Franca will host Cruzeiro on 5 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model names Franca the clear favourite with an 82% chance of victory, a projection of 85-75 and a 43% probability of covering the home line of -12.5, reflecting their strong home performance and the model's confidence. Across all five games this season Franca is 2-3, averaging 73.2 points scored and 72.6 points allowed, while Cruzeiro sits 3-2 with 76.0 points scored and 75.0 allowed; Cruzeiro's road record is 2-1 with 74.7 points scored and 72.7 allowed. Franca's home record is 2-1, posting 85.3 points per game and 73.3 allowed, and their last five games include losses to Minas 76-87, Paulistano 62-65, and Corinthians Paulista 48-78. Cruzeiro's last five games feature wins over Bauru 78-74 and Pato 76-68, and a loss to Brasilia 80-89. Historically Franca has won both of the two meetings, most recently 95-67 on 14 February 2026, and the projected total of 160 points sits well within the typical scoring range for both clubs.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 73.2 | 72.6 | 145.8 | +0.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.3 | 73.3 | 158.7 | +12.0 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 55.0 | 71.5 | 126.5 | -16.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.1 | 74.7 | 151.8 | +2.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.2 | 72.6 | 145.8 | +0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 76.0 | 87.0 | 163.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 78.8 | 78.4 | 157.1 | +0.4 | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 83.6 | 75.2 | 158.8 | +8.3 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 76.0 | 75.0 | 151.0 | +1.0 | 60% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.0 | 78.5 | 156.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 74.7 | 72.7 | 147.3 | +2.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.4 | 83.6 | 166.0 | -1.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.0 | 75.0 | 151.0 | +1.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 83.8 | 92.5 | 176.3 | -8.7 | 19% |
| vs Similar (7) | 79.7 | 79.7 | 159.4 | +0.0 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 81.6 | 74.3 | 155.9 | +7.3 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.6 | 39.8 | 82.4 | +2.8 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.1 | 39.4 | 83.5 | +4.6 | 57% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.3 | 40.1 | 81.4 | +1.2 | 44% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 39.5 | 79.7 | +0.7 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 40.6 | 76.4 | -4.8 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 40.0 | 44.0 | 84.0 | -4.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 42.0 | 42.8 | 84.8 | -0.8 | 38% | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 43.0 | 38.4 | 81.4 | +4.5 | 57% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 42.4 | 82.7 | -2.1 | 43% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 42.9 | 41.1 | 84.0 | +1.8 | 64% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (19) | 38.8 | 43.2 | 82.0 | -4.3 | 32% | 58% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.9 | 42.8 | 84.7 | -0.9 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 37.0 | 76.8 | +2.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 40.7 | 46.2 | 86.9 | -5.6 | 25% | 88% |
| vs Similar (7) | 42.6 | 37.3 | 79.9 | +5.3 | 71% | 57% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 37.3 | 38.7 | 76.0 | -1.4 | 57% | 14% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro +17 | 72.6% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +16.5 | 70.4% | 1.48 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 1.36 | - | +11.4pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +19 | 78.2% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +18 | 75.5% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +21.5 | 83.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +20 | 80.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +21 | 83.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Push |
| Cruzeiro +20.5 | 81.1% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro over 68.5 | 72.6% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 67.5 | 75.8% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +18.5 | 76.2% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +19.5 | 78.7% | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +23.5 | 87.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +17.5 | 73.4% | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro over 63.5 | 86.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 66.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 65.5 | 81.6% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 62.5 | 88.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Franca under 91.5 | 73.5% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Lost |
| Over 150.5 | 71.5% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 73.6% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Franca under 93.5 | 79.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Over 150 | 73.0% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Over 151 | 70.9% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Franca over 68.5 | 95.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 66.5 | 96.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Franca over 70.5 | 92.9% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Franca over 74.5 | 85.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Franca over 67.5 | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Franca under 95.5 | 84.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro over 64.5 | 84.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 77.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 85.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 132.5 | 95.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Franca over 78.5 | 75.1% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 76.5 | 80.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 72.5 | 89.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Franca over 69.5 | 94.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Franca over 75.5 | 83.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Franca under 94.5 | 82.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Over 133.5 | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | - |
| Over 137.5 | 91.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Franca over 71.5 | 91.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Franca +11.5 | 96.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 84.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 94.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Franca over 73.5 | 87.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 90.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 93.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Franca under 92.5 | 76.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Over 148.5 | 75.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Franca over 79.5 | 71.8% | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 90.5 | 93.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Franca under 90.5 | 70.1% | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.24 | - | - | +2.5pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro under 92.5 | 95.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 89.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 82.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 91.5 | 94.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Franca +6.5 | 92.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 92.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Franca over 77.5 | 78.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 88.5 | 90.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 88.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 89.5 | 92.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 91.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 81.4% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro under 86.5 | 87.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Under 169.5 | 72.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Lost |
| Under 178.5 | 87.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 87.5 | 89.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 84.5 | 83.0% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Franca (regulation) | 80.2% | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 79.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Lost |
| Under 177.5 | 85.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 85.5 | 85.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 80.5 | 71.8% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 70.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Lost |
| Under 172.5 | 78.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro under 83.5 | 80.5% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 82.5 | 77.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| Franca +1.5 | 83.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| Franca win | 82.3% | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.10 | -3.0pp | Won |
| Franca -3.5 | 74.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 81.5 | 74.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| Franca -5 | 70.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | -4.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.5 | 18.2 | 49.9% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 7.5 | 31.7% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.3 | 15.0 | 71.2% | 15.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.3 | 20.4 | 49.9% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.0 | 31.7% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 13.1 | 71.2% | 13.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 | Franca v Cruzeiro | 95-67 |
| 06/11/25 | Cruzeiro v Franca | 81-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | Minas | 76-87 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Paulistano | 62-65 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 48-78 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Mogi | 90-74 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Sao Jose | 90-59 |
| 07/06/26 | H | Pinheiros | 85-76 |
| 04/06/26 | A | Pinheiros | 92-94 |
| 02/06/26 | A | Pinheiros | 78-75 |
| 31/05/26 | H | Pinheiros | 82-73 |
| 28/05/26 | H | Brasilia | 68-66 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 40% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.2 | 85.3 | 55.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.6 | 73.3 | 71.5 |
| Point differential | +0.6 | +12.0 | -16.5 |
| Avg total | 145.8 | 158.7 | 126.5 |
| Over 156 | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 60% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Points / game | 76.0 | 78.0 | 74.7 |
| Allowed / game | 75.0 | 78.5 | 72.7 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | -0.5 | +2.0 |
| Avg total | 151.0 | 156.5 | 147.3 |
| Over 156 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 67.2 | +18.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.6 | 66.8 | +16.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.0 | 71.8 | +11.2 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 82.6 | 72.8 | +9.8 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 80.8 | 74.4 | +6.4 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 76.0 | 75.0 | +1.0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 72.8 | 74.6 | -1.8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.7 | 85.5 | -0.8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 73.2 | 72.6 | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 73.8 | 80.0 | -6.2 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.0 | 78.7 | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 73.2 | 77.7 | -4.5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 79.0 | 84.7 | -5.7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.5 | 80.8 | -4.2 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.0 | 82.5 | -8.5 | |
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 64.2 | 80.4 | -16.2 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 65.8 | 94.0 | -28.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 22 | 27 | 26 | 98 | |
| 14 | 21 | 17 | 25 | 77 |
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