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Boise State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-67
29-35 35-32
Position#66
Record17-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#189
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Boise State v Fresno State
01 Feb 2025
BOIS82
FRES60
17 Feb 2024
BOIS90
FRES66
24 Jan 2023
BOIS63
FRES53
28 Dec 2021
BOIS65
FRES55
02 Mar 2021
BOIS64
FRES67
20 Jan 2021
BOIS73
FRES51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#29
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
66-78 OT
66
78
-12
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-40
31-38
38-39
47-38
33-28
39-46
31-32
31-41
42-30
36-36
27-28
34-31
37-39
42-31
30-37
51-40
17-29
46-34
20-24
38-38
141.2Avg total
69.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.066.1142.1+10.074%
Season at home (10)76.661.5138.1+15.1100%
Season away (13)75.669.6145.2+6.054%
Last 10 (10)69.871.4141.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.069.2138.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.373.7134.0-13.30%
vs Similar (11)71.669.4141.0+2.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.062.9141.9+16.188%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H21/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
21-45
19-19
34-34
28-28
37-27
29-33
24-36
33-22
36-41
39-31
28-33
20-32
33-35
26-36
31-39
32-30
35-34
40-32
27-36
127.3Avg total
61.3Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.367.4133.7-1.150%
Season at home (11)70.164.4134.5+5.764%
Season away (9)61.771.1132.8-9.433%
Last 10 (10)61.366.0127.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)62.267.6129.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)59.474.6134.0-15.30%
vs Similar (9)73.169.2142.3+3.956%
vs Weaker (10)73.661.8135.4+11.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -5.4-5.4
Boise StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#29
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A27/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
30.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.365.5+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.831.165.8+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)33.931.465.3+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)30.032.662.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)26.231.457.6-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.338.066.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)29.530.960.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.630.268.9+8.475%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
19-19
19
19
+0
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H21/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A27/02
NCAA
58.7Avg total
29.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.230.761.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.929.760.6+1.235%-
Last 30 away (13)31.532.063.5-0.562%-
Last 10 (10)29.629.158.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.263.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.035.262.2-8.218%-
vs Similar (9)32.831.264.0+1.667%-
vs Weaker (10)34.325.359.6+9.060%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boise State wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
21/01/21Boise State v Fresno State73-51
26/01/20Fresno State v Boise State53-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21ASan Diego State58-62
26/02/21ASan Diego State66-78 OT
20/02/21HUtah State81-77
18/02/21HUtah State79-70
14/02/21HUNLV61-59
12/02/21HUNLV78-66
07/02/21ANevada62-73
06/02/21ANevada72-74
30/01/21AColorado State85-77
28/01/21AColorado State56-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AUNLV67-68
25/02/21AUNLV67-64
21/02/21HSan Diego State57-75
19/02/21HSan Diego State53-67
13/02/21AAir Force67-64
12/02/21AAir Force69-63
05/02/21HUtah State53-69
31/01/21HNew Mexico65-55
29/01/21HNew Mexico64-62 OT
21/01/21ABoise State51-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %74%100%54%
Points / game76.076.675.6
Allowed / game66.161.569.6
Point differential+10.0+15.1+6.0
Avg total142.1138.1145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%64%33%
Points / game66.370.161.7
Allowed / game67.464.471.1
Point differential-1.1+5.7-9.4
Avg total133.7134.5132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2319483%74.660.0+14.6
2 Colorado State2016480%75.064.5+10.6
3 Boise State2317674%76.066.1+10.0
4 Grand Canyon1914574%76.562.1+14.5
5 Utah State2114767%75.164.2+10.9
6 Nevada2213959%72.168.5+3.6
7 Wyoming2112957%76.176.1+0.0
8 Fresno State20101050%66.367.4-1.1
9 UNLV23111248%70.067.2+2.9
10 San Jose State2051525%65.080.0-14.9
11 New Mexico1841422%61.771.1-9.4
12 Air Force2451921%59.071.6-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State293564
Fresno State353267
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