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BKM Lucenec vs Nitra Blue Wings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-108
13-24 23-34 17-18 17-32
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.3
SlovakiaExtraligaRound 7· Sportova hala ARENA
Other2024-25
Meetings · BKM Lucenec v Nitra Blue Wings
03 Oct 2026
BKM 94
NITR87
14 Apr 2026
BKM 72
NITR81
28 Jan 2026
BKM 80
NITR76
05 Jan 2026
BKM 74
NITR76
22 Jan 2025
BKM 94
NITR84
19 Oct 2024
BKM 70
NITR108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BKM Lucenec winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nitra Blue Wings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BKM LucenecSlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLucenec
Date
Competition
Spisski Rytieri
#6
L
69-101
69
101
-32
54avg 71
A23/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 71
A06/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
78-104
78
104
-26
66avg 71
A12/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
57-88
57
88
-31
40avg 71
H17/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 71
A20/04
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
53-78
53
78
-25
38avg 71
H25/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 71
A28/09
Extraliga
SPU Nitra
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 71
A02/10
Extraliga
BC Komarno
#9
L
78-102
78
102
-24
62avg 71
H05/10
Extraliga
BC Prievidza
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
54avg 71
A12/10
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
25-30
13-31
19-20
19-24
14-20
24-27
19-11
19-23
24-20
15-39
20-22
12-22
18-20
18-22
9-24
22-22
25-23
21-31
11-18
9-17
11-15
14-22
19-24
28-30
20-21
18-25
22-14
20-25
23-17
23-17
25-28
16-32
23-20
14-28
25-22
21-26
20-18
18-27
13-24
166.2Avg total
74.1Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.490.4166.8-14.020%
Season at home (2)65.590.0155.5-24.50%
Season away (3)83.790.7174.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)74.192.1166.2-18.010%
Last 5 (5)76.490.4166.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.192.7173.8-11.624%
vs Similar (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Weaker (4)92.280.2172.5+12.075%
This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nitra Blue WingsSlovakiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWings
Date
Competition
SPU Nitra
#12
W
94-70
94
70
+24
87avg 75
H21/09
Extraliga
Inter Bratislava
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 75
H25/09
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 75
A28/09
Extraliga
Levice
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 75
A02/10
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 75
A05/10
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
W
92-67
92
67
+25
86avg 75
H12/10
Extraliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
25-23
27-24
13-12
18-13
17-21
18-15
20-27
26-14
21-25
19-32
18-19
21-19
26-21
16-21
25-18
16-18
16-21
13-9
21-28
28-27
24-11
23-10
17-19
159.2Avg total
82.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.876.3159.2+6.550%
Season at home (3)86.371.0157.3+15.367%
Season away (3)79.381.7161.0-2.333%
Last 10 (6)82.876.3159.2+6.550%
Last 5 (5)80.677.6158.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
vs Similar (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.068.5161.5+24.5100%
This opponent (BKM Lucenec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
BKM LucenecNitra Blue Wings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BKM LucenecLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spisski Rytieri
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/03
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A06/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H17/04
Extraliga
Levice
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A20/04
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H25/09
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A28/09
Extraliga
SPU Nitra
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A02/10
Extraliga
BC Komarno
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H05/10
Extraliga
BC Prievidza
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A12/10
Extraliga
82.6Avg total
38.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.786.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.282.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)42.946.989.9-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.144.582.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.844.885.6-3.932%-
vs Similar (1)48.051.099.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (4)45.043.088.0+2.075%-
This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nitra Blue WingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SPU Nitra
#12
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H21/09
Extraliga
Inter Bratislava
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/09
Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A28/09
Extraliga
Levice
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/10
Extraliga
MBK Handlova
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/10
Extraliga
Iskra Svit
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H12/10
Extraliga
81.8Avg total
44.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)44.537.381.8+7.283%-
Last 30 at home (3)47.035.382.3+11.7100%-
Last 30 away (3)42.039.381.3+2.767%-
Last 10 (6)44.537.381.8+7.283%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.080.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)53.036.089.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (BKM Lucenec) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BKM Lucenectheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BKM Lucenec: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.820.7
47.3%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws12.79.4
74.0%
72.7%9.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nitra Blue Wingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nitra Blue Wings: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.8
57.2%
52.9%39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.2
32.4%
32.9%30.5
🏀 Free throws14.312.0
83.7%
72.7%12.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BKM Lucenec
LLWLLLLLLL
Nitra Blue Wings
WLWLLW
#10
League position
#7
-24.6
Net rating
+8.8
95.2
Offensive rating
106.1
119.9
Defensive rating
97.3
46.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.5%
3-point %
32.4%
47.1%
Assist %
50.6%
10%
Form (last 10/6)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 106.1Defence119.9 · 97.3Shooting46.8% · 53.2%3-point %30.5% · 32.4%Ball care19.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.22Form (last 10/6)10% · 50%
■ BKM Lucenec   ■ Nitra Blue Wings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BKM Lucenec wins
0
Nitra Blue Wings wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ABC Prievidza72-95
05/10/24HBC Komarno78-102
02/10/24ASPU Nitra91-87
28/09/24AIskra Svit88-90
25/09/24HMBK Handlova53-78
20/04/24ALevice79-94
17/04/24HLevice57-88
12/04/24ALevice78-104
06/04/24ALevice76-82
23/03/24ASpisski Rytieri69-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HIskra Svit92-67
05/10/24AMBK Handlova66-76
02/10/24ALevice88-79
28/09/24ASpisski Rytieri84-90
25/09/24HInter Bratislava73-76
21/09/24HSPU Nitra94-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BKM Lucenec
Extraliga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game76.465.583.7
Allowed / game90.490.090.7
Point differential-14.0-24.5-7.0
Avg total166.8155.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nitra Blue Wings
Extraliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.886.379.3
Allowed / game76.371.081.7
Point differential+6.5+15.3-2.3
Avg total159.2157.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Inter Bratislava330100%95.077.7+17.3
2 MBK Handlova65183%76.367.3+9.0
3 Spisski Rytieri54180%95.887.8+8.0
4 BC Prievidza43175%94.580.5+14.0
5 Levice42250%86.879.5+7.2
6 Nitra Blue Wings63350%82.876.3+6.5
7 Slovan Bratislava42250%79.079.5-0.5
8 BC Komarno63350%84.084.8-0.8
9 Iskra Svit62433%76.787.0-10.3
10 BKM Lucenec51420%76.490.4-14.0
11 SPU Nitra7070%79.998.6-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BKM Lucenec1323171770
Nitra Blue Wings24341832108
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