Bnei Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod Result & Analysis

Bnei Herzliya face Maccabi Ashdod in the Super League on 9 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 71% to 29%. Bnei Herzliya are 2-2 overall, averaging 91.2 points and conceding 93.8, while Maccabi Ashdod sit 1-3, scoring 74.2 and allowing 78.0. In the last five games each team has won two and lost three, and Bnei Herzliya's recent outings include a 96-93 home win over Ironi Eilat, but losses to Bonn 89-101 and Ironi Kiryat Ata 87-97 away, whereas Maccabi Ashdod fell 88-92 to Hapoel Beer Sheva, 66-77 to Galil Elyon and 67-81 to Hapoel Tel-Aviv. Historically the two have met ten times, with Maccabi Ashdod winning nine and Bnei Herzliya only once, the last encounter ending 97-86 for Ashdod in April 2019. The model projects a 90-84 score, 173.7 total points, and a 55% chance that Bnei Herzliya will cover the -5.0 line; the over on the 173.0 line has a 51% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Bnei Herzliya can keep the margin above five after their recent struggles.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bnei Herzliya winLost

70.5%fair 1.42

Best odds1.44

Implied67.3%

Edge+3.2pp

Maccabi Ashdod winWon

29.5%fair 3.39

Best odds2.90

Implied32.7%

Edge-3.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bnei Herzliya Israel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHerzliya

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

75-137

137

-62

53avg 72

A25/05

Super League

Hapoel Holon

73-84

-11

45avg 72

H01/06

Super League

Hapoel Holon

84-99

-15

63avg 72

A03/06

Super League

Joventut Badalona

75-86

-11

63avg 72

A06/10

Champions League

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

79-89

-10

48avg 72

H12/10

Super League

Nes Ziona

103-96 OT

103

73avg 72

A18/10

Super League

FC Porto

#34

74-86

-12

63avg 72

H21/10

Champions League

Ironi Eilat

96-93

74avg 72

H26/10

Super League

Ironi Kiryat Ata

#11

87-97

-10

60avg 72

A01/11

Super League

Bonn

#14

89-101

101

-12

no box

A04/11

Champions League

11-33

25-34

14-41

25-29

20-27

18-27

24-13

11-17

22-26

23-23

22-19

17-31

16-18

17-24

19-21

23-23

18-29

24-22

20-18

17-20

20-21

19-18

21-18

15-18

16-22

13-25

27-16

18-23

18-21

18-25

28-14

32-33

23-26

27-25

17-21

20-25

25-27

23-21

23-27

18-26

180.3Avg total

83.5Scored

96.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	91.2	93.8	185.0	-2.5	50%
Season at home (2)	87.5	91.0	178.5	-3.5	50%
Season away (2)	95.0	96.5	191.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	96.8	180.3	-13.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	94.6	184.4	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	83.2	93.1	176.4	-9.9	38%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	88.1	87.6	175.7	+0.5	67%
vs Weaker (10)	94.6	89.5	184.1	+5.1	70%

This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ashdod Israel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAshdod

Date

Competition

Otef Darom

#10

110-84

110

+26

no box

H24/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

82-79

no box

A27/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

108-114 OT

108

114

-6

no box

A31/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

85-70

+15

no box

H04/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

86-82

no box

A08/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

94-83

+11

no box

H11/06

Liga Leumit

Nes Ziona

76-62

+14

48avg 43

H12/10

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

67-81

-14

42avg 43

A18/10

Super League

Galil Elyon

66-77

-11

39avg 43

H26/10

Super League

Hapoel Beer Sheva

#14

88-92

-4

no box

H02/11

Super League

28-22

25-16

28-24

29-22

18-29

25-17

17-16

22-17

29-22

10-25

25-22

28-23

24-22

28-21

16-16

17-11

11-14

26-16

17-26

32-26

20-16

20-23

31-16

23-28

17-12

17-18

14-20

28-12

28-23

20-23

7-14

12-21

23-16

7-26

26-19

10-16

25-17

25-27

18-23

20-25

168.6Avg total

86.2Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	74.2	78.0	152.2	-3.8	25%
Season at home (3)	76.7	77.0	153.7	-0.3	33%
Season away (1)	67.0	81.0	148.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	82.4	168.6	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	79.0	157.2	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.3	81.7	157.0	-6.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	86.6	86.3	172.9	+0.3	43%
vs Weaker (20)	92.9	81.4	174.3	+11.5	85%

This opponent (Bnei Herzliya) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 168.5Actual: Under 168.5

Over 168.5

63.2%

@ 1.50+2.3pp

Under 168.5

36.8%

@ 2.50-2.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.50

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.48

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.26

Marathon Be

2.17

Over/Under 173.5 · main lineActual: Under 173.5

Over 173.5

51.3%

@ 1.90+1.0pp

Under 173.5

48.7%

@ 1.92-1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.86

SBO

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.87

Bet365

1.86

Betano

1.85

Over/Under 178.5Actual: Under 178.5

Over 178.5

39.4%

@ 2.32-0.6pp

Under 178.5

60.6%

@ 1.55+0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Bnei Herzliya total 85.5Actual: Bnei Herzliya under 85.5

Over 85.5

67.9%

@ 1.52+5.1pp

Under 85.5

32.1%

@ 2.52-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.34

Bnei Herzliya total 89.5 · main lineActual: Bnei Herzliya under 89.5

Over 89.5

52.8%

@ 1.91+3.2pp

Under 89.5

47.2%

@ 1.86-3.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.70

Bnei Herzliya total 93.5Actual: Bnei Herzliya under 93.5

Over 93.5

37.3%

@ 2.62+1.7pp

Under 93.5

62.7%

@ 1.44-1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.44

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Maccabi Ashdod total 80.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod under 80.5

Over 80.5

63.2%

@ 1.55+1.3pp

Under 80.5

36.8%

@ 2.52-1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Maccabi Ashdod total 84.5 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod under 84.5

Over 84.5

47.9%

@ 1.88-1.7pp

Under 84.5

52.1%

@ 1.85+1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.80

1xBet

1.68

Maccabi Ashdod total 88.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod under 88.5

Over 88.5

33.2%

@ 2.75-2.1pp

Under 88.5

66.8%

@ 1.42+2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.44

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bnei Herzliya -8Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +8

BHE -8

43.3%

@ 2.27+2.2pp

MACC +8

56.7%

@ 1.58-2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

BHE

Bet365

2.27

MACC

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.55

Spread Bnei Herzliya -5 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod +5

BHE -5

55.1%

@ 1.89+4.5pp

MACC +5

44.9%

@ 1.93-4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BHE

Pinnacle

1.89

1xBet

1.86

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

MACC

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.90

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.85

SBO

1.83

Spread Bnei Herzliya -2Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +2

BHE -2

66.5%

@ 1.54+5.5pp

MACC +2

33.5%

@ 2.40-5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BHE

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.48

MACC

Bet365

2.40

Marathon Be

2.33

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bnei HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	22.9	43.2	-2.7	24%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	23.1	46.3	+0.2	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	25.0	43.9	-6.1	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	24.8	45.1	-4.4	25%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	42%	67%
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	30%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	63%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.7	43.2	+3.7	73%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.9	42.9	-0.8	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.8	39.4	+5.8	100%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	21.3	42.7	+0.0	67%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.1	18.4	39.6	+2.7	71%	29%
vs Weaker (20)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	60%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.9	46.8	-1.1	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	23.9	46.6	-1.3	47%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	23.9	47.1	-0.8	54%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.4	45.1	-3.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.1	25.2	48.4	-2.1	50%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	22.4	43.7	-1.2	42%	58%
vs Weaker (10)	24.6	24.7	49.3	-0.1	60%	80%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	50%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.7	43.5	+2.2	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.6	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	29%	29%
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	19.1	42.9	+4.6	65%	40%

Bnei HerzliyaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

36-67

-31

A25/05

Super League

Hapoel Holon

38-54

-16

H01/06

Super League

Hapoel Holon

45-49

-4

A03/06

Super League

Joventut Badalona

33-42

-9

A06/10

Champions League

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

42-51

-9

H12/10

Super League

Nes Ziona

39-39

A18/10

Super League

FC Porto

#34

29-47

-18

H21/10

Champions League

Ironi Eilat

36-46

-10

H26/10

Super League

Ironi Kiryat Ata

#11

50-51

-1

A01/11

Super League

Bonn

#14

48-48

A04/11

Champions League

89.0Avg total

39.6Scored

49.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	44.4	46.9	91.3	-2.5	30%	70%
Last 30 at home (17)	42.9	46.9	89.8	-4.0	24%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	46.4	47.0	93.4	-0.6	38%	77%
Last 10 (10)	39.6	49.4	89.0	-9.8	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	46.2	86.6	-5.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.5	50.0	93.5	-6.5	25%	62%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.7	42%	67%
vs Weaker (10)	45.9	46.3	92.2	-0.4	20%	80%

This opponent (Maccabi Ashdod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi AshdodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Otef Darom

#10

53-38

+15

H24/05

Liga Leumit

Otef Darom

#10

43-46

-3

A27/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

39-47

-8

A31/05

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

52-43

H04/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

37-30

A08/06

Liga Leumit

Ironi Nahariya

40-39

H11/06

Liga Leumit

Nes Ziona

34-30

H12/10

Super League

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

48-46

A18/10

Super League

Galil Elyon

30-42

-12

H26/10

Super League

Hapoel Beer Sheva

#14

50-44

H02/11

Super League

83.1Avg total

42.6Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	44.3	41.1	85.4	+3.2	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	40.4	86.7	+5.9	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	41.8	84.0	+0.4	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	44.0	83.3	-4.7	67%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	43%	29%
vs Weaker (20)	46.5	40.7	87.2	+5.8	65%	55%

This opponent (Bnei Herzliya) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Maccabi Ashdod win

BHE win

no forecast

@ 1.57

MACC win

no forecast

@ 2.59

1st half Spread Bnei Herzliya -2.5 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod +2.5

BHE -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

MACC +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Under 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Bnei Herzliya 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Bnei Herzliya under 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.96

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Maccabi Ashdod 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Maccabi Ashdod under 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: BHE + total 87.5

BHE & over

no forecast

@ 3.00

BHE & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 87.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: MACC + total 87.5

MACC & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

MACC & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half Over/Under 86.25Actual: Under 86.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Bnei Herzliya -3.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +3.5

BHE -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

MACC +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Bnei Herzliya -1.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +1.5

BHE -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.77

MACC +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.14

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Over/Under 85Actual: Under 85

Over

no forecast

@ 1.71

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Bnei Herzliya -4.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +4.5

BHE -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

MACC +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Bnei Herzliya -0.5Actual: Maccabi Ashdod +0.5

BHE -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

MACC +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Maccabi Ashdod (regulation)

BHE

no forecast

@ 1.63

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

MACC

no forecast

@ 2.55

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (29)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	52%	41%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	59%	41%
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.4	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.7	24.1	43.9	-4.4	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.2	20.1	43.2	+3.1	75%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	40%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	20.5	44.3	+3.2	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.7	53%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	57%	71%
vs Weaker (20)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	65%	45%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (29)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	41%	72%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.4	53%	59%
Last 30 away (12)	22.6	24.8	47.4	-2.2	25%	92%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	24.5	44.1	-4.9	0%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.0	45.6	-4.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.7	22.1	43.9	-0.4	29%	71%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	22.1	43.2	-0.9	33%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	26.8	22.4	49.2	+4.4	60%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	70%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+2.9	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.7	44.1	+2.8	80%	53%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	67%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	22.4	43.9	-1.0	43%	71%
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	19.9	43.7	+3.9	80%	55%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (29)	45.1	43.5	88.7	+1.6	52%	59%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.7	40.6	87.4	+6.1	71%	41%
Last 30 away (12)	42.9	47.6	90.5	-4.7	25%	83%
Last 10 (10)	41.1	45.3	86.4	-4.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.8	44.2	88.0	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	46.3	87.7	-4.9	29%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.3	42.2	86.5	+2.2	58%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	48.7	43.2	91.9	+5.5	60%	70%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.1	73%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	40.1	86.3	+6.1	80%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	41.4	84.9	+2.1	67%	47%
Last 10 (10)	42.0	39.7	81.7	+2.3	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	67%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	44.4	42.1	86.6	+2.3	57%	57%
vs Weaker (20)	46.4	40.7	87.1	+5.6	80%	45%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BHE win + total 173.5

🔒 Pro

MACC win + total 173.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BHE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MACC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BHE:MACC): BHE wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Bnei Herzliya over 77.5	89.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 81.5	80.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 75.5	92.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 71.5	96.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya over 83.5	74.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 73.5	94.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 72.5	95.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 70.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya over 78.5	87.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya +14.5	95.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 164	73.4%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 79.5	85.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya +3.5	78.6%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 72.5	87.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya over 76.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 74.5	93.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 84.5	71.3%	1.37	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Over 165	71.3%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya +19.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +2.5	76.2%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 80.5	83.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod over 70.5	90.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +9.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +4.5	81.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 164.5	71.9%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya under 100.5	84.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +2	75.4%	1.29	Bet365 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod over 76.5	76.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya over 82.5	77.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod under 95.5	86.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +1	72.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.33	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod under 99.5	92.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 94.5	84.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +1.5	72.8%	1.34	Betano 1.35	Bet365 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.31	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya under 99.5	81.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 97.5	89.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.3%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya under 98.5	79.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 91.5	76.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 148.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod over 69.5	92.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 93.5	81.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Under 198.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 89.5	70.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 74.5	82.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 71.5	88.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod +20.5	89.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 73.5	84.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya win	70.5%	1.41	WilliamHill 1.44	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.42	Pinnacle 1.41	Marathon Bet 1.41	+3.2pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod over 78.5	70.3%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod under 98.5	91.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Under 188.5	80.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya under 96.5	73.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 153.5	89.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod under 96.5	88.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Under 193.5	87.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 158.5	82.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod under 90.5	73.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod +15.5	79.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod +13	73.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod over 75.5	79.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod over 77.5	73.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Maccabi Ashdod +13.5	74.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 183.5	71.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod under 92.5	79.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Over 163.5	74.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Lost
Bnei Herzliya under 97.5	76.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod +12	70.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Maccabi Ashdod +12.5	71.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Bnei Herzliya +3	78.0%	1.23	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	-	-	-	Push

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bnei Herzliyatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bnei Herzliya: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	21.8	52.4%	53.3%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.2	31.7%	34.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.2	72.4%	73.7%	15.2

They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Maccabi Ashdodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Ashdod: 69.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	16.3	43.4%	53.3%	32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.3	36.9%	34.3%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	9.3	6.0	64.3%	73.7%	6.0

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	23.9	56.4%	53.3%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.6	38.3%	34.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.2	72.6%	73.7%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.0	50.5%	53.3%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	6.7	29.0%	34.3%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.0	69.8%	73.7%	10.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	23.5	57.2%	53.3%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.9	33.9%	34.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.0	71.8%	73.7%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	21.9	51.6%	53.3%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.5	36.1%	34.3%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.0	73.4%	73.7%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.0	50.5%	53.3%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	6.7	29.0%	34.3%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.0	69.8%	73.7%	10.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Bnei Herzliya

LLWLWLLLLL

Maccabi Ashdod

LLLWWWWLWW

#10

League position

-13.4

Net rating

+4.6

90.0

Offensive rating

87.2

103.4

Defensive rating

82.6

50.5%

Effective FG%

48.5%

56.8%

Opp. effective FG%

47.7%

16.9%

Turnover %

15.7%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.14

31.7%

3-point %

36.9%

59.0%

Assist %

55.0%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Bnei Herzliya ■ Maccabi Ashdod

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bnei Herzliya wins

Maccabi Ashdod wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/19	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	86-97
13/01/19	Maccabi Ashdod v Bnei Herzliya	94-73
22/10/18	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	70-75
12/04/18	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	72-74
01/04/18	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	78-82
04/01/18	Maccabi Ashdod v Bnei Herzliya	95-87
27/03/17	Maccabi Ashdod v Bnei Herzliya	84-68
13/03/17	Maccabi Ashdod v Bnei Herzliya	94-70
24/12/16	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	83-71
19/04/16	Bnei Herzliya v Maccabi Ashdod	69-79

Bnei Herzliyalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	A	Bonn	89-101
01/11/26	A	Ironi Kiryat Ata	87-97
26/10/26	H	Ironi Eilat	96-93
21/10/26	H	FC Porto	74-86
18/10/26	A	Nes Ziona	103-96 OT
12/10/26	H	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan	79-89
06/10/26	A	Joventut Badalona	75-86
03/06/26	A	Hapoel Holon	84-99
01/06/26	H	Hapoel Holon	73-84
25/05/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	75-137

Maccabi Ashdodlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/26	H	Hapoel Beer Sheva	88-92
26/10/26	H	Galil Elyon	66-77
18/10/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	67-81
12/10/26	H	Nes Ziona	76-62
11/06/26	H	Ironi Nahariya	94-83
08/06/26	A	Ironi Nahariya	86-82
04/06/26	H	Ironi Nahariya	85-70
31/05/26	A	Ironi Nahariya	108-114 OT
27/05/26	A	Otef Darom	82-79
24/05/26	H	Otef Darom	110-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bnei Herzliya

Super League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWL	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	91.2	87.5	95.0
Allowed / game	93.8	91.0	96.5
Point differential	-2.5	-3.5	-1.5
Avg total	185.0	178.5	191.5
Over 173.5	75%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Maccabi Ashdod

Super League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLL	25%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	25%	33%	0%
Points / game	74.2	76.7	67.0
Allowed / game	78.0	77.0	81.0
Point differential	-3.8	-0.3	-14.0
Avg total	152.2	153.7	148.0
Over 173.5	25%	33%	0%
Win by 10+	25%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	5	5	0	100%	80.6	68.0	+12.6
2	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	4	3	1	75%	85.2	76.5	+8.8
3	Nes Ziona	5	3	2	60%	85.8	80.0	+5.8
4	Maccabi Rishon	5	3	2	60%	81.6	78.0	+3.6
5	Ironi Eilat	5	3	2	60%	85.2	83.8	+1.4
6	Galil Elyon	5	3	2	60%	91.6	94.0	-2.4
7	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan	5	3	2	60%	85.4	89.0	-3.6
8	Maccabi Tel Aviv	4	2	2	50%	103.2	95.0	+8.2
9	Bnei Herzliya	4	2	2	50%	91.2	93.8	-2.5
10	Ironi Kiryat Ata	5	2	3	40%	88.2	97.8	-9.6
11	Maccabi Ashdod	4	1	3	25%	74.2	78.0	-3.8
12	Hapoel HaEmek	5	1	4	20%	73.4	75.0	-1.6
13	Hapoel Holon	5	1	4	20%	80.0	86.6	-6.6
14	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5	1	4	20%	81.8	90.0	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bnei Herzliya	18	15	24	15	72
Maccabi Ashdod	15	26	20	14	75

← all games of the day

Bnei Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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