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Cearense vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-107
20-23 18-36 22-25 23-23
Position#19
Record7-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game88.5
Cearense
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul 🏆
Brazil
Position#13
Record15-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game76.6
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Caxias do Sul
06 Apr 2026
CEAR83
CAXI107
15 Oct 2024
CEAR76
CAXI68
08 Dec 2023
CEAR62
CAXI63
21 Dec 2022
CEAR84
CAXI73
17 Nov 2021
CEAR94
CAXI85
02 Dec 2020
CEAR85
CAXI78
20 Dec 2017
CEAR67
CAXI76
16 Feb 2017
CEAR88
CAXI78
22 Dec 2015
CEAR66
CAXI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Cearense
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.6
80.6▲ 4.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.4
96.6▲ 9.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
51%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.6
14.8▼ 0.8
🔥 Form · Caxias do Sul
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.0
74.8▲ 1.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.1
73.6▼ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
55%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.5
21.4▲ 4.9
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-116
71
116
-45
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
12-19
20-22
24-20
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
24-24
24-23
18-23
11-21
16-34
15-26
17-23
23-33
19-20
26-21
30-29
19-23
164.0Avg total
73.9Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.588.5165.1-12.020%
Season at home (18)75.985.4161.4-9.528%
Season away (17)77.291.8169.0-14.612%
Last 10 (10)73.990.1164.0-16.220%
Last 5 (5)80.696.6177.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.091.0166.0-15.98%
vs Similar (6)80.078.8158.8+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A17/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H22/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H02/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
14-17
13-21
16-16
20-22
18-13
19-20
23-18
17-20
15-18
26-19
25-9
17-33
23-18
19-16
21-23
20-24
15-10
9-22
23-16
22-15
25-20
12-16
12-18
19-19
14-20
18-21
34-16
29-24
16-18
9-21
21-18
6-21
18-18
25-15
18-14
19-18
13-15
23-21
21-20
148.4Avg total
74.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)72.976.6149.5-3.644%
Season at home (17)74.074.6148.6-0.653%
Season away (17)71.978.5150.4-6.635%
Last 10 (10)74.673.8148.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)74.873.6148.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.781.7148.4-15.014%
vs Similar (7)79.174.4153.6+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.872.1148.9+4.767%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +4.6+4.6
CearenseCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
80.0Avg total
35.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.882.5-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.243.180.2-5.929%-
Last 30 away (13)38.547.185.5-8.623%-
Last 10 (10)35.544.580.0-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.083.4-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.446.083.5-8.621%-
vs Similar (6)39.039.878.8-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/04
NBB
73.7Avg total
35.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.173.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.038.274.2-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.972.9-3.053%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.873.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.673.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.939.971.8-7.936%-
vs Similar (7)40.337.477.7+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.235.873.0+1.467%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.7
46.2%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.8
29.8%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
72.8%15.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.8
52.7%
52.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
72.8%13.4
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLLLLLLLWL
Caxias do Sul
WLLWWLLWWL
#19
League position
#13
-19.8
Net rating
+1.0
81.6
Offensive rating
92.8
101.4
Defensive rating
91.8
45.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.8%
3-point %
34.2%
54.5%
Assist %
73.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 92.8Defence101.4 · 91.8Shooting45.7% · 52.0%3-point %29.8% · 34.2%Ball care17.7% · 16.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Cearense   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cearense wins
4
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Caxias do Sul v Cearense68-52
27/12/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense73-70
15/10/24Cearense v Caxias do Sul76-68
25/03/24Caxias do Sul v Cearense69-91
08/12/23Cearense v Caxias do Sul62-63
12/04/23Caxias do Sul v Cearense66-77
21/12/22Cearense v Caxias do Sul84-73
18/02/22Caxias do Sul v Cearense74-66
17/11/21Cearense v Caxias do Sul94-85
03/03/21Caxias do Sul v Cearense81-82
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HUniao Corinthians94-93
22/03/26AFranca71-116
19/03/26APaulistano77-91
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59
09/02/26AMogi76-88
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26HFlamengo76-74
22/03/26HBotafogo67-68
19/03/26AMinas75-81
17/03/26ACruzeiro85-76
11/03/26HVasco71-69
09/03/26HMogi67-72
05/03/26HUniao Corinthians80-90
22/02/26HOsasco83-66
13/02/26HPaulistano80-73
11/02/26HPinheiros62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLWLLW28%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %20%28%12%
Points / game76.575.977.2
Allowed / game88.585.491.8
Point differential-12.0-9.5-14.6
Avg total165.1161.4169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %44%53%35%
Points / game72.974.071.9
Allowed / game76.674.678.5
Point differential-3.6-0.6-6.6
Avg total149.5148.6150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3428682%90.776.8+13.9
2 Pinheiros3629781%85.574.6+10.9
3 Minas3426876%87.782.1+5.5
4 Brasilia3526974%81.171.7+9.4
5 Flamengo3425974%86.878.3+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista34241071%84.278.6+5.6
7 Paulistano35221363%83.478.1+5.3
8 Bauru35211460%81.878.7+3.1
9 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
10 Mogi35191654%76.170.9+5.2
11 Uniao Corinthians34181653%79.881.4-1.6
12 Unifacisa34171750%81.580.6+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul34151944%72.976.6-3.6
14 Cruzeiro33112233%79.785.6-6.0
15 Rio Claro35102529%78.186.2-8.1
16 Botafogo3492526%72.682.4-9.8
17 Pato3372621%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3572820%76.588.5-12.0
19 Vasco3553014%70.580.7-10.2
20 Osasco3553014%75.588.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2018222383
Caxias do Sul23362523107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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