Boca Juniors vs Lanus Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 64-66

13-17 14-11 17-24 20-14

Position#14

Record0-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game80.8

Boca Juniors

Lanus 🏆

Position#17

Record1-5

FormLLLLW

Points / game71.3

Allowed / game87.5

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Lanus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lanus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

79-81

-2

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

67-81

-14

A11/05

Liga A

Penarol

73-83

-10

H13/05

Liga A

Atenas

66-76

-10

H02/10

Liga A

Tinguiririca

#11

68-65

H07/10

South American League

Carabobo

#14

70-58

+12

A08/10

South American League

Comunikt

82-90

-8

A10/10

South American League

Quilmes

81-82

-1

A15/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

75-82

-7

A17/10

Liga A

Penarol

81-83 OT

-2

H19/10

Liga A

19-14

14-11

25-30

21-26

19-16

20-19

11-34

17-12

7-21

19-17

30-15

17-30

20-19

7-21

21-18

18-18

18-20

15-22

22-15

13-8

24-21

14-10

18-14

14-13

16-31

21-24

26-14

19-21

20-18

12-25

18-17

31-22

23-20

10-18

18-21

24-23

22-17

24-11

16-26

13-21

152.3Avg total

74.2Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	75.8	80.8	156.5	-5.0	0%
Season at home (2)	73.5	79.5	153.0	-6.0	0%
Season away (2)	78.0	82.0	160.0	-4.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	78.1	152.3	-3.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	79.0	156.8	-1.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.3	78.3	154.7	-2.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.0	78.9	154.9	-2.9	43%
vs Weaker (13)	80.3	72.2	152.5	+8.1	77%

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

89-99

-10

A22/03

Liga A

Atenas

80-107

107

-27

A24/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

84-97

-13

H28/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

84-92

-8

H06/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

56-93

-37

A01/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

76-92

-16

H04/10

Liga A

Penarol

63-96

-33

A10/10

Liga A

Quilmes

76-92

-16

A11/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

75-83

-8

A14/10

Liga A

Penarol

82-69

+13

H18/10

Liga A

20-18

16-31

23-19

30-31

20-34

15-24

25-17

20-32

31-25

18-27

18-22

17-23

19-19

20-13

23-24

22-36

19-22

12-28

13-21

12-22

24-25

27-20

11-28

14-19

14-18

12-22

21-31

16-25

14-24

15-22

19-30

28-16

23-21

17-23

21-15

14-24

18-16

16-21

24-19

24-13

168.5Avg total

76.5Scored

92.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	71.3	87.5	158.8	-16.2	17%
Season at home (2)	79.0	80.5	159.5	-1.5	50%
Season away (4)	67.5	91.0	158.5	-23.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	92.0	168.5	-15.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	86.4	160.8	-12.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	77.5	88.0	165.6	-10.5	19%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.0	81.5	157.5	-5.5	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.3	37.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	17.6	20.8	38.5	-3.2	23%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	21.2	44.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	17.8	33.4	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	17.3	31.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.3	15.2	36.5	+6.2	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.1	19.8	34.9	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	14.0	21.5	35.5	-7.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	23.1	39.9	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	14.5	15.0	29.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

33-25

A09/05

Liga A

Penarol

39-35

A11/05

Liga A

Penarol

26-38

-12

H13/05

Liga A

Atenas

27-40

-13

H02/10

Liga A

Tinguiririca

#11

33-42

-9

H07/10

South American League

Carabobo

#14

38-31

A08/10

South American League

Comunikt

37-55

-18

A10/10

South American League

Quilmes

32-43

-11

A15/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

33-38

-5

A17/10

Liga A

Penarol

46-28

+18

H19/10

Liga A

71.9Avg total

34.4Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.6	72.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.7	36.1	72.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.0	36.9	72.9	-0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	37.5	71.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	35.7	70.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	34.3	37.3	71.6	-3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.9	36.0	74.9	+2.9	69%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

36-49

-13

A22/03

Liga A

Atenas

35-58

-23

A24/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

49-52

-3

H28/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

39-32

H06/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

31-50

-19

A01/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

51-45

H04/10

Liga A

Penarol

26-40

-14

A10/10

Liga A

Quilmes

29-46

-17

A11/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

40-44

-4

A14/10

Liga A

Penarol

34-37

-3

H18/10

Liga A

82.3Avg total

37.0Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	41.4	77.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	38.9	79.0	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.1	43.3	76.4	-10.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	45.3	82.3	-8.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.4	78.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	36.3	42.3	78.7	-6.0	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	35.0	35.2	70.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	17.9	40.6	+4.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.2	37.1	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.7	39.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.6	43.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.7	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.7	20.6	42.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	22.2	43.5	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	23.7	43.9	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	38.3	78.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	37.4	80.0	+5.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	39.1	77.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.0	41.3	82.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.4	34.7	74.1	+4.7	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	44.7	85.1	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	44.2	85.5	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	45.1	84.8	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	46.7	86.2	-7.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	44.0	82.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	40.3	44.5	84.8	-4.2	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	41.0	46.2	87.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
28/03/14	Lanus v Boca Juniors	84-97
26/01/14	Boca Juniors v Lanus	83-75
16/11/13	Boca Juniors v Lanus	80-78 OT
13/10/13	Lanus v Boca Juniors	64-81
26/01/13	Boca Juniors v Lanus	78-83
09/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	67-69
04/11/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	77-65
07/10/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	72-66
29/09/12	Boca Juniors v Lanus	75-70
20/02/12	Lanus v Boca Juniors	74-69

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/14	H	Penarol	81-83 OT
17/10/14	A	Weber Bahia	75-82
15/10/14	A	Quilmes	81-82
10/10/14	A	Comunikt	82-90
08/10/14	A	Carabobo	70-58
07/10/14	H	Tinguiririca	68-65
02/10/14	H	Atenas	66-76
13/05/14	H	Penarol	73-83
11/05/14	A	Penarol	67-81
09/05/14	A	Penarol	79-81

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/14	H	Penarol	82-69
14/10/14	A	Weber Bahia	75-83
11/10/14	A	Quilmes	76-92
10/10/14	A	Penarol	63-96
04/10/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-92
01/10/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	56-93
06/04/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	84-92
28/03/14	H	Boca Juniors	84-97
24/03/14	A	Atenas	80-107
22/03/14	A	Quimsa	89-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.8	73.5	78.0
Allowed / game	80.8	79.5	82.0
Point differential	-5.0	-6.0	-4.0
Avg total	156.5	153.0	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	25%	50%	0%

Lanus

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	17%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	17%	50%	0%
Points / game	71.3	79.0	67.5
Allowed / game	87.5	80.5	91.0
Point differential	-16.2	-1.5	-23.5
Avg total	158.8	159.5	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	5	5	0	100%	81.0	61.2	+19.8
2	Regatas	7	6	1	86%	83.6	76.4	+7.1
3	Libertad	5	4	1	80%	79.4	74.2	+5.2
4	Argentino	4	3	1	75%	76.0	67.5	+8.5
5	Penarol	7	5	2	71%	81.1	75.1	+6.0
6	Quimsa	6	4	2	67%	80.7	73.7	+7.0
7	Quilmes	6	4	2	67%	77.0	76.0	+1.0
8	Weber Bahia	8	5	3	62%	81.6	80.2	+1.4
9	Estudiantes	6	3	3	50%	73.3	69.3	+4.0
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	84.0	84.2	-0.2
11	La Union	7	3	4	43%	75.9	79.9	-4.0
12	Gimnasia	6	2	4	33%	75.0	76.5	-1.5
13	San Martin	6	2	4	33%	72.2	75.2	-3.0
14	Atenas	6	2	4	33%	73.3	79.2	-5.8
15	Sionista	6	1	5	17%	72.0	80.3	-8.3
16	Lanus	6	1	5	17%	71.3	87.5	-16.2
17	Ciclista	7	1	6	14%	67.3	78.1	-10.9
18	Boca Juniors	4	0	4	0%	75.8	80.8	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	13	14	17	20	64
Lanus	17	11	24	14	66

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Lanus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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