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Bradley vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-65
40-33 32-32
Position#91
Record15-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.3
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#170
Record11-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bradley v Valparaiso
29 Dec 2026
BRAD v VALP
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BRAD90
VALP84
03 Feb 2026
BRAD72
VALP65
08 Mar 2025
BRAD70
VALP65
29 Dec 2024
BRAD81
VALP75
07 Jan 2023
BRAD88
VALP66
26 Feb 2022
BRAD79
VALP55
29 Jan 2020
BRAD80
VALP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A04/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H08/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
45-33
39-42
39-46
32-50
34-36
40-19
53-47
40-37
35-32
29-36
50-43
29-44
33-44
34-36
41-32
28-39
42-46
41-35
46-38
155.7Avg total
77.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.173.3151.3+4.865%
Season at home (15)78.367.8146.1+10.580%
Season away (8)77.883.5161.2-5.838%
Last 10 (10)77.678.1155.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)77.680.8158.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.872.6143.4-1.944%
vs Weaker (11)81.969.3151.2+12.6100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-22
26-36
25-36
45-39
31-32
35-27
35-23
42-48
36-45
43-47
39-41
35-37
22-18
32-26
39-20
30-43
38-42
39-36
27-37
39-29
138.0Avg total
69.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.470.2141.5+1.250%
Season at home (13)71.763.5135.2+8.269%
Season away (9)70.979.8150.7-8.922%
Last 10 (10)69.069.0138.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)70.067.0137.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.470.6136.0-5.336%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.272.6144.8-0.554%
vs Weaker (6)77.563.5141.0+14.067%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
BradleyValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#362
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A02/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H08/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A31/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.969.4+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.532.068.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (10)33.337.771.0-4.430%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.371.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.070.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.734.970.6+0.862%-
vs Weaker (11)33.533.466.8+0.127%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
63.0Avg total
31.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.031.564.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.127.860.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.268.1-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.663.0-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.031.664.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.832.565.4+0.355%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.231.362.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker (6)37.530.067.5+7.567%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bradley wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Bradley v Valparaiso70-65
27/02/25Valparaiso v Bradley65-76
29/12/24Bradley v Valparaiso81-75 OT
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
29/01/21Valparaiso v Bradley91-85 OT
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ADrake87-73
25/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)70-85
22/01/26HIndiana State75-68
17/01/26AIllinois State62-88
14/01/26AEvansville94-90 OT
10/01/26HNorthern Iowa75-69
08/01/26HDrake93-66
04/01/26AMurray State66-86
02/01/26ABelmont78-88
30/12/25HEvansville76-68
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AIndiana State76-72 OT
29/01/26HBelmont77-78
22/01/26HSouthern Illinois69-63
17/01/26HNorthern Iowa54-44
14/01/26ABelmont74-78
10/01/26AMurray State79-92
08/01/26HIllinois State77-71
04/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)66-59
01/01/26ASouthern Illinois70-75
30/12/25ANorthern Iowa48-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %65%80%38%
Points / game78.178.377.8
Allowed / game73.367.883.5
Point differential+4.8+10.5-5.8
Avg total151.3146.1161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %50%69%22%
Points / game71.471.770.9
Allowed / game70.263.579.8
Point differential+1.2+8.2-8.9
Avg total141.5135.2150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2420483%81.872.0+9.8
2 Murray State2316770%86.379.3+7.0
3 Illinois State2315865%76.366.4+9.9
4 Bradley2315865%78.173.3+4.8
5 Northern Iowa2314961%67.160.4+6.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)23131057%75.169.9+5.2
7 Drake23121152%77.273.0+4.2
8 Valparaiso22111150%71.470.2+1.2
9 Southern Illinois23101343%73.771.0+2.7
10 Indiana State2391439%75.375.2+0.1
11 Evansville2251723%67.274.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bradley403272
Valparaiso333265
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