BK Ogre vs BC Kalev/Cramo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 66-83

15-17 26-24 13-18 12-24

Position#7

Record17-14

FormWWWLL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game77.4

BK Ogre

BC Kalev/Cramo 🏆

Position#3

Record26-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game72.9

Latvia-Estonian LeagueLatvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals

Other2022

Meetings · BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BC Kalev/Cramo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

85-87

-2

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

72-68

H28/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

75-81

-6

A03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

99-68

+31

A10/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-99

-31

A16/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

93-66

+27

H04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

80-65

+15

A07/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

81-68

+13

H12/03

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

67-75

-8

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

70-76

-6

A24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

13-22

21-20

26-26

25-19

21-14

14-23

28-18

9-13

16-18

25-22

9-20

25-21

23-20

27-19

25-11

24-18

20-24

17-26

15-26

16-23

24-22

25-14

23-19

21-11

20-14

19-18

24-15

17-18

10-20

23-19

22-15

26-14

19-14

14-22

17-16

17-23

16-19

21-18

10-24

23-15

154.3Avg total

79.0Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	78.7	77.4	156.2	+1.3	55%
Season at home (15)	83.8	76.1	159.9	+7.7	67%
Season away (16)	74.0	78.7	152.7	-4.7	44%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	75.3	154.3	+3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	70.0	148.2	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.6	84.6	159.2	-10.0	12%
vs Similar (10)	80.0	77.6	157.6	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker (12)	82.3	69.8	152.2	+12.5	83%

This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

91-72

+19

H03/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

80-77

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Tartu Ulikool

73-67

A09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

83-56

+27

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

85-67

+18

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parnu

83-78

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

102-84

102

+18

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

101-64

101

+37

H21/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

76-70

H24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Cholet

80-73

H29/03

FIBA Europe Cup

23-18

20-22

27-16

21-16

19-24

22-23

20-10

19-20

21-21

17-12

20-20

15-14

19-16

25-12

18-16

21-12

27-24

24-19

17-10

17-14

19-16

29-14

17-27

18-21

24-20

18-17

34-23

26-24

25-13

23-13

21-15

32-23

19-16

18-21

24-10

15-23

17-14

18-17

22-24

23-18

156.2Avg total

85.4Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	87.0	72.9	160.0	+14.1	84%
Season at home (16)	89.1	71.4	160.6	+17.7	88%
Season away (15)	84.8	74.5	159.3	+10.3	80%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	70.8	156.2	+14.6	100%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	73.8	162.2	+14.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.0	82.3	158.3	-6.3	0%
vs Similar (7)	79.3	77.4	156.7	+1.9	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.5	72.5	157.9	+13.0	90%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreBC Kalev/Cramo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.1	42.9	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.4	35.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	22.9	40.9	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	16.8	38.9	+5.4	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	18.6	38.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	23.0	38.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.6	60%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

34-42

-8

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

35-37

-2

H28/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

41-40

A03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

50-39

+11

A10/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-50

-13

A16/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

49-36

+13

H04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

39-32

A07/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

33-39

-6

H12/03

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

33-36

-3

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-37

A24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

77.6Avg total

38.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.2	79.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	41.7	83.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	38.6	75.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.0	74.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.5	45.2	81.8	-8.8	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	42.7	81.3	-4.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.9	34.7	76.6	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

43-40

H03/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

41-47

-6

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Tartu Ulikool

38-33

A09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

44-28

+16

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

51-43

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parnu

48-30

+18

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

42-37

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

48-26

+22

H21/03

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

37-37

H24/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Cholet

35-31

H29/03

FIBA Europe Cup

77.9Avg total

42.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.5	77.4	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.9	37.3	76.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	37.8	79.1	+3.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.2	77.9	+7.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	32.2	74.2	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.3	43.7	76.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.6	40.1	77.7	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.9	35.6	77.5	+6.2	65%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	16.5	38.8	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	15.8	37.7	+6.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.8	40.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	18.2	39.9	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.9	17.2	36.2	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	36.2	76.3	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	34.3	76.7	+8.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	38.1	75.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.1	39.4	77.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.4	34.9	76.3	+6.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.4	35.2	75.6	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	36.8	79.6	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.8	35.8	78.6	+7.0	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	38.1	80.9	+4.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.6	78.3	+7.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	41.6	88.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.7	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	37.3	79.0	+4.4	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.1	36.4	79.5	+6.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

BC Kalev/Cramotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Kalev/Cramo: 67.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

51%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.3	14.2	50.2%	53.0%	28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	32.2%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.5	75.8%	69.5%	12.5

They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	17.5	53.5%	53.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.9	40.4%	32.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	17.2	13.3	77.3%	69.5%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.0	51.5%	53.0%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.4	37.1%	32.2%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	76.8%	69.5%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.6	50.6%	53.0%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.2	35.9%	32.2%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.0%	69.5%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

BC Kalev/Cramo wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/23	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	76-70
16/02/23	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	99-68
14/01/23	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	78-100
19/03/22	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	76-64
06/03/22	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	94-69
06/04/19	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	85-87
06/02/19	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	118-92
03/10/18	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	78-93

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	70-76
18/03/23	A	VEF Riga	67-75
12/03/23	H	Parnu	81-68
07/03/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	80-65
04/03/23	H	Rakvere Tarvas	93-66
16/02/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-99
10/02/23	A	BK Liepaja	99-68
03/02/23	A	Rakvere Tarvas	75-81
28/01/23	H	Tallinna Kalev	72-68
25/01/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	85-87

BC Kalev/Cramolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/23	H	Cholet	80-73
24/03/23	H	BK Ogre	76-70
21/03/23	H	Tallinna Kalev	101-64
19/03/23	A	Tal Tech	102-84
18/03/23	A	Parnu	83-78
15/03/23	A	Bamberg	85-67
11/03/23	H	Keila KK	83-56
09/03/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	73-67
06/03/23	H	Bamberg	80-77
03/03/23	H	Ventspils	91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	55%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WLWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	55%	67%	44%
Points / game	78.7	83.8	74.0
Allowed / game	77.4	76.1	78.7
Point differential	+1.3	+7.7	-4.7
Avg total	156.2	159.9	152.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	60%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BC Kalev/Cramo

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	84%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	84%	88%	80%
Points / game	87.0	89.1	84.8
Allowed / game	72.9	71.4	74.5
Point differential	+14.1	+17.7	+10.3
Avg total	160.0	160.6	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	69%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	6%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	31	30	1	97%	95.2	71.7	+23.5
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	31	26	5	84%	87.0	72.9	+14.1
3	VEF Riga	32	26	6	81%	84.1	69.6	+14.5
4	Tartu Ulikool	32	21	11	66%	81.7	76.5	+5.2
5	Ventspils	32	20	12	62%	86.6	81.1	+5.5
6	Rapla	32	18	14	56%	78.3	75.3	+3.1
7	BK Ogre	31	17	14	55%	78.7	77.4	+1.3
8	Viimsi	31	15	16	48%	80.4	82.1	-1.7
9	Parnu	30	12	18	40%	78.8	79.4	-0.6
10	Tal Tech	30	12	18	40%	78.1	80.5	-2.4
11	BK Liepaja	30	12	18	40%	78.3	84.7	-6.4
12	Keila KK	30	11	19	37%	78.9	87.7	-8.8
13	Latvijas Universitate	30	10	20	33%	72.8	76.9	-4.1
14	Tallinna Kalev	30	7	23	23%	76.6	81.6	-5.0
15	Valmiera Glass Via	30	6	24	20%	73.6	92.9	-19.3
16	Rakvere Tarvas	30	3	27	10%	72.7	94.6	-21.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	15	26	13	12	66
BC Kalev/Cramo	17	24	18	24	83

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs BC Kalev/Cramo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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