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Bourges W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-69
15-18 19-19 24-22 29-10
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.0
Bourges W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game49.8
Allowed / game71.5
FranceLFB WRound 5· Palais des sports du Prado
Women2026-27
Meetings · Bourges W v Toulouse W
17 Oct 2026
BOUR87
TOUL69
06 Dec 2025
BOUR86
TOUL63
18 Nov 2022
BOUR66
TOUL57
12 Dec 2015
BOUR84
TOUL40
08 Nov 2014
BOUR80
TOUL49
08 Feb 2014
BOUR71
TOUL37
20 Oct 2012
BOUR67
TOUL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bourges W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
93-62
93
62
+31
94avg 67
H12/04
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 67
A29/04
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 67
H02/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
W
67-49
67
49
+18
58avg 67
H09/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
54-59
54
59
-5
39avg 67
A15/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
42avg 67
A17/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
58avg 67
H26/09
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
66avg 67
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 67
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
L
55-76
55
76
-21
38avg 67
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
28-14
21-19
15-16
19-22
14-17
24-17
23-11
5-19
13-19
17-21
26-10
18-16
17-12
21-11
11-10
16-17
11-10
9-20
18-12
15-15
12-12
13-9
10-17
17-16
20-18
26-17
18-16
19-35
21-14
19-18
24-23
15-14
22-14
16-17
19-14
17-12
17-22
15-20
6-22
134.7Avg total
69.6Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.772.0150.7+6.767%
Season at home (1)81.067.0148.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)69.665.1134.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)68.269.0137.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.277.0142.2-11.820%
vs Similar (11)70.666.4137.0+4.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.166.6146.6+13.586%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 54
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
67-60
67
60
+7
66avg 54
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 54
A29/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
77-62
77
62
+15
68avg 54
A02/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
52avg 54
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 54
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
55-70
55
70
-15
13avg 54
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
51avg 54
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
53-62
53
62
-9
41avg 54
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
37-79
37
79
-42
23avg 54
H10/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
21-15
22-16
10-19
14-14
11-13
19-18
23-15
18-20
9-25
9-20
12-16
29-25
7-14
18-17
23-6
17-21
13-27
16-15
23-30
16-28
21-15
10-24
21-8
22-18
14-23
13-20
6-9
14-20
14-10
14-26
12-19
16-23
17-16
7-10
13-13
8-23
16-13
4-34
9-9
132.2Avg total
60.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)49.871.5121.2-21.80%
Season at home (2)45.577.0122.5-31.50%
Season away (2)54.066.0120.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)60.371.9132.2-11.630%
Last 5 (5)53.472.2125.6-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)61.377.9139.2-16.614%
vs Similar (8)70.669.0139.6+1.662%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Bourges WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/04
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
18-38
18
38
-20
H02/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H09/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A15/05
LFB W
Landes W
#1
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A17/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H26/09
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/10
Euroleague Women
67.6Avg total
34.5Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.471.5+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.834.573.3+4.462%-
Last 30 away (17)35.734.470.1+1.435%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.167.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.469.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.041.673.6-9.60%-
vs Similar (11)33.934.568.4-0.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.431.873.1+9.671%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/05
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H10/10
LFB W
69.4Avg total
31.9Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.740.172.8-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.440.171.5-8.614%-
Last 30 away (16)33.940.174.0-6.219%-
Last 10 (10)31.937.569.4-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.869.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.741.973.5-10.210%-
vs Similar (8)35.635.070.6+0.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.0 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.419.1
43.0%
46.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.3
27.6%
27.4%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
74.3%13.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 56.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.0 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.817.8
45.9%
46.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.03.3
18.3%
27.4%9.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
74.3%11.0
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bourges W
LWLWLLWLWW
Toulouse W
LLLLLLWLWW
#6
League position
#12
+2.5
Net rating
-10.1
79.0
Offensive rating
69.8
76.5
Defensive rating
79.9
42.5%
Effective FG%
40.1%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.6%
3-point %
18.3%
67.2%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence79.0 · 69.8Defence76.5 · 79.9Shooting42.5% · 40.1%3-point %27.6% · 18.3%Ball care16.9% · 21.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Bourges W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bourges W wins
0
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Toulouse W v Bourges W55-84
06/12/25Bourges W v Toulouse W86-63
04/03/23Toulouse W v Bourges W52-77
18/11/22Bourges W v Toulouse W66-57
10/04/16Toulouse W v Bourges W58-70
12/12/15Bourges W v Toulouse W84-40
07/02/15Toulouse W v Bourges W57-72
08/11/14Bourges W v Toulouse W80-49
08/02/14Bourges W v Toulouse W71-37
23/10/13Toulouse W v Bourges W42-67
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26AUSK Prague W55-76
11/10/26ALyon W72-59
03/10/26ALattes Montpellier W83-90
26/09/26HLanderneau Bretagne W81-67
17/05/26ALandes W50-53
15/05/26ALandes W54-59
09/05/26HLandes W67-49
02/05/26HFlammes Carolo W61-69
29/04/26AFlammes Carolo W80-67
12/04/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W93-62
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W37-79
07/10/26ATronche Meylan W53-62
03/10/26HFlammes Carolo W54-75
26/09/26AESB Villeneuve W55-70
12/05/26HLyon W68-75
06/05/26HAngers W69-93
02/05/26ALa Roche W77-62
29/04/26ALyon W48-81
11/04/26AAngers W67-60
04/04/26HLa Roche W75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bourges W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.781.077.5
Allowed / game72.067.074.5
Point differential+6.7+14.0+3.0
Avg total150.7148.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game49.845.554.0
Allowed / game71.577.066.0
Point differential-21.8-31.5-12.0
Avg total121.2122.5120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W440100%74.558.0+16.5
2 Lattes Montpellier W440100%78.572.2+6.2
3 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W43175%79.565.2+14.2
4 Bourges W32167%78.772.0+6.7
5 Flammes Carolo W42250%72.265.5+6.8
6 Lyon W42250%69.868.0+1.8
7 Chartres W21150%73.077.5-4.5
8 Angers W31233%70.072.3-2.3
9 ESB Villeneuve W41325%58.562.0-3.5
10 Landerneau Bretagne W41325%64.872.2-7.5
11 Tronche Meylan W41325%59.072.8-13.8
12 Toulouse W4040%49.871.5-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bourges W1519242987
Toulouse W1819221069
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