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BK Liepaja vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-85
20-19 8-21 28-18 16-27
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game91.3
BK Liepaja
vs
Bristol Flyers 🏆
Position#10
Record0-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game95.5
EuropeENBL· Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 70
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 70
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 70
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
61avg 70
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
45avg 70
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 70
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 70
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 70
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 70
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 70
A21/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
18-30
18-24
25-15
18-21
19-29
17-12
15-30
18-16
18-23
16-18
21-19
20-25
22-23
24-20
17-19
12-17
20-28
11-27
12-10
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
20-21
14-20
19-24
16-20
22-17
23-30
15-30
23-31
161.2Avg total
75.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.791.3169.0-13.733%
Season at home (2)75.083.0158.0-8.050%
Season away (1)83.0108.0191.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)75.685.6161.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)80.486.6167.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.190.1166.2-14.06%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (10)83.484.3167.7-0.940%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 73
H03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
65avg 73
H18/09
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
101-92
101
92
+9
91avg 73
A20/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
61avg 73
A25/09
SLB
Tindastoll
#2
L
68-85
68
85
-17
51avg 73
H30/09
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
76-58
76
58
+18
65avg 73
H02/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 73
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
68avg 73
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#7
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 73
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 73
A24/10
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
34-22
17-15
22-30
18-17
20-28
23-18
17-17
33-29
21-23
26-22
21-18
16-29
15-26
18-22
19-17
20-22
8-23
19-23
21-17
20-15
16-20
30-7
10-16
16-15
23-21
17-13
22-24
26-24
13-21
22-34
23-27
25-22
18-27
28-15
19-25
8-17
20-20
17-24
31-21
165.3Avg total
80.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.095.5171.5-19.50%
Season at home (1)68.085.0153.0-17.00%
Season away (1)84.0106.0190.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)80.484.9165.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)80.881.6162.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.990.9165.8-16.00%
vs Similar (18)85.083.7168.7+1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.577.5162.0+7.0100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
BK LiepajaBristol Flyers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A21/10
ENBL
82.4Avg total
38.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.184.6-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.387.0-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.982.3-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.982.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.744.981.6-8.212%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (10)45.243.889.0+1.460%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H18/09
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A20/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/09
SLB
Tindastoll
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H30/09
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/10
SLB
82.6Avg total
38.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.281.9-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.240.881.0-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.482.7-4.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.482.6-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.477.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.644.680.1-9.022%-
vs Similar (18)42.141.183.2+1.161%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.1
47.0%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.016.0
69.6%
70.7%16.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.4
47.5%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.0
35.3%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
70.7%12.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Liepaja
LLLWWLLLLL
Bristol Flyers
LWLWWLLWLL
#15
League position
#10
-11.0
Net rating
-5.1
86.8
Offensive rating
91.7
97.7
Defensive rating
96.9
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.5%
3-point %
35.3%
60.2%
Assist %
54.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.8 · 91.7Defence97.7 · 96.9Shooting47.7% · 50.0%3-point %32.5% · 35.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ BK Liepaja   ■ Bristol Flyers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Liepaja wins
0
Bristol Flyers wins
No previous meetings.
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26AKapfenberg Bulls83-108
17/10/26ARigas Zelli69-85
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
03/10/26AVEF Riga55-82
30/09/26HTartu Ulikool83-87
26/09/26AParnu73-76
23/09/26HTindastoll69-92
14/03/26HVEF Riga74-86
Bristol Flyerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALondon Lions76-82
18/10/26HLiverpool90-89
13/10/26ASyntainics MBC84-106
09/10/26ALeicester Riders78-73
02/10/26HManchester Basketball76-58
30/09/26HTindastoll68-85
25/09/26ANewcastle Eagles68-94
20/09/26ACheshire Phoenix101-92
18/09/26HLondon Lions78-80
03/05/26HManchester Basketball85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.775.083.0
Allowed / game91.383.0108.0
Point differential-13.7-8.0-25.0
Avg total169.0158.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bristol Flyers
ENBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.068.084.0
Allowed / game95.585.0106.0
Point differential-19.5-17.0-22.0
Avg total171.5153.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kapfenberg Bulls220100%101.077.0+24.0
2 Syntainics MBC220100%97.075.5+21.5
3 AEL220100%77.559.5+18.0
4 Tindastoll330100%84.769.3+15.3
5 Dubrava110100%87.082.0+5.0
6 Voluntari220100%83.580.0+3.5
7 Spartak Pleven43175%77.572.2+5.2
8 Tal Tech32167%84.081.3+2.7
9 Anwil Wloclawek21150%91.584.0+7.5
10 CIU21150%89.587.5+2.0
11 Alkar21150%87.090.0-3.0
12 BK Liepaja31233%77.791.3-13.7
13 Fyllingen41325%70.280.2-10.0
14 Zrinjski Mostar3030%77.381.3-4.0
15 Jonava1010%71.077.0-6.0
16 Donar Groningen2020%75.590.0-14.5
17 Lausanne Basket4040%75.090.0-15.0
18 Bristol Flyers2020%76.095.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Liepaja208281672
Bristol Flyers1921182785
← all games of the day
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