PythiaBasketballBETA
Latvia-Estonian League· Ogres
BK Ogre will host BC Kalev/Cramo on 7 November 2026 in the Latvia-Estonian League, and the Pythia model names BC Kalev/Cramo as the favourite with a 70% chance of victory versus BK Ogre's 30%. BK Ogre, 3-4 overall, averages 86.7 points and allows 86.1, while at home they are 2-2, 92.0 points for and 85.5 against, and have won three of their last five games; their recent home win over Keila Coolbet 101-77 is the only concrete result quoted. BC Kalev/Cramo, 4-3 overall, averages 84.1 points and allows 81.3, and on the road they are 1-1, 76.0 points for and 78.0 against, with three wins in five games; their last away win was 74-68 over Chalon/Saone. In the ten meetings between the clubs, BC Kalev/Cramo have won nine, most recently 104-93 on 10 March 2026. Pythia projects a score of 81-87 and a total of 168.3 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will likely see BC Kalev/Cramo maintain their edge, as their record and recent form suggest a smoother run than BK Ogre's uneven home performance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 86.7 | 86.1 | 172.9 | +0.6 | 43% |
| Season at home (4) | 92.0 | 85.5 | 177.5 | +6.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 79.7 | 87.0 | 166.7 | -7.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.4 | 90.3 | 178.7 | -1.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 80.2 | 170.0 | +9.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 83.1 | 90.5 | 173.6 | -7.4 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 79.2 | 83.3 | 162.5 | -4.2 | 17% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 89.5 | 79.5 | 169.0 | +10.1 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 84.1 | 81.3 | 165.4 | +2.9 | 57% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.4 | 82.6 | 170.0 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Season away (2) | 76.0 | 78.0 | 154.0 | -2.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.2 | 81.4 | 165.6 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.4 | 82.2 | 168.6 | +4.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 77.0 | 82.2 | 159.2 | -5.2 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 82.9 | 84.3 | 167.1 | -1.4 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 94.4 | 80.5 | 174.9 | +13.8 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.1 | 43.6 | 86.7 | -0.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.5 | 42.9 | 88.4 | +2.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 44.3 | 85.0 | -3.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 46.6 | 91.3 | -1.9 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.6 | 42.0 | 86.6 | +2.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 42.9 | 46.9 | 89.8 | -4.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 42.3 | 45.0 | 87.3 | -2.7 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (11) | 44.0 | 38.0 | 82.0 | +6.0 | 82% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.1 | 40.7 | 85.8 | +4.4 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.2 | 40.6 | 85.9 | +4.6 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 45.0 | 40.8 | 85.8 | +4.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 39.1 | 81.7 | +3.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 38.0 | 82.2 | +6.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 35.5 | 42.2 | 77.8 | -6.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (7) | 43.7 | 39.7 | 83.4 | +4.0 | 71% | - |
| vs Weaker (19) | 47.6 | 40.8 | 88.4 | +6.8 | 74% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 20.8 | 52.5% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.2 | 10.8 | 31.4% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.0 | 68.3% | 14.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.7 | 23.9 | 52.5% | 47.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.5 | 7.3 | 31.4% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.0 | 16.2 | 68.3% | 16.2 |
BK Ogre
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 | BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre | 104-93 |
| 13/12/25 | BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo | 111-101 OT |
| 20/01/25 | BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre | 87-80 |
| 19/10/24 | BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo | 69-95 |
| 13/01/24 | BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo | 67-78 |
| 10/11/23 | BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre | 106-51 |
| 01/04/23 | BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo | 66-83 |
| 24/03/23 | BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre | 76-70 |
| 16/02/23 | BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre | 99-68 |
| 14/01/23 | BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo | 78-100 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 101-77 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Ventspils | 88-92 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Tal Tech | 78-82 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Viimsi | 76-69 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 106-81 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 85-110 |
| 26/09/26 | H | VEF Riga | 73-92 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 101-106 |
| 10/03/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 93-104 |
| 18/02/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 83-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | Chalon/Saone | 74-68 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Rigas Zelli | 87-93 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 85-89 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 98-77 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Bashkimi | 88-84 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Rigas Juniori | 100-79 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Valmiera Glass Via | 74-82 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ventspils | 73-86 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Korfez Basket | 84-78 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Parnu | 79-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 43% |
| Home | LWLW | 50% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 86.7 | 92.0 | 79.7 |
| Allowed / game | 86.1 | 85.5 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | +0.6 | +6.5 | -7.3 |
| Avg total | 172.9 | 177.5 | 166.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 57% |
| Home | WLWWL | 60% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 57% | 60% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.1 | 87.4 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 81.3 | 82.6 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | +2.9 | +4.8 | -2.0 |
| Avg total | 165.4 | 170.0 | 154.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 40% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rigas Zelli | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 75.6 | +18.4 |
| 2 |  VEF Riga | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 89.8 | 71.4 | +18.4 |
| 3 |  Valmiera Glass Via | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 89.5 | 75.8 | +13.8 |
| 4 |  Ventspils | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.0 | 81.1 | +5.9 |
| 5 |  Tartu Ulikool | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.3 | 74.0 | +8.3 |
| 6 |  Tal Tech | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 74.6 | 71.8 | +2.8 |
| 7 | BC Kalev/Cramo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 84.1 | 81.3 | +2.9 |
| 8 |  Parnu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.2 | 77.8 | -0.7 |
| 9 |  BK Liepaja | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 76.0 | +7.6 |
| 10 |  Keila KK | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 72.7 | 81.7 | -9.0 |
| 11 | BK Ogre | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.7 | 86.1 | +0.6 |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 |  Viimsi | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 71.2 | 86.0 | -14.8 |
| 14 |  Latvijas Universitate | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 76.9 | 91.9 | -15.0 |
| 15 |  Keila Coolbet | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BK Ogre | 26 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 92 |
| BC Kalev/Cramo | 20 | 14 | 23 | 31 | 88 |
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