BC Kalev/Cramo vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 76-70

19-16 18-21 24-10 15-23

Position#3

Record25-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game73.0

BC Kalev/Cramo 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#7

Record17-13

FormLWWWL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game77.5

Latvia-Estonian LeagueLatvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals

Other2022

Meetings · BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Kalev/Cramo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

77-68

H19/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

77-83

-6

H01/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

91-72

+19

H03/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

80-77

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Tartu Ulikool

73-67

A09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

83-56

+27

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

85-67

+18

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parnu

83-78

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

102-84

102

+18

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

101-64

101

+37

H21/03

Latvia-Estonian League

14-10

31-23

11-17

21-18

26-28

14-9

26-20

11-26

23-18

20-22

27-16

21-16

19-24

22-23

20-10

19-20

21-21

17-12

20-20

15-14

19-16

25-12

18-16

21-12

27-24

24-19

17-10

17-14

19-16

29-14

17-27

18-21

24-20

18-17

34-23

26-24

25-13

23-13

21-15

32-23

156.8Avg total

85.2Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	87.4	73.0	160.4	+14.4	83%
Season at home (15)	90.0	71.5	161.5	+18.5	87%
Season away (15)	84.8	74.5	159.3	+10.3	80%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	71.6	156.8	+13.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	69.8	160.6	+21.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.0	82.3	158.3	-6.3	0%
vs Similar (6)	79.2	78.2	157.3	+1.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	88.0	72.1	160.0	+15.9	90%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

97-76

+21

H21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

85-87

-2

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

72-68

H28/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

75-81

-6

A03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

99-68

+31

A10/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-99

-31

A16/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

93-66

+27

H04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

80-65

+15

A07/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

81-68

+13

H12/03

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

67-75

-8

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

25-32

18-18

29-20

25-6

13-22

21-20

26-26

25-19

21-14

14-23

28-18

9-13

16-18

25-22

9-20

25-21

23-20

27-19

25-11

24-18

20-24

17-26

15-26

16-23

24-22

25-14

23-19

21-11

20-14

19-18

24-15

17-18

10-20

23-19

22-15

26-14

19-14

14-22

17-16

17-23

157.0Avg total

81.7Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	79.0	77.5	156.5	+1.6	57%
Season at home (15)	83.8	76.1	159.9	+7.7	67%
Season away (15)	74.3	78.9	153.1	-4.6	47%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	75.3	157.0	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	74.6	152.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.9	88.8	161.6	-15.9	12%
vs Similar (10)	80.0	77.6	157.6	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker (12)	82.3	69.8	152.2	+12.5	83%

This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BC Kalev/CramoBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.0	39.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.1	42.9	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.1	35.7	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	24.2	41.6	-6.9	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.2	39.2	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.2	38.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.4	38.7	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	15.0	38.8	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	23.0	38.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	23.5	41.9	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	16.8	38.9	+5.4	75%	-

BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

45-33

+12

H19/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rapla

40-37

H01/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

43-40

H03/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

41-47

-6

H06/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Tartu Ulikool

38-33

A09/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

44-28

+16

H11/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Bamberg

#10

51-43

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Parnu

48-30

+18

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tal Tech

#10

42-37

A19/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

48-26

+22

H21/03

Latvia-Estonian League

79.4Avg total

44.0Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	37.3	78.5	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.1	77.4	+3.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	37.5	79.6	+4.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	35.4	79.4	+8.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	32.8	79.4	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.3	43.7	76.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.4	35.1	78.5	+8.3	71%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keila KK

#12

43-50

-7

H21/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

34-42

-8

A25/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Tallinna Kalev

#14

35-37

-2

H28/01

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

41-40

A03/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

50-39

+11

A10/02

Latvia-Estonian League

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-50

-13

A16/02

Latvia-Estonian League

Rakvere Tarvas

#16

49-36

+13

H04/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

39-32

A07/03

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

33-39

-6

H12/03

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

33-36

-3

A18/03

Latvia-Estonian League

79.5Avg total

39.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.8	80.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	41.7	83.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.9	76.9	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.1	79.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.8	47.8	83.5	-12.0	12%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.6	42.7	81.3	-4.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.9	34.7	76.6	+7.2	67%	-

This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.0	40.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	16.5	38.8	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	15.8	37.7	+6.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	18.1	41.1	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.1	17.2	39.4	+4.9	76%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	37.9	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.9	17.2	36.2	+1.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	36.8	80.2	+6.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	36.0	79.2	+7.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.7	37.6	81.4	+6.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	36.2	77.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.0	81.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.7	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.2	36.5	77.7	+4.7	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.1	36.6	80.7	+7.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.6	76.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	34.3	76.7	+8.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	38.9	76.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	35.2	77.5	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.1	41.0	78.1	-3.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.4	34.9	76.3	+6.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.4	35.2	75.6	+5.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

BC Kalev/Cramotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Kalev/Cramo: 67.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.3	14.2	50.2%	53.0%	28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	32.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.5	75.8%	69.4%	12.5

They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	17.5	53.5%	53.0%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.9	40.4%	32.1%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	17.2	13.3	77.3%	69.4%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	17.0	51.5%	53.0%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.4	37.1%	32.1%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	76.8%	69.4%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.6	50.6%	53.0%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.2	35.9%	32.1%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.0%	69.4%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BC Kalev/Cramo wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/23	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	99-68
14/01/23	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	78-100
19/03/22	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	76-64
06/03/22	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	94-69
06/04/19	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	85-87
06/02/19	BC Kalev/Cramo v BK Ogre	118-92
03/10/18	BK Ogre v BC Kalev/Cramo	78-93

BC Kalev/Cramolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/23	H	Tallinna Kalev	101-64
19/03/23	A	Tal Tech	102-84
18/03/23	A	Parnu	83-78
15/03/23	A	Bamberg	85-67
11/03/23	H	Keila KK	83-56
09/03/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	73-67
06/03/23	H	Bamberg	80-77
03/03/23	H	Ventspils	91-72
01/03/23	H	Rapla	77-83
19/02/23	H	Latvijas Universitate	77-68

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/23	A	VEF Riga	67-75
12/03/23	H	Parnu	81-68
07/03/23	A	Tartu Ulikool	80-65
04/03/23	H	Rakvere Tarvas	93-66
16/02/23	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-99
10/02/23	A	BK Liepaja	99-68
03/02/23	A	Rakvere Tarvas	75-81
28/01/23	H	Tallinna Kalev	72-68
25/01/23	A	Valmiera Glass Via	85-87
21/01/23	H	Keila KK	97-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Kalev/Cramo

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WLWWW	87%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	83%	87%	80%
Points / game	87.4	90.0	84.8
Allowed / game	73.0	71.5	74.5
Point differential	+14.4	+18.5	+10.3
Avg total	160.4	161.5	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	73%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

BK Ogre

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	57%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LWLWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	57%	67%	47%
Points / game	79.0	83.8	74.3
Allowed / game	77.5	76.1	78.9
Point differential	+1.6	+7.7	-4.6
Avg total	156.5	159.9	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	60%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	30	29	1	97%	95.3	71.8	+23.5
2	BC Kalev/Cramo	30	25	5	83%	87.4	73.0	+14.4
3	VEF Riga	30	24	6	80%	84.0	69.5	+14.5
4	Tartu Ulikool	30	20	10	67%	81.6	75.9	+5.6
5	Ventspils	30	19	11	63%	86.7	80.9	+5.8
6	Rapla	30	18	12	60%	78.8	74.6	+4.2
7	BK Ogre	30	17	13	57%	79.0	77.5	+1.6
8	Viimsi	30	15	15	50%	80.8	81.8	-1.1
9	Parnu	30	12	18	40%	78.8	79.4	-0.6
10	Tal Tech	30	12	18	40%	78.1	80.5	-2.4
11	BK Liepaja	30	12	18	40%	78.3	84.7	-6.4
12	Keila KK	30	11	19	37%	78.9	87.7	-8.8
13	Latvijas Universitate	30	10	20	33%	72.8	76.9	-4.1
14	Tallinna Kalev	30	7	23	23%	76.6	81.6	-5.0
15	Valmiera Glass Via	30	6	24	20%	73.6	92.9	-19.3
16	Rakvere Tarvas	30	3	27	10%	72.7	94.6	-21.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BC Kalev/Cramo	19	18	24	15	76
BK Ogre	16	21	10	23	70

← all games of the day

BC Kalev/Cramo vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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