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Bourges W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-63
25-16 25-20 20-16 16-11
Position#2
Record4-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game65.5
Bourges W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#9
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game78.0
FranceLFB WRound 9· Palais des sports du Prado
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bourges W v Toulouse W
17 Oct 2026
BOUR87
TOUL69
06 Dec 2025
BOUR86
TOUL63
18 Nov 2022
BOUR66
TOUL57
12 Dec 2015
BOUR84
TOUL40
08 Nov 2014
BOUR80
TOUL49
08 Feb 2014
BOUR71
TOUL37
20 Oct 2012
BOUR67
TOUL50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bourges W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
72-57
72
57
+15
70avg 67
A16/10
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
50-69
50
69
-19
35avg 67
A19/10
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
L
62-92
62
92
-30
53avg 67
A22/10
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
69avg 67
H25/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#5
W
78-43
78
43
+35
64avg 67
A29/10
Euroleague Women
Lyon W
#7
W
71-63
71
63
+8
72avg 67
H01/11
LFB W
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
83-62
83
62
+21
90avg 67
H04/11
Euroleague Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
82-68 OT
82
68
+14
76avg 67
H07/11
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
W
69-63
69
63
+6
61avg 67
H26/11
Euroleague Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
59-72
59
72
-13
47avg 67
A30/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
19-20
20-9
17-16
18-21
12-11
5-20
15-17
16-24
15-30
11-24
20-14
17-8
15-21
24-20
21-10
17-9
28-11
15-9
18-14
22-18
12-14
20-14
17-17
15-13
27-14
27-21
14-14
13-15
18-9
11-14
22-26
16-25
21-15
19-15
13-8
11-19
14-13
19-19
15-21
135.1Avg total
70.3Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)64.565.5130.0-1.050%
Season at home (4)70.862.0132.8+8.875%
Season away (4)58.269.0127.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)70.364.8135.1+5.570%
Last 5 (5)72.865.6138.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.070.0137.0-3.00%
vs Similar (8)62.166.1128.2-4.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)73.766.1139.8+7.671%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 60
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 60
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
56avg 60
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
67avg 60
A10/10
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 60
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
49avg 60
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
44avg 60
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
49-73
49
73
-24
32avg 60
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
49avg 60
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
57-89
57
89
-32
44avg 60
H29/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
22-13
15-15
9-14
18-19
23-18
17-16
15-17
18-14
15-14
18-21
15-16
18-17
13-21
16-20
25-18
21-19
23-27
24-26
15-16
13-18
19-26
13-20
15-18
12-22
10-20
20-17
15-18
17-26
11-20
13-16
8-11
15-18
17-26
15-21
13-13
15-21
18-24
16-24
8-20
139.3Avg total
63.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)63.478.0141.4-14.614%
Season at home (4)63.878.8142.5-15.025%
Season away (3)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)63.875.5139.3-11.730%
Last 5 (5)56.679.8136.4-23.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.878.8137.5-20.00%
vs Similar (3)69.777.0146.7-7.333%
vs Weaker (22)69.760.7130.4+9.086%
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
Bourges WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/10
Euroleague Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A19/10
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A22/10
Euroleague Women
La Roche W
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#5
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A29/10
Euroleague Women
Lyon W
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/11
LFB W
VBW Gdynia W
#20
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/11
Euroleague Women
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/11
LFB W
Uni Girona W
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/11
Euroleague Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A30/11
LFB W
66.4Avg total
34.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.469.2+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.931.968.7+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)34.834.869.6-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.266.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.064.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.040.067.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (8)33.634.568.1-0.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.032.769.7+4.267%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H29/11
LFB W
73.1Avg total
33.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.368.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.530.465.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.170.1-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.873.1-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.444.273.6-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.542.871.2-14.20%-
vs Similar (3)36.339.375.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker (22)35.730.266.0+5.573%-
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.6
45.4%
46.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.0
32.9%
31.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
74.3%11.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.117.2
42.9%
46.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.9
27.4%
31.0%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.7
72.3%
74.3%10.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bourges W
LWWWWWWLLW
Toulouse W
LLLLLLLWWW
#2
League position
#9
+7.5
Net rating
-15.8
95.1
Offensive rating
85.0
87.5
Defensive rating
100.9
46.7%
Effective FG%
42.3%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
21.7%
Turnover %
22.9%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
27.4%
68.8%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 85.0Defence87.5 · 100.9Shooting46.7% · 42.3%3-point %32.9% · 27.4%Ball care21.7% · 22.9%Off. rebounds34.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Bourges W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bourges W wins
0
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Toulouse W v Bourges W52-77
18/11/22Bourges W v Toulouse W66-57
10/04/16Toulouse W v Bourges W58-70
12/12/15Bourges W v Toulouse W84-40
07/02/15Toulouse W v Bourges W57-72
08/11/14Bourges W v Toulouse W80-49
08/02/14Bourges W v Toulouse W71-37
23/10/13Toulouse W v Bourges W42-67
03/02/13Toulouse W v Bourges W48-77
20/10/12Bourges W v Toulouse W67-50
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ALattes Montpellier W59-72
26/11/25HUni Girona W69-63
07/11/25HLanderneau Bretagne W82-68 OT
04/11/25HVBW Gdynia W83-62
01/11/25HLyon W71-63
29/10/25AUSK Prague W78-43
25/10/25HLa Roche W77-59
22/10/25AUni Girona W62-92
19/10/25AESB Villeneuve W50-69
16/10/25AVBW Gdynia W72-57
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W57-89
08/11/25AAngers W60-78
01/11/25HFlammes Carolo W49-73
26/10/25ALandes W57-77
22/10/25ALyon W60-82
18/10/25HChartres W83-88
10/10/25ALyon W72-76
04/10/25HLa Roche W66-65
17/05/25AMontbrison W73-70
11/05/25HMontbrison W61-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bourges W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game64.570.858.2
Allowed / game65.562.069.0
Point differential-1.0+8.8-10.8
Avg total130.0132.8127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game63.463.863.0
Allowed / game78.078.877.0
Point differential-14.6-15.0-14.0
Avg total141.4142.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W87188%70.056.8+13.2
2 ESB Villeneuve W75271%73.770.4+3.3
3 Flammes Carolo W85362%77.966.1+11.8
4 Lattes Montpellier W85362%72.567.4+5.1
5 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W85362%71.270.5+0.8
6 Bourges W84450%64.565.5-1.0
7 Landerneau Bretagne W84450%69.272.4-3.1
8 Angers W84450%68.572.2-3.8
9 Chartres W83538%71.276.5-5.2
10 Lyon W93633%71.271.7-0.4
11 La Roche W92722%65.472.0-6.6
12 Toulouse W71614%63.478.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bourges W2525201686
Toulouse W1620161163
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