On 12 November 2026 the NBB will feature Botafogo against Franca, with the model designating Franca as the clear favourite because of their superior season record and stronger points differential; Botafogo sits 13th with a 2-3 record, 80.0 points per game and 83.0 allowed, while Franca is 6th with a 4-3 record, 78.3 points per game and only 73.3 allowed. Botafogo's home form is 1-1, 82.0 points for and 84.5 against, and they have won two of their last five games, including a narrow 77-76 victory over Brasilia away on 2 November, a 80-87 loss to Uniao Corinthians at home on 30 October, and a 84-82 win over Caxias do Sul at home on 28 October. Franca's road record is 1-2, 64.7 points for and 72.0 against, and their last five games include wins over Flamengo and Cruzeiro and a loss to Minas. In the 10 meetings between the clubs, Franca has won all ten, most recently 82-78 on 27 April 2026. The Pythia model gives Franca an 85% chance of winning and Botafogo a 15% chance, projecting a 74-86 score for a total of 160.1 points; the home line is 11.0 with a 48% chance of covering, and the total line is 159.5 with a 51% chance of the over, while the overtime probability sits at 3%. The game will hinge on Franca's defensive edge and Botafogo's ability to close out tight contests.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 80.0 | 83.0 | 163.0 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 84.5 | 166.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 78.7 | 82.0 | 160.7 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.0 | 88.6 | 168.6 | -8.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 83.0 | 163.0 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 74.4 | 84.0 | 158.3 | -9.6 | 27% |
| vs Similar (7) | 81.6 | 88.6 | 170.1 | -7.0 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 84.0 | 82.0 | 166.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 78.3 | 73.3 | 151.6 | +5.0 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 88.5 | 74.2 | 162.8 | +14.2 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 64.7 | 72.0 | 136.7 | -7.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 75.8 | 156.1 | +4.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 76.0 | 149.6 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 76.0 | 87.0 | 163.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 83.2 | 77.8 | 161.0 | +5.5 | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 82.3 | 74.7 | 157.0 | +7.6 | 71% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 42.3 | 82.3 | -2.3 | 37% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.3 | 42.1 | 83.4 | -0.7 | 47% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.7 | 42.5 | 81.2 | -3.9 | 27% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 44.7 | 87.2 | -2.2 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 41.4 | 81.8 | -1.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 39.1 | 41.6 | 80.8 | -2.5 | 36% | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 43.3 | 44.7 | 88.0 | -1.4 | 43% | 86% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 36.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 39.3 | 82.2 | +3.6 | 53% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.1 | 39.1 | 83.3 | +5.0 | 60% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.6 | 39.5 | 81.1 | +2.1 | 47% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.9 | 39.7 | 80.6 | +1.2 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 39.0 | 75.2 | -2.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 40.0 | 44.0 | 84.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 45.0 | 42.2 | 87.2 | +2.8 | 50% | 88% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 42.2 | 38.0 | 80.1 | +4.2 | 57% | 52% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franca -2.5 | 79.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Franca over 73.5 | 89.1% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Franca over 67.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Franca over 71.5 | 92.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 74.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Franca over 69.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Franca over 76.5 | 82.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Franca over 65.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Franca over 68.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Franca over 75.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Franca over 66.5 | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Franca over 64.5 | 98.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Franca over 63.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 70.5 | 93.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Franca over 78.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Franca over 72.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Franca -3.5 | 77.4% | 1.28 | 1.30 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Franca +13.5 | 97.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Franca over 79.5 | 73.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Franca +8.5 | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Franca over 80.5 | 70.4% | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Franca (regulation) | 82.6% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 94.5 | 97.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 93.5 | 96.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 91.5 | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 89.5 | 92.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Botafogo +19.5 | 76.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Lost |
| Franca -4 | 76.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Botafogo over 68.5 | 71.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
| Franca -4.5 | 74.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Botafogo +19 | 75.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Under 184.5 | 93.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Franca -1.5 | 82.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Franca -6 | 70.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Botafogo +21.5 | 81.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Lost |
| Botafogo over 67.5 | 74.3% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Lost |
| Franca under 91.5 | 71.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Franca -5 | 73.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 83.5 | 81.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Botafogo +18 | 72.4% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Lost |
| Franca +3.5 | 89.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Franca win | 84.5% | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | +2.8pp | Won |
| Botafogo +18.5 | 73.2% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Botafogo under 87.5 | 90.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Franca -5.5 | 71.2% | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.27 | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 84.5 | 84.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Franca under 92.5 | 74.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 85.5 | 86.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 89.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 82.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Lost |
| Botafogo +17.5 | 70.3% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.30 | - | - | +2.3pp | Lost |
| Botafogo under 79.5 | 70.2% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.28 | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Botafogo under 81.5 | 76.5% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 88.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 73.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Botafogo over 65.5 | 80.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 81.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 72.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 21.7 | 49.8% | 43.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 8.1 | 31.6% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 11.7 | 71.3% | 11.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.5 | 18.2 | 49.8% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 7.5 | 31.6% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.3 | 15.0 | 71.3% | 15.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 | Botafogo v Franca | 78-82 |
| 25/04/26 | Botafogo v Franca | 79-89 |
| 22/04/26 | Franca v Botafogo | 94-68 |
| 17/02/26 | Botafogo v Franca | 66-88 |
| 10/11/25 | Franca v Botafogo | 91-61 |
| 12/04/25 | Franca v Botafogo | 80-62 |
| 23/12/24 | Botafogo v Franca | 73-86 |
| 19/03/24 | Franca v Botafogo | 97-74 |
| 10/11/23 | Botafogo v Franca | 79-86 |
| 02/12/19 | Franca v Botafogo | 85-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | Brasilia | 77-76 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Uniao Corinthians | 80-87 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Caxias do Sul | 84-82 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Pato | 88-89 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Flamengo | 71-81 |
| 28/04/26 | H | Franca | 78-82 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Franca | 79-89 |
| 22/04/26 | A | Franca | 68-94 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Vasco | 86-104 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Flamengo | 89-102 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 40% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 82.0 | 78.7 |
| Allowed / game | 83.0 | 84.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.3 |
| Avg total | 163.0 | 166.5 | 160.7 |
| Over 159 | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 57% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Points / game | 78.3 | 88.5 | 64.7 |
| Allowed / game | 73.3 | 74.2 | 72.0 |
| Point differential | +5.0 | +14.2 | -7.3 |
| Avg total | 151.6 | 162.8 | 136.7 |
| Over 159 | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 86.3 | 65.7 | +20.6 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 81.5 | 73.7 | +7.8 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.4 | 72.3 | +12.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.3 | 73.3 | +5.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.3 | 73.0 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 76.8 | -3.7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.4 | 77.6 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.1 | 83.6 | -9.4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 79.5 | 86.0 | -6.5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 66.0 | 84.8 | -18.8 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 64.7 | 79.6 | -14.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 60 | |
| 21 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 83 |
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