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Toulouse W vs Bourges W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 55-84
19-30 8-20 18-18 10-16
Position#9
Record6-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game76.8
Toulouse W
France
vs
Bourges W 🏆
France
Position#2
Record14-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game66.8
FranceLFB WRound 20· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v Bourges W
16 Jan 2027
TOUL v BOUR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TOUL55
BOUR84
04 Mar 2023
TOUL52
BOUR77
10 Apr 2016
TOUL58
BOUR70
07 Feb 2015
TOUL57
BOUR72
23 Oct 2013
TOUL42
BOUR67
03 Feb 2013
TOUL48
BOUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bourges W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
53avg 61
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
68avg 61
H04/01
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 61
A07/01
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
77avg 61
H10/01
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 61
A24/01
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 61
A28/01
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
40avg 61
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 61
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
43avg 61
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 61
A21/02
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
12-16
22-17
13-27
26-17
15-16
11-22
18-10
14-18
23-14
19-23
18-28
13-24
27-19
21-14
15-18
25-11
33-21
18-14
15-17
21-32
18-19
20-21
26-12
17-25
9-27
15-17
13-19
15-25
15-21
19-17
21-24
6-18
18-13
15-9
13-11
22-17
22-19
21-29
13-14
146.6Avg total
71.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.776.8144.6-9.132%
Season at home (9)63.474.7138.1-11.244%
Season away (10)71.678.8150.4-7.220%
Last 10 (10)71.675.0146.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)67.877.8145.6-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.279.4145.6-13.223%
vs Similar (6)71.071.3142.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (10)71.260.6131.8+10.6100%
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H17/01
French Cup Women
Flammes Carolo W
#14
L
59-65
59
65
-6
48avg 67
A21/01
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
57avg 67
H24/01
LFB W
Galatasaray W
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 67
H29/01
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 67
A01/02
LFB W
Schio W
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 67
A04/02
Euroleague Women
Lyon W
#7
L
75-86
75
86
-11
75avg 67
A07/02
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
74avg 67
A14/02
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
no box
H21/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
52avg 67
A28/02
French Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
13-23
17-12
18-17
12-14
9-15
14-21
24-15
19-8
17-14
13-24
16-16
16-22
12-26
25-19
19-15
21-14
20-19
12-15
30-26
17-21
18-19
23-20
11-17
17-22
23-22
15-21
20-21
15-19
22-17
18-16
23-14
20-20
22-23
23-21
15-16
22-24
15-17
8-21
20-15
147.5Avg total
72.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.566.8139.3+5.674%
Season at home (10)76.664.2140.8+12.490%
Season away (9)67.969.8137.7-1.956%
Last 10 (10)72.974.6147.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.678.6154.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.877.2145.0-9.525%
vs Similar (8)72.669.9142.5+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.066.2141.2+8.878%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Toulouse WBourges W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/01
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/01
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/01
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A24/01
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/01
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/02
LFB W
75.7Avg total
37.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.471.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.433.768.1+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.174.7-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.775.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.643.275.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.141.774.8-8.615%-
vs Similar (6)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (10)36.129.265.3+6.980%-
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/01
French Cup Women
Flammes Carolo W
#14
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A21/01
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H24/01
LFB W
Galatasaray W
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H29/01
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/02
LFB W
Schio W
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/02
Euroleague Women
Lyon W
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/02
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/02
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H21/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/02
French Cup Women
73.1Avg total
35.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.870.9+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.833.972.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.769.2-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.437.773.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.543.575.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.937.175.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.431.868.2+4.667%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.419.4
44.7%
46.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.5
33.5%
31.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
74.3%12.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.6
47.0%
46.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.2
29.5%
31.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.2
77.2%
74.3%15.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLLWWWLWL
Bourges W
LWWLLWLWLW
#9
League position
#2
-4.0
Net rating
-0.6
84.0
Offensive rating
87.0
88.0
Defensive rating
87.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
46.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.5%
3-point %
29.5%
67.6%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 87.0Defence88.0 · 87.6Shooting46.4% · 46.0%3-point %33.5% · 29.5%Ball care19.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds22.0% · 37.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Bourges W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toulouse W wins
10
Bourges W wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Bourges W v Toulouse W86-63
04/03/23Toulouse W v Bourges W52-77
18/11/22Bourges W v Toulouse W66-57
10/04/16Toulouse W v Bourges W58-70
12/12/15Bourges W v Toulouse W84-40
07/02/15Toulouse W v Bourges W57-72
08/11/14Bourges W v Toulouse W80-49
08/02/14Bourges W v Toulouse W71-37
23/10/13Toulouse W v Bourges W42-67
03/02/13Toulouse W v Bourges W48-77
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W78-79
15/02/26HAngers W52-51
07/02/26AFlammes Carolo W70-87
01/02/26HLandes W54-88
28/01/26AESB Villeneuve W85-84
24/01/26AChartres W91-63
10/01/26HLyon W76-75
07/01/26ALa Roche W74-83
04/01/26HESB Villeneuve W70-65
21/12/25ALattes Montpellier W66-75
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ALandes W65-77
21/02/26HLattes Montpellier W91-87 OT
14/02/26ALanderneau Bretagne W78-66
07/02/26ALyon W75-86
04/02/26ASchio W69-77
01/02/26ALa Roche W83-74
29/01/26HGalatasaray W72-82
24/01/26HESB Villeneuve W65-62
21/01/26AFlammes Carolo W59-65
17/01/26HAngers W72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game67.763.471.6
Allowed / game76.874.778.8
Point differential-9.1-11.2-7.2
Avg total144.6138.1150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bourges W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game72.576.667.9
Allowed / game66.864.269.8
Point differential+5.6+12.4-1.9
Avg total139.3140.8137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W1916384%71.660.5+11.1
2 Bourges W1914574%72.566.8+5.6
3 Flammes Carolo W1913668%77.166.0+11.1
4 Landerneau Bretagne W2012860%68.768.5+0.2
5 ESB Villeneuve W2011955%73.170.6+2.5
6 Lattes Montpellier W2011955%72.370.2+2.2
7 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W1910953%72.775.9-3.2
8 Lyon W2071335%71.271.8-0.6
9 La Roche W2071335%69.673.5-3.9
10 Toulouse W1961332%67.776.8-9.1
11 Angers W1951426%65.171.5-6.5
12 Chartres W2051525%68.877.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W198181055
Bourges W3020181684
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