PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Bradley faces Monmouth on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring Bradley at 63% to 37% for the away side; Bradley is projected to win 75-71 with a total of 145.8 points, giving the home team a 5% chance of overtime. Bradley's last five games include three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 90-84 victory over Valparaiso and a 87-78 win over Murray State, while a recent 69-73 loss to Northern Iowa shows a narrow margin. Monmouth's recent form is stronger, with four wins and one loss in their last five, including a 74-64 win over Campbell and a 65-57 win over Drexel, but a 69-75 defeat to Hofstra at home indicates some vulnerability. The projected score of 75-71 reflects Bradley's slight edge in the model's assessment, and the 145.8 total points suggests a moderately high-scoring affair. The game will likely stay close, and the final result will hinge on how well each side capitalises on the opportunities presented.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.4 | 73.7 | 150.1 | +2.7 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 77.6 | 158.8 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 86.5 | 86.0 | 172.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (19) | 74.2 | 74.5 | 148.7 | -0.3 | 53% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 84.5 | 72.6 | 157.1 | +11.9 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 63.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | -15.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 63.0 | 78.0 | 141.0 | -15.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.9 | 70.7 | 142.6 | +1.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 71.4 | 143.4 | +0.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 64.8 | 73.5 | 138.2 | -8.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (19) | 72.8 | 69.1 | 141.9 | +3.7 | 63% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 78.5 | 73.8 | 152.3 | +4.7 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.0 | 35.4 | 70.4 | -0.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 36.4 | 34.0 | 70.4 | +2.4 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 32.5 | 37.8 | 70.3 | -5.4 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.7 | 34.0 | 66.7 | -1.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.0 | 36.2 | 70.2 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 35.0 | 37.5 | 72.5 | -2.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 34.6 | 35.7 | 70.3 | -1.1 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 34.4 | 35.0 | 69.4 | -0.6 | 25% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.7 | 33.3 | 68.1 | +1.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 33.5 | 33.2 | 66.7 | +0.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.0 | 33.5 | 69.5 | +2.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.7 | 34.8 | 70.5 | +0.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 35.8 | 70.8 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 31.2 | 33.0 | 64.2 | -1.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 35.3 | 32.4 | 67.6 | +2.9 | 74% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 36.3 | 34.7 | 71.0 | +1.7 | 50% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Northern Iowa | 69-73 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Valparaiso | 90-84 OT |
| 01/03/26 | H | Murray State | 87-78 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Illinois (Chi.) | 86-93 OT |
| 22/02/26 | H | Illinois State | 74-60 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Valparaiso | 72-79 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Southern Illinois | 70-60 |
| 10/02/26 | H | Belmont | 95-84 OT |
| 07/02/26 | A | Northern Iowa | 49-61 |
| 04/02/26 | H | Valparaiso | 72-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | St. John's (N.Y.) | 63-78 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Hofstra | 69-75 |
| 09/03/26 | H | Campbell | 74-64 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Drexel | 65-57 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Northeastern | 89-83 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Elon | 73-57 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Stony Brook | 82-69 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Charleston | 63-74 |
| 20/02/26 | A | NC Wilmington | 69-79 |
| 16/02/26 | H | Towson | 72-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 63.0 | - | 63.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | - | 78.0 |
| Point differential | -15.0 | - | -15.0 |
| Avg total | 141.0 | - | 141.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Illinois (Chi.) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 47.0 | +49.0 |
| 2 |  Murray State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 3 |  Belmont | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 54.0 | +18.0 |
| 4 |  Indiana State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 70.0 | 78.0 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 111.0 | 55.0 | +56.0 |
| 2 |  Stony Brook | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 47.0 | +50.0 |
| 3 |  Hofstra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 |
| 4 |  NC Wilmington | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 101.0 | 65.0 | +36.0 |
| 5 |  William & Mary | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 66.0 | +14.0 |
| 6 |  Elon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 71.0 | +13.0 |
| 7 |  Northeastern | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 85.0 | 93.0 | -8.0 |
| 8 | Monmouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 63.0 | 78.0 | -15.0 |
| 9 |  Campbell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 83.0 | -19.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | 0 | 37 | 0 | 48 | 85 |
| Monmouth | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22 | 41 |
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