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Brasilia vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 71-70
15-24 22-9 19-18 15-19
Position#5
Record30-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#13
Record18-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.4
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Caxias do Sul
30 Apr 2026
BRAS71
CAXI70
22 Apr 2026
BRAS73
CAXI64
12 Jan 2026
BRAS77
CAXI65
12 Feb 2025
BRAS83
CAXI77
11 Nov 2023
BRAS69
CAXI77
01 Feb 2023
BRAS78
CAXI88
07 Feb 2022
BRAS78
CAXI79
26 Feb 2021
BRAS66
CAXI88
10 Nov 2016
BRAS91
CAXI82
08 Apr 2016
BRAS93
CAXI73
06 Apr 2016
BRAS95
CAXI67
12 Jan 2016
BRAS90
CAXI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A02/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H07/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
H14/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H18/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H22/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A25/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-20
26-15
23-17
17-11
12-20
13-18
20-13
23-23
28-21
13-19
25-24
16-13
14-13
20-20
17-12
20-20
18-21
30-20
22-17
24-15
11-18
19-24
18-15
31-23
17-14
21-14
25-14
23-15
11-20
19-15
20-14
20-23
26-14
17-20
15-13
20-20
11-8
17-20
15-18
150.7Avg total
79.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)80.971.6152.4+9.373%
Season at home (20)83.571.0154.5+12.590%
Season away (21)78.372.1150.5+6.257%
Last 10 (10)79.371.4150.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)77.269.6146.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
vs Similar (8)77.576.4153.9+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.969.0149.9+11.985%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H22/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H02/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
107-83
107
83
+24
A06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
16-18
9-21
21-18
6-21
18-18
25-15
18-14
19-18
13-15
23-21
21-20
23-20
36-18
25-22
23-23
16-24
19-8
18-19
27-19
16-15
12-20
26-16
11-17
14-18
23-26
24-30
18-18
15-23
20-11
15-19
14-20
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
149.9Avg total
74.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)73.476.4149.8-2.944%
Season at home (21)73.274.8148.0-1.548%
Season away (20)73.778.0151.7-4.440%
Last 10 (10)74.975.0149.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)68.874.8143.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.079.1147.1-11.121%
vs Similar (7)78.074.1152.1+3.957%
vs Weaker (9)79.973.0152.9+6.967%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
BrasiliaCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A25/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A27/04
NBB
73.6Avg total
38.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.974.8+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.836.976.7+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)36.436.873.2-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.473.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.072.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.538.073.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.976.2-5.512%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.235.174.4+4.170%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
73.4Avg total
36.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.873.3-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.638.072.6-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)36.637.574.1-0.964%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.473.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.939.071.9-6.143%-
vs Similar (7)36.338.174.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker (9)39.035.674.6+3.467%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.8
50.9%
52.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.3
68.0%
72.8%12.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.2
51.6%
52.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
72.8%11.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWWWLWWWWW
Caxias do Sul
WLLLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#13
+9.0
Net rating
-0.1
90.7
Offensive rating
94.8
81.7
Defensive rating
94.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.0%
3-point %
35.7%
63.3%
Assist %
70.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 94.8Defence81.7 · 94.9Shooting50.3% · 52.6%3-point %33.0% · 35.7%Ball care15.2% · 14.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Brasilia   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brasilia wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26ACaxias do Sul63-66
25/04/26ACaxias do Sul78-70
22/04/26HCaxias do Sul73-64
18/04/26HBauru94-65
14/04/26HFranca78-83 OT
07/04/26HSao Jose90-78
02/04/26APato67-58
25/03/26HFlamengo89-87
23/03/26HMogi72-69 OT
20/03/26HCorinthians Paulista89-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
22/04/26ABrasilia64-73
17/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-92
15/04/26HSao Jose65-68
09/04/26AUnifacisa80-70
06/04/26ACearense107-83
02/04/26HFlamengo76-74
22/03/26HBotafogo67-68
19/03/26AMinas75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %73%90%57%
Points / game80.983.578.3
Allowed / game71.671.072.1
Point differential+9.3+12.5+6.2
Avg total152.4154.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)71% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLLW48%
AwayWLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %44%48%40%
Points / game73.473.273.7
Allowed / game76.474.878.0
Point differential-2.9-1.5-4.4
Avg total149.8148.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca4135685%90.676.8+13.9
2 Pinheiros4133880%85.874.7+11.1
3 Minas42321076%88.882.0+6.8
4 Flamengo42311174%88.278.9+9.3
5 Brasilia41301173%80.971.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista42301271%84.579.0+5.6
7 Paulistano42271564%83.078.0+5.0
8 Mogi41241759%76.671.3+5.3
9 Sao Jose41221954%81.380.4+0.9
10 Bauru42222052%80.679.9+0.7
11 Unifacisa42212150%81.080.3+0.8
12 Uniao Corinthians42202248%79.983.1-3.2
13 Caxias do Sul41182344%73.476.4-2.9
14 Cruzeiro42142833%81.186.4-5.3
15 Rio Claro41122929%78.985.8-7.0
16 Botafogo41103124%73.684.1-10.5
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1522191571
Caxias do Sul249181970
← all games of the day
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