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Binghamton vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 82-61
Projected total 143.4
Final 75-63
42-32 33-31
Position#171
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game70.5
Binghamton 🏆
USA
Vs
96%
■ BING 96%■ RIDE 4%
Pythia win probability
Rider
USA
Position#361
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game56.0
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Binghamton faces Rider on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model naming Binghamton the clear favourite because of its 96% win probability and a projected 82-61 victory that reflects the team's 1-1 season record, 59.0 points per game and 70.5 allowed per game, placing it 264th in the league; Rider, with a 4% win probability and a projected 61-82 loss, sits at 0-2, 56.0 points per game and 80.5 allowed per game, 357th in the standings. Binghamton's recent form shows a 3-2 record over its last five games, including a 58-55 win over St. Peters and a 74-67 home win over Maine Black Bears, while Rider's last five comprise a 1-4 record, with losses to New Hampshire, Pittsburgh and Siena. The two teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a 74-67 win for Binghamton. Pythia assigns Binghamton a 96% chance to win and a 87% probability of covering the home line of -8.0, while the over on the 138.5 total has a 62% chance; the game has a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Binghamton winWon
95.9%fair 1.04
Best odds1.30
Implied74.8%
Edge+21.1pp
Rider winLost
4.1%fair 24.21
Best odds3.83
Implied25.2%
Edge-21.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BinghamtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A05/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H12/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A19/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A21/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#88
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A03/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#331
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
36-40
30-32
34-41
32-35
33-38
39-43
35-34
34-28
45-39
35-43
44-49
26-36
39-27
34-27
40-40
35-51
25-35
27-27
31-28
141.2Avg total
68.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.070.5129.5-11.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)59.070.5129.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)68.073.2141.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)67.272.6139.8-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.679.9146.5-13.26%
vs Similar (11)68.973.0141.9-4.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)63.556.5120.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A06/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H08/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#75
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#166
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-48
29-33
20-40
27-33
21-28
34-37
30-49
45-37
30-40
36-32
27-28
40-34
30-40
28-40
35-33
26-43
26-50
31-45
26-27
29-39
134.9Avg total
59.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)56.080.5136.5-24.50%
Season at home (1)55.066.0121.0-11.00%
Season away (1)57.095.0152.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)59.375.6134.9-16.310%
Last 5 (5)59.675.8135.4-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.378.0141.3-14.611%
vs Similar (2)51.559.5111.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Binghamton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 133.5Actual: Over 133.5
Over 133.5
72.9%
@ 1.47+10.4pp
Under 133.5
27.1%
@ 2.45-10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 138.5 · main lineActual: Under 138.5
Over 138.5
61.8%
@ 1.93+12.4pp
Under 138.5
38.2%
@ 1.92-12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.82
Under
SBO
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 143.5Actual: Under 143.5
Over 143.5
49.5%
@ 2.45+12.0pp
Under 143.5
50.5%
@ 1.47-12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Binghamton total 68.5Actual: Binghamton over 68.5
Over 68.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
Under 68.5
no forecast
@ 2.75
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.75
Binghamton total 73 · main lineActual: Binghamton over 73
Over 73
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 73
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Binghamton total 77Actual: Binghamton under 77
Over 77
69.8%
Under 77
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rider total 61Actual: Rider over 61
Over 61
51.5%
Under 61
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rider total 65 · main lineActual: Rider under 65
Over 65
35.2%
@ 1.85-14.8pp
Under 65
64.8%
@ 1.85+14.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Rider total 69Actual: Rider under 69
Over 69
21.5%
Under 69
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Binghamton -11Actual: Binghamton -11
BING -11
80.6%
@ 2.40+41.8pp
RIDE +11
19.4%
@ 1.52-41.8pp
Best 5 market prices
BING
Bet365
2.40
RIDE
Bet365
1.52
Spread Binghamton -8 · main lineActual: Binghamton -8
BING -8
87.0%
@ 1.94+37.4pp
RIDE +8
13.0%
@ 1.91-37.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BING
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.83
RIDE
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Spread Binghamton -5Actual: Binghamton -5
BING -5
91.8%
@ 1.52+30.6pp
RIDE +5
8.2%
@ 2.40-30.6pp
Best 5 market prices
BING
Bet365
1.52
RIDE
Bet365
2.40

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -4.8-4.8
BinghamtonRider
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BinghamtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A05/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A19/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A21/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H26/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#88
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A03/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#331
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
31.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)32.736.369.0-3.633%50%
Last 30 at home (14)34.435.970.3-1.436%50%
Last 30 away (16)31.236.767.9-5.531%50%
Last 10 (10)31.836.167.9-4.320%40%
Last 5 (5)31.436.868.2-5.420%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.841.673.4-9.86%69%
vs Similar (11)31.630.762.4+0.964%27%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)32.525.558.0+7.050%0%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A06/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H08/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#75
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A03/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#166
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H06/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
26.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)29.437.166.5-7.713%60%
Last 30 at home (14)30.033.563.5-3.521%50%
Last 30 away (16)28.940.269.1-11.36%69%
Last 10 (10)26.838.365.1-11.510%60%
Last 5 (5)28.835.664.4-6.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)29.438.067.4-8.611%63%
vs Similar (2)26.525.051.5+1.550%0%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Binghamton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Binghamton win
BING win
no forecast
@ 1.39
RIDE win
no forecast
@ 3.05
1st half Spread Binghamton -4.5 · main lineActual: Binghamton -4.5
BING -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
RIDE +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main lineActual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Binghamton 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Binghamton over 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
Rider 1st half total 30.5 · main lineActual: Rider over 30.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Binghamton -5.5Actual: Binghamton -5.5
BING -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
RIDE +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Binghamton -3.5Actual: Binghamton -3.5
BING -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
RIDE +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half Over/Under 63.5Actual: Over 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Binghamton -6.5Actual: Binghamton -6.5
BING -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
RIDE +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Binghamton -2.5Actual: Binghamton -2.5
BING -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
RIDE +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 61.5Actual: Over 61.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.87
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Binghamton -7.5Actual: Binghamton -7.5
BING -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
RIDE +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Binghamton -1.5Actual: Binghamton -1.5
BING -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
RIDE +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Binghamton (regulation)
BING
no forecast
@ 1.42
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
RIDE
no forecast
@ 3.10

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BING win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
RIDE win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BING leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Binghamton -1472.3%3.20
Bet365
3.20		----+43.3ppLost
Binghamton -1375.3%2.85
Bet365
2.85		----+42.8ppLost
Binghamton -1278.0%2.62
Bet365
2.62		----+42.6ppPush
Binghamton -1082.9%2.27
Pinnacle
2.34
Bet365
2.20		---+42.0ppWon
Binghamton -1180.6%2.40
Bet365
2.40		----+41.8ppWon
Binghamton -13.573.2%2.95
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.90		---+41.8ppLost
Binghamton -14.570.2%3.22
Bet365
3.30
Betano
3.15		---+41.5ppLost
Binghamton -12.576.0%2.67
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65		---+41.4ppLost
Binghamton -11.578.6%2.48
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45		---+41.1ppWon
Binghamton -10.581.1%2.29
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25		--+40.6ppWon
Binghamton -9.583.3%2.15
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10		--+40.5ppWon
Binghamton -985.1%2.07
Pinnacle
2.14
Bet365
2.00		---+40.2ppWon
Binghamton -8.585.4%1.95
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.85		-+38.4ppWon
Binghamton -887.0%1.89
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.83		---+37.4ppWon
Binghamton -7.587.3%1.82
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80		+35.2ppWon
Binghamton -788.8%1.73
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.71		---+34.4ppWon
Binghamton over 75.574.3%2.20
Betano
2.20		----+33.3ppLost
Binghamton over 76.570.9%2.40
Betano
2.40		----+33.3ppLost
Binghamton over 73.580.4%1.89
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83		-+33.0ppWon
Binghamton over 74.577.4%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+32.8ppWon
Binghamton -6.589.0%1.70
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.66		--+32.7ppWon
Binghamton -690.4%1.62
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.60		---+32.3ppWon
Binghamton -5.590.6%1.60
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57		--+32.0ppWon
Binghamton -591.8%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+30.6ppWon
Binghamton -4.592.0%1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50		---+30.1ppWon
Binghamton -493.1%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+28.2ppWon
Binghamton -3.593.2%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40		---+28.2ppWon
Binghamton (regulation)95.1%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+26.5ppWon
Binghamton -394.1%1.36
Bet365
1.36		----+26.0ppWon
Binghamton -2.594.1%1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.34		---+25.8ppWon
Binghamton -1.595.3%1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28		---+23.9ppWon
Binghamton -295.2%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+23.8ppWon
Binghamton +1.596.3%1.26
Betano
1.26		----+23.1ppWon
Binghamton -195.8%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+21.2ppWon
Binghamton win95.9%1.28
1xBet
1.30
WilliamHill
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.27		+21.1ppWon
Rider under 67.573.0%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+14.6ppWon
Rider under 68.576.2%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+14.5ppWon
Rider under 69.579.2%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+13.7ppWon
Rider under 70.581.9%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+13.4ppWon
Over 134.570.8%1.53
Betano
1.53		----+10.6ppWon
Over 133.572.9%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+10.4ppWon
Over 132.574.9%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+9.8ppWon
Over 131.576.9%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+9.7ppWon
Overtime: no99.0%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+7.3pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Binghamton wins
0
Rider wins
No previous meetings.
Binghamtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASt. Peters58-55
03/11/26ANorthwestern60-86
28/02/26HMaine Black Bears74-67
26/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats65-63
21/02/26AUMass Lowell79-92
19/02/26ABryant University79-67
14/02/26HAlbany Great Danes74-77
12/02/26HVermont65-73
07/02/26ANJIT64-73
05/02/26AUMBC Retrievers62-79
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-66
03/11/26APittsburgh57-95
01/03/26ASiena61-76
28/02/26AIona58-80
22/02/26HNiagara67-62
21/02/26HCanisius66-72
15/02/26ASacred Heart75-86
14/02/26HMount St. Mary's55-65
08/02/26HMerrimack Warriors47-73
06/02/26AMarist52-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Binghamton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game70.5-70.5
Point differential-11.5--11.5
Avg total129.5-129.5
Over 138.550%-50%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Rider
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game56.055.057.0
Allowed / game80.566.095.0
Point differential-24.5-11.0-38.0
Avg total136.5121.0152.0
Over 138.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell330100%85.059.7+25.3
2 Binghamton21150%59.070.5-11.5
3 Vermont31233%70.067.3+2.7
4 Bryant University31233%65.069.7-4.7
5 Maine Black Bears31233%64.074.3-10.3
6 UMBC Retrievers2020%67.085.0-18.0
7 NJIT2020%53.580.5-27.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacred Heart32167%88.064.7+23.3
2 Merrimack Warriors32167%65.760.0+5.7
3 Iona32167%64.369.3-5.0
4 Quinnipiac32167%68.076.0-8.0
5 Siena21150%78.574.0+4.5
6 Fairfield21150%67.569.0-1.5
7 Mount St. Mary's21150%60.077.0-17.0
8 Marist31233%70.370.7-0.3
9 Manhattan31233%64.373.0-8.7
10 St. Peters2020%48.562.0-13.5
11 Rider2020%56.080.5-24.5
12 Niagara2020%56.582.0-25.5
13 Canisius2020%53.092.5-39.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Binghamton423375
Rider323163
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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