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San Diego State vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-66 (OT)
29-17 34-46 15-3
Position#15
Record17-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game59.8
vs
Position#66
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · San Diego State v Boise State
03 Jan 2026
SAN 110
BOIS107
13 Mar 2025
SAN 52
BOIS62
15 Feb 2025
SAN 64
BOIS47
08 Mar 2024
SAN 77
BOIS79
03 Feb 2023
SAN 72
BOIS52
22 Jan 2022
SAN 37
BOIS42
27 Feb 2021
SAN 62
BOIS58
25 Feb 2021
SAN 78
BOIS66
06 Mar 2020
SAN 81
BOIS68
11 Jan 2020
SAN 83
BOIS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
98-61
98
61
+37
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
75-57
75
57
+18
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-33
25-24
32-22
27-42
52-16
46-45
44-31
47-28
63-30
24-27
51-28
47-43
47-29
38-25
33-27
44-28
32-20
35-33
36-26
39-31
137.0Avg total
78.2Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.059.8134.8+15.281%
Season at home (14)75.759.8135.5+15.986%
Season away (7)73.659.9133.4+13.771%
Last 10 (10)78.258.8137.0+19.480%
Last 5 (5)80.458.0138.4+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)62.265.6127.8-3.420%
vs Weaker (25)77.260.2137.4+17.092%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A14/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A28/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
55-33
35-37
28-30
45-21
25-40
31-38
38-39
47-38
33-28
39-46
31-32
31-41
42-30
36-36
27-28
34-31
37-39
42-31
30-37
51-40
143.2Avg total
73.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.465.7143.1+11.781%
Season at home (10)76.661.5138.1+15.1100%
Season away (11)78.169.5147.6+8.564%
Last 10 (10)73.769.5143.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)72.269.0141.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.373.7134.0-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.569.3141.8+3.270%
vs Weaker (17)78.362.8141.1+15.588%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.8+14.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +3.2+3.2
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.8+14.81st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +3.2+3.2
San Diego StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
52-16
52
16
+36
A23/01
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H31/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#322
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A21/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
41.0Scored
26.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.129.366.4+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.229.766.9+7.570%-
Last 30 away (10)36.828.665.4+8.280%-
Last 10 (10)41.026.267.2+14.890%-
Last 5 (5)39.826.065.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.429.461.8+3.060%-
vs Weaker (25)38.029.367.3+8.776%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#144
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A14/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.866.7+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.831.165.8+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)35.132.367.4+2.853%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.668.2+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.266.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.338.066.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.232.263.4-1.040%-
vs Weaker (17)38.330.468.7+7.971%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Diego State wins
0
Boise State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/21AFresno State75-57
19/02/21AFresno State67-53
11/02/21HSan Jose State77-55
09/02/21HSan Jose State85-54
31/01/21HWyoming98-71
29/01/21HWyoming87-57
25/01/21AAir Force91-59
23/01/21AAir Force98-61
16/01/21AUtah State59-64
15/01/21AUtah State45-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HUtah State81-77
18/02/21HUtah State79-70
14/02/21HUNLV61-59
12/02/21HUNLV78-66
07/02/21ANevada62-73
06/02/21ANevada72-74
30/01/21AColorado State85-77
28/01/21AColorado State56-78
21/01/21HFresno State73-51
14/01/21AWyoming90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %81%86%71%
Points / game75.075.773.6
Allowed / game59.859.859.9
Point differential+15.2+15.9+13.7
Avg total134.8135.5133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %81%100%64%
Points / game77.476.678.1
Allowed / game65.761.569.5
Point differential+11.7+15.1+8.5
Avg total143.1138.1147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%70%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2117481%75.059.8+15.2
2 Boise State2117481%77.465.7+11.7
3 Colorado State1814478%75.266.4+8.8
4 Grand Canyon1713476%77.461.5+15.9
5 Nevada2013765%72.467.2+5.2
6 Utah State1912763%74.563.7+10.8
7 Wyoming2112957%76.176.1+0.0
8 Fresno State1910953%66.367.4-1.1
9 UNLV22101245%70.167.2+3.0
10 San Jose State2051525%65.080.0-14.9
11 Air Force2251723%60.171.5-11.3
12 New Mexico1841422%61.771.1-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
San Diego State29341578
Boise State1746366
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