Boca Juniors will host La Union on 9 November 2026 in the Liga A, and the Pythia model names Boca Juniors the favourite, assigning a 75% chance of victory largely because of their 4-3 season record, 88.4 points scored and 81.9 allowed per game, and a sixth-place league position, all of which outpace La Union's 2-2 record, 79.8 points scored and 77.2 allowed per game and eighth place. Boca Juniors have gone undefeated at home, 3-0 with 93.7 points per game and 73.0 allowed, and have won three of their last five games, including a 90-63 win over San Martin, a 95-83 win over Regatas and a 80-72 away win over Racing de Chivilcoy. La Union has a 1-1 road record, 88.0 points per game and 89.0 allowed, and has won two of its last five, with a 75-57 home win over Argentino and a 90-86 away win over Platense. Historically Boca Juniors have won seven of ten meetings, most recently beating La Union 93-83 on 27 March 2026. The model projects a 86-79 score for Boca Juniors, a total of 165.1 points, a -9.5 spread with a 43% chance of covering, a 164.5 total line with a 51% over probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Boca Juniors maintain their home dominance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 88.4 | 81.9 | 170.3 | +6.6 | 57% |
| Season at home (3) | 93.7 | 73.0 | 166.7 | +20.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 84.5 | 88.5 | 173.0 | -4.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.9 | 85.0 | 172.9 | +2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 79.0 | 164.4 | +6.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (15) | 85.1 | 83.2 | 168.3 | +1.9 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 85.9 | 77.1 | 163.0 | +8.7 | 87% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 79.8 | 77.2 | 157.0 | +2.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 71.5 | 65.5 | 137.0 | +6.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 88.0 | 89.0 | 177.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 82.2 | 166.1 | +1.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 81.2 | 163.4 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 69.5 | 79.5 | 149.0 | -10.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (25) | 82.6 | 82.8 | 165.4 | -0.1 | 48% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 79.0 | 78.0 | 157.0 | +1.0 | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 40.2 | 84.1 | +3.7 | 63% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.9 | 38.8 | 83.7 | +6.2 | 69% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.6 | 41.9 | 84.5 | +0.8 | 57% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.9 | 43.1 | 89.0 | +2.8 | 60% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 41.6 | 85.2 | +2.0 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (15) | 43.6 | 41.1 | 84.7 | +2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 44.1 | 39.3 | 83.5 | +4.8 | 67% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.8 | 41.1 | 83.9 | +1.6 | 60% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.2 | 40.4 | 83.6 | +2.8 | 69% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.3 | 41.9 | 84.2 | +0.4 | 50% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 40.5 | 83.4 | +2.4 | 70% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 38.4 | 81.0 | +4.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 43.0 | 38.0 | 81.0 | +5.0 | 100% | 50% |
| vs Similar (25) | 42.6 | 41.5 | 84.1 | +1.0 | 56% | 68% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 44.3 | 40.0 | 84.3 | +4.3 | 67% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Union +17.5 | 81.2% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| La Union +17 | 80.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| La Union +19.5 | 85.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| La Union +18.5 | 83.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| La Union +29.5 | 96.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| La Union +24.5 | 92.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| La Union +16.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| La Union +14 | 72.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| La Union +16 | 78.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 105.5 | 97.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 103.5 | 95.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| La Union +15 | 75.5% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| La Union +14.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.33 | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 107.5 | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| La Union +34.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 65.5 | 97.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 67.5 | 96.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| La Union over 60.5 | 96.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| La Union +15.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| La Union +23.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| La Union over 72.5 | 72.5% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 101.5 | 93.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| La Union over 62.5 | 94.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 69.5 | 95.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| La Union over 58.5 | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 97.5 | 86.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| La Union over 66.5 | 88.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +16.5 | 97.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 80.5 | 71.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| La Union over 68.5 | 84.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| La Union over 64.5 | 91.8% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 92.5 | 73.2% | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors over 66.5 | 97.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 75.5 | 85.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 99.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| La Union over 71.5 | 75.7% | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| La Union over 67.5 | 86.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +15.5 | 97.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +11.5 | 94.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 71.5 | 92.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| La Union over 70.5 | 78.7% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 77.5 | 80.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 93.5 | 76.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| La Union over 63.5 | 93.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 79.5 | 74.8% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors under 95.5 | 82.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Lost |
| Under 173.5 | 70.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| La Union over 65.5 | 90.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 73.5 | 89.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | - |
| La Union under 98.5 | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +10.5 | 93.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 94.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors over 76.5 | 83.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| La Union over 69.5 | 81.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| La Union under 96.5 | 95.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| La Union +13.5 | 70.5% | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.29 | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Lost |
| La Union under 94.5 | 93.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 89.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +6.5 | 88.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| La Union under 91.5 | 88.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| La Union under 92.5 | 90.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
| Over 149.5 | 82.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 88.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Lost |
| La Union under 89.5 | 84.9% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 81.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Lost |
| Over 154.5 | 73.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| La Union under 87.5 | 80.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| La Union under 88.5 | 82.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors -1.5 | 72.2% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| La Union under 90.5 | 86.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors -2 | 71.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors +1.5 | 76.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| La Union under 85.5 | 74.5% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 72.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors -1 | 74.0% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| La Union under 84.5 | 71.4% | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.24 | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors +4.5 | 84.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| La Union under 86.5 | 77.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Lost |
| Boca Juniors win | 74.6% | 1.23 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -0.8pp | Won |
| Boca Juniors (regulation) | 72.1% | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.3 | 18.9 | 54.4% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.2 | 11.1 | 32.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.4 | 72.7% | 15.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.6 | 19.8 | 54.4% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.0 | 8.0 | 32.6% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 18.9 | 72.7% | 18.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | La Union v Boca Juniors | 83-93 |
| 17/10/25 | Boca Juniors v La Union | 80-77 OT |
| 07/05/25 | La Union v Boca Juniors | 97-92 OT |
| 21/01/25 | Boca Juniors v La Union | 97-91 |
| 29/03/24 | La Union v Boca Juniors | 83-81 |
| 22/01/24 | Boca Juniors v La Union | 89-83 OT |
| 10/12/22 | La Union v Boca Juniors | 75-84 |
| 01/11/22 | Boca Juniors v La Union | 71-78 |
| 31/03/22 | Boca Juniors v La Union | 116-66 |
| 25/03/22 | La Union v Boca Juniors | 67-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | San Martin | 90-63 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Regatas | 95-83 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Racing de Chivilcoy | 80-72 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Argentino | 82-84 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Olimpico | 80-93 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Quimsa | 96-105 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Obera TC | 96-73 |
| 31/05/26 | H | Quimsa | 83-94 |
| 30/05/26 | H | Quimsa | 99-92 |
| 26/05/26 | A | Quimsa | 78-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Argentino | 75-57 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Racing de Chivilcoy | 68-74 OT |
| 06/10/26 | A | Platense | 90-86 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Gimnasia | 86-92 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Independiente de Oliva | 92-97 |
| 01/05/26 | A | Independiente de Oliva | 78-83 |
| 27/04/26 | H | Independiente de Oliva | 86-62 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Independiente de Oliva | 91-102 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Atenas | 82-84 |
| 15/04/26 | H | Penarol | 91-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 57% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 88.4 | 93.7 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.9 | 73.0 | 88.5 |
| Point differential | +6.6 | +20.7 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 170.3 | 166.7 | 173.0 |
| Over 162.5 | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLW | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.8 | 71.5 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 77.2 | 65.5 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +2.5 | +6.0 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 137.0 | 177.0 |
| Over 162.5 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.2 | 74.5 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 76.6 | 73.5 | +3.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 77.1 | 75.7 | +1.4 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.0 | 83.0 | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 81.9 | +6.6 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.4 | 85.7 | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.8 | 77.2 | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 80.3 | +0.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.7 | 81.0 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 74.0 | 75.2 | -1.2 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.5 | -3.5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.5 | 81.7 | -4.2 | |
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 69.5 | 77.2 | -7.7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 77.1 | 81.5 | -4.4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 80.9 | 87.9 | -7.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 97 | |
| 24 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 93 |
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