25/03/18	A	Valladolid	70-95
21/03/18	H	Ourense	91-80
16/03/18	H	Oviedo	61-64
09/03/18	H	Leyma Coruna	58-85
04/03/18	A	Iraurgi SB	67-71

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/18	H	Melilla	88-76
20/04/18	A	Caceres	75-83
13/04/18	H	Forca Lleida	79-75
07/04/18	A	Prat Joventut	69-68
01/04/18	H	Valladolid	97-98
25/03/18	A	Ourense	75-65
20/03/18	H	Oviedo	83-62
16/03/18	A	Leyma Coruna	52-64
09/03/18	H	Iraurgi SB	78-67
02/03/18	A	Clavijo	74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melilla

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	62%
Home	LWLWW	71%
Away	LLLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	62%	71%	53%
Points / game	74.5	77.3	71.8
Allowed / game	70.9	69.5	72.4
Point differential	+3.6	+7.8	-0.6
Avg total	145.5	146.8	144.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	41%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	33% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Castello

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	56%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LLWWL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	56%	71%	41%
Points / game	77.3	81.8	72.8
Allowed / game	77.2	77.8	76.7
Point differential	+0.1	+4.1	-3.9
Avg total	154.6	159.6	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	35%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	67% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	34	28	6	82%	87.0	75.1	+11.9
2	Prat Joventut	35	26	9	74%	73.9	67.2	+6.7
3	Manresa	34	24	10	71%	78.9	73.2	+5.7
4	Oviedo	34	22	12	65%	76.4	74.0	+2.4
5	Melilla	34	21	13	62%	74.5	70.9	+3.6
6	Castello	34	19	15	56%	77.3	77.2	+0.1
7	Palencia	34	18	16	53%	74.9	73.4	+1.5
8	Leyma Coruna	34	16	18	47%	76.2	76.5	-0.3
9	Araberri	34	15	19	44%	83.0	84.4	-1.4
10	Caceres	34	15	19	44%	75.7	79.6	-3.9
11	Valladolid	35	15	20	43%	76.6	76.9	-0.2
12	Ourense	34	13	21	38%	74.7	76.1	-1.4
13	Iberojet Palma	34	13	21	38%	73.4	76.4	-3.0
14	Barcelona B	34	13	21	38%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
15	Huesca	34	13	21	38%	70.6	74.9	-4.2
16	Forca Lleida	34	12	22	35%	74.4	77.2	-2.8
17	Clavijo	34	12	22	35%	74.2	78.1	-3.9
18	Iraurgi SB	34	12	22	35%	71.2	78.0	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melilla	28	21	29	17	95
Castello	22	12	18	15	67

← all games of the day

Melilla vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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