Blackeberg vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 12:45

Final 64-73

13-18 19-16 20-14 12-25

Position#10

Record2-3

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game83.8

Blackeberg

Aros Basket 🏆

Position#6

Record1-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game77.6

Superettan· Vallingbyhallen

Other2024-25

Meetings · Blackeberg v Aros Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Blackeberg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aros Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Blackeberg Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBlackeberg

Date

Competition

Alvik

82-91

-9

73avg 70

A21/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

88-79

80avg 70

A05/10

Superettan

Malbas

86-108

108

-22

74avg 70

A06/10

Superettan

Ockelbo

70-84

-14

63avg 70

A12/10

Superettan

Malbas

63-57

60avg 70

H19/10

Superettan

23-21

26-25

19-22

14-23

17-17

23-23

26-20

22-19

17-32

24-35

31-20

14-21

17-27

22-25

18-15

13-17

13-15

17-14

19-18

14-10

161.6Avg total

77.8Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	40%
Season at home (1)	63.0	57.0	120.0	+6.0	100%
Season away (4)	81.5	90.5	172.0	-9.0	25%
Last 10 (5)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	75.2	85.0	160.2	-9.8	25%
vs Similar (1)	88.0	79.0	167.0	+9.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aros Basket Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Malbas

66-70

-4

58avg 72

H21/09

Superettan

Tureberg

#14

100-58

100

+42

107avg 72

H28/09

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

83-94

-11

76avg 72

A06/10

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

63-74

-11

51avg 72

H12/10

Superettan

AIK Basket

#12

83-92

-9

70avg 72

H20/10

Superettan

18-16

17-14

21-20

10-20

29-19

29-13

21-16

21-10

16-26

31-20

17-19

19-29

16-22

23-18

13-15

11-19

15-23

16-22

27-22

25-25

156.6Avg total

79.0Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	79.0	77.6	156.6	+1.4	20%
Season at home (4)	78.0	73.5	151.5	+4.5	25%
Season away (1)	83.0	94.0	177.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (5)	79.0	77.6	156.6	+1.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	77.6	156.6	+1.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.7	79.3	150.0	-8.7	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	91.5	75.0	166.5	+16.5	50%

This opponent (Blackeberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BlackebergAros Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	13.0	15.0	28.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	18.5	24.2	42.8	-5.8	25%	-
Last 10 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	23.8	41.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	16.0	26.0	42.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	17.0	14.0	31.0	+3.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	23.8	27.0	50.8	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (1)	31.0	20.0	51.0	+11.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	17.3	41.0	+6.3	100%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	50%	-

BlackebergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvik

49-46

A21/09

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

40-40

A05/10

Superettan

Malbas

41-67

-26

A06/10

Superettan

Ockelbo

39-52

-13

A12/10

Superettan

Malbas

30-29

H19/10

Superettan

86.6Avg total

39.8Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	39.8	46.8	86.6	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	30.0	29.0	59.0	+1.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	42.2	51.2	93.5	-9.0	25%	-
Last 10 (5)	39.8	46.8	86.6	-7.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	46.8	86.6	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	39.8	48.5	88.2	-8.8	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Malbas

35-30

H21/09

Superettan

Tureberg

#14

58-32

+26

H28/09

Superettan

Sloga Uppsala

47-46

A06/10

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

39-40

-1

H12/10

Superettan

AIK Basket

#12

31-45

-14

H20/10

Superettan

80.6Avg total

42.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	40.8	36.8	77.5	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	47.0	46.0	93.0	+1.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	44.5	38.5	83.0	+6.0	50%	-

This opponent (Blackeberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	23.5	19.2	42.8	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.8	18.8	40.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	14.0	10.0	24.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (5)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	13.8	17.8	31.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	16.8	18.5	35.2	-1.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (1)	19.0	29.0	48.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.3	22.7	36.0	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	33.0	28.0	61.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	39.2	39.2	78.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (5)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	36.5	72.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	39.0	87.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	36.0	48.0	84.0	-12.0	0%	-
Last 10 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.3	40.7	71.0	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Blackebergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blackeberg: 76.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	18.2	52.9%	49.8%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	30.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	24.6	15.8	64.2%	67.1%	15.8

They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game

51%

31%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	22.4	51.6%	49.8%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.0	33.3%	30.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	17.2	10.8	62.8%	67.1%	10.8

They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.0	52.9%	49.8%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.4	33.1%	30.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	15.6	68.4%	67.1%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.2	52.7%	49.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	5.8	21.8%	30.1%	17.4
🏀 Free throws	26.6	16.6	62.4%	67.1%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.0	52.9%	49.8%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.4	33.1%	30.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	15.6	68.4%	67.1%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.2	52.7%	49.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	5.8	21.8%	30.1%	17.4
🏀 Free throws	26.6	16.6	62.4%	67.1%	16.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Blackeberg

WLLWL

Aros Basket

LLLWL

#10

League position

-9.0

Net rating

+3.9

90.5

Offensive rating

97.7

99.5

Defensive rating

93.8

50.0%

Effective FG%

51.0%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

44.8%

26.4%

Turnover %

18.9%

24.2%

Off. rebound %

22.2%

0.41

Free-throw rate

0.26

30.8%

3-point %

33.3%

61.8%

Assist %

68.4%

40%

Form (last 5/5)

20%

Profile

■ Blackeberg ■ Aros Basket

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Blackeberg wins

Aros Basket wins

No previous meetings.

Blackeberglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/24	H	Malbas	63-57
12/10/24	A	Ockelbo	70-84
06/10/24	A	Malbas	86-108
05/10/24	A	IK Eos	88-79
21/09/24	A	Alvik	82-91

Aros Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/24	H	AIK Basket	83-92
12/10/24	H	KFUM Fryshuset	63-74
06/10/24	A	Sloga Uppsala	83-94
28/09/24	H	Tureberg	100-58
21/09/24	H	Malbas	66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Blackeberg

Superettan 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	W	100%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	1	4
Win %	40%	100%	25%
Points / game	77.8	63.0	81.5
Allowed / game	83.8	57.0	90.5
Point differential	-6.0	+6.0	-9.0
Avg total	161.6	120.0	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aros Basket

Superettan 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	4	1
Win %	20%	25%	0%
Points / game	79.0	78.0	83.0
Allowed / game	77.6	73.5	94.0
Point differential	+1.4	+4.5	-11.0
Avg total	156.6	151.5	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KFUM Fryshuset	4	4	0	100%	88.2	62.5	+25.8
2	Sloga Uppsala	3	3	0	100%	93.0	76.3	+16.7
3	Wetterbygden Stars	6	5	1	83%	80.5	82.7	-2.2
4	AIK Basket	3	2	1	67%	79.3	83.7	-4.3
5	Ockelbo	5	3	2	60%	79.6	72.4	+7.2
6	Alvik	5	3	2	60%	85.2	79.8	+5.4
7	Malbas	6	3	3	50%	79.8	71.3	+8.5
8	Djurgarden	4	2	2	50%	71.8	70.8	+1.0
9	Akersberga	5	2	3	40%	79.2	85.0	-5.8
10	Blackeberg	5	2	3	40%	77.8	83.8	-6.0
11	Huddinge	6	2	4	33%	74.5	81.8	-7.3
12	IK Eos	4	1	3	25%	76.5	86.2	-9.8
13	Aros Basket	5	1	4	20%	79.0	77.6	+1.4
14	Tureberg	5	0	5	0%	64.4	86.4	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Blackeberg	13	19	20	12	64
Aros Basket	18	16	14	25	73

← all games of the day

Blackeberg vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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