Boca Juniors vs Lanus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 80-78 (OT)

16-23 16-11 25-20 14-17 9-7

Position#3

Record6-5

FormLWLWL

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game69.2

Boca Juniors 🏆

Lanus

Position#15

Record2-8

FormLLWLL

Points / game68.4

Allowed / game71.9

Liga ARound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Lanus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lanus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#14

92-76

+16

A24/10

Liga A

Quilmes

68-70 OT

-2

A26/10

Liga A

Penarol

84-75

H29/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

79-70

H01/11

Liga A

Quilmes

58-60

-2

H02/11

Liga A

Bauru

69-73

-4

A05/11

South American League

Sao Jose

78-57

+21

H06/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#10

69-77

-8

A11/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

78-67

+11

H12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

65-70

-5

H15/11

Liga A

20-24

23-20

21-10

28-22

11-17

22-12

12-23

16-9

18-12

22-16

18-25

26-22

21-10

20-13

18-25

20-22

14-12

13-12

11-14

20-22

15-16

19-30

23-17

12-10

22-14

26-15

12-19

18-9

14-18

13-25

20-21

22-13

18-12

19-14

19-16

22-25

22-16

12-21

17-20

14-13

143.5Avg total

74.0Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	75.5	69.2	144.6	+6.3	55%
Season at home (6)	75.5	67.3	142.8	+8.2	67%
Season away (5)	75.4	71.4	146.8	+4.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	69.5	143.5	+4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	68.8	140.6	+3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	69.0	130.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	75.2	72.1	147.2	+3.1	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	81.9	68.1	149.9	+13.8	75%

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#10

64-68

-4

H12/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

64-81

-17

H13/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

73-75

-2

A19/10

Liga A

Quilmes

69-86

-17

A20/10

Liga A

Penarol

79-62

+17

H24/10

Liga A

Argentino

81-87

-6

H31/10

Liga A

Penarol

69-76

-7

A02/11

Liga A

Argentino

71-55

+16

A04/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

63-73

-10

A09/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

51-56

-5

H10/11

Liga A

14-14

17-18

17-15

16-21

13-24

12-28

22-19

17-10

16-12

18-16

22-30

17-17

20-20

8-25

27-14

14-27

21-10

14-10

23-18

21-24

18-19

16-28

25-16

22-24

21-17

14-16

18-23

16-20

13-13

18-17

13-15

27-10

15-23

13-16

10-17

25-17

17-13

15-9

13-21

6-13

140.3Avg total

68.4Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	68.4	71.9	140.3	-3.5	20%
Season at home (5)	67.8	70.8	138.6	-3.0	20%
Season away (5)	69.0	73.0	142.0	-4.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	68.4	71.9	140.3	-3.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.0	69.4	136.4	-2.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	67.9	71.6	139.4	-3.7	22%
vs Similar (14)	68.9	72.1	141.0	-3.3	36%
vs Weaker (7)	79.4	68.4	147.9	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	14.2	35.0	+6.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	15.1	32.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.6	15.9	36.5	+4.8	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.5	35.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	18.4	34.9	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	16.5	33.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.2	16.7	32.9	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	17.2	32.7	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.7	16.6	32.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.4	17.8	33.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	18.3	32.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	14.1	18.6	32.7	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	14.5	16.2	30.7	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	71%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#14

43-44

-1

A24/10

Liga A

Quilmes

33-29

A26/10

Liga A

Penarol

40-28

+12

H29/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

41-23

+18

H01/11

Liga A

Quilmes

27-24

H02/11

Liga A

Bauru

34-46

-12

A05/11

South American League

Sao Jose

48-29

+19

H06/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#10

27-43

-16

A11/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

37-26

+11

H12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-37

-3

H15/11

Liga A

69.3Avg total

36.4Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	33.9	72.7	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	30.0	69.2	+9.2	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	37.9	76.2	+0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	32.9	69.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.2	72.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	38.0	70.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.2	34.5	70.8	+1.7	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.2	33.2	74.4	+8.1	69%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#10

31-32

-1

H12/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

25-52

-27

H13/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

34-28

A19/10

Liga A

Quilmes

28-45

-17

A20/10

Liga A

Penarol

35-20

+15

H24/10

Liga A

Argentino

34-47

-13

H31/10

Liga A

Penarol

35-33

A02/11

Liga A

Argentino

31-30

A04/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-39

-11

A09/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-22

+10

H10/11

Liga A

66.1Avg total

31.3Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.2	34.7	67.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.3	33.4	67.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.9	36.1	68.1	-4.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.3	34.8	66.1	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	34.2	66.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	31.0	35.6	66.6	-4.6	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	31.5	34.4	65.9	-2.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.4	34.3	73.7	+5.1	86%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	16.3	35.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.9	36.9	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.4	34.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.7	17.6	36.2	+1.1	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.5	37.5	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.0	31.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	16.0	27.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.2	18.4	36.7	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.6	74.9	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	33.8	73.1	+5.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	35.7	72.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	32.6	68.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	31.0	60.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.9	37.5	76.5	+1.4	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.2	34.3	74.5	+5.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	35.7	72.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	35.1	71.7	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	36.3	74.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.1	74.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	35.2	70.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.9	36.0	72.9	+0.9	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	36.2	72.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	34.1	74.1	+5.9	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/13	Lanus v Boca Juniors	64-81
26/01/13	Boca Juniors v Lanus	78-83
09/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	67-69
04/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	77-65
07/10/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	72-66
29/09/12	Boca Juniors v Lanus	75-70
20/02/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	74-69
13/12/11	Boca Juniors v Lanus	71-76
16/10/11	Boca Juniors v Lanus	50-79
09/10/11	Lanus v Boca Juniors	61-62

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/13	H	Gimnasia	65-70
12/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-67
11/11/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-77
06/11/13	H	Sao Jose	78-57
05/11/13	A	Bauru	69-73
02/11/13	H	Quilmes	58-60
01/11/13	H	Weber Bahia	79-70
29/10/13	H	Penarol	84-75
26/10/13	A	Quilmes	68-70 OT
24/10/13	A	Weber Bahia	92-76

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/13	H	Gimnasia	51-56
09/11/13	A	Gimnasia	63-73
04/11/13	A	Argentino	71-55
02/11/13	A	Penarol	69-76
31/10/13	H	Argentino	81-87
24/10/13	H	Penarol	79-62
20/10/13	A	Quilmes	69-86
19/10/13	A	Weber Bahia	73-75
13/10/13	H	Boca Juniors	64-81
12/10/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	55%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	LWWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	67%	40%
Points / game	75.5	75.5	75.4
Allowed / game	69.2	67.3	71.4
Point differential	+6.3	+8.2	+4.0
Avg total	144.6	142.8	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

Lanus

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LLWLL	20%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Points / game	68.4	67.8	69.0
Allowed / game	71.9	70.8	73.0
Point differential	-3.5	-3.0	-4.0
Avg total	140.3	138.6	142.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	11	9	2	82%	82.1	72.7	+9.4
2	Gimnasia	12	9	3	75%	72.6	71.8	+0.8
3	Atenas	12	8	4	67%	76.8	75.4	+1.3
4	Obras Sanitarias	11	7	4	64%	72.8	70.9	+1.9
5	Quilmes	10	6	4	60%	77.1	75.0	+2.1
6	Boca Juniors	11	6	5	55%	75.5	69.2	+6.3
7	Estudiantes	11	6	5	55%	72.8	70.8	+2.0
8	Quimsa	11	6	5	55%	80.1	81.5	-1.4
9	Penarol	10	5	5	50%	77.1	74.4	+2.7
10	Libertad	12	6	6	50%	74.8	72.6	+2.2
11	Argentino	10	4	6	40%	70.1	75.1	-5.0
12	Sionista	11	4	7	36%	71.0	73.1	-2.1
13	La Union	11	4	7	36%	76.0	81.3	-5.3
14	Weber Bahia	10	3	7	30%	73.5	79.7	-6.2
15	Lanus	10	2	8	20%	68.4	71.9	-3.5
16	Olimpico	11	2	9	18%	71.8	78.4	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Boca Juniors	16	16	25	14	9	80
Lanus	23	11	20	17	7	78

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Lanus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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