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Minas vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 81-75
24-29 18-16 21-9 18-21
Position#3
Record22-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game82.2
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record14-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game76.8
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Caxias do Sul
19 Mar 2026
MINA81
CAXI75
26 Mar 2025
MINA88
CAXI70
27 Dec 2023
MINA84
CAXI55
28 Oct 2022
MINA87
CAXI81
27 Jan 2022
MINA83
CAXI62
12 Mar 2021
MINA74
CAXI70
28 Nov 2017
MINA86
CAXI84
08 Nov 2016
MINA83
CAXI63
14 Jan 2016
MINA77
CAXI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 79
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
90-105
90
105
-15
89avg 79
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 79
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 79
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
87avg 79
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
83-104
83
104
-21
73avg 79
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
83avg 79
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 79
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
86avg 79
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 79
H17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
20-10
22-18
13-25
21-28
33-27
20-28
16-22
24-20
24-35
20-23
14-22
31-20
26-28
26-16
9-27
26-22
17-18
15-25
27-20
17-29
24-30
19-31
23-14
13-23
26-30
21-17
30-28
23-23
22-26
33-22
32-30
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
185.1Avg total
89.5Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.182.2169.4+4.976%
Season at home (15)86.379.3165.7+7.087%
Season away (14)88.085.4173.4+2.664%
Last 10 (10)89.595.6185.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)93.297.6190.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.390.3175.6-5.029%
vs Similar (7)85.684.3169.9+1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.480.8170.2+8.694%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
63avg 64
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 64
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
62-69
62
69
-7
52avg 64
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 64
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
83-66
83
66
+17
82avg 64
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 64
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 64
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-69
71
69
+2
66avg 64
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 64
A17/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-17
16-16
23-21
10-21
16-29
21-23
19-20
16-18
13-18
19-20
25-23
19-15
14-17
13-21
16-16
20-22
18-13
19-20
23-18
17-20
15-18
26-19
25-9
17-33
23-18
19-16
21-23
20-24
15-10
9-22
23-16
22-15
25-20
12-16
12-18
19-19
14-20
18-21
34-16
150.1Avg total
74.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.076.8149.8-3.845%
Season at home (15)74.375.1149.5-0.853%
Season away (16)71.778.4150.1-6.738%
Last 10 (10)74.076.1150.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)77.274.6151.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.081.7147.7-15.715%
vs Similar (8)77.274.5151.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (9)79.673.3152.9+6.278%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
MinasCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A12/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
93.8Avg total
45.1Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.688.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.441.387.7+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.888.8-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)45.148.793.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.451.094.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.746.686.3-6.90%-
vs Similar (7)46.147.793.9-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.240.486.7+5.869%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H21/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H05/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/03
NBB
73.4Avg total
34.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.374.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.177.1-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.671.7-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.773.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.476.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.540.271.6-8.731%-
vs Similar (8)38.837.175.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (9)39.836.776.4+3.167%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.2
57.0%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.4
33.0%
32.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.519.3
70.2%
72.8%19.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.7
52.8%
52.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
72.8%13.4
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWLLWWLLL
Caxias do Sul
WWLLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#13
-5.6
Net rating
-3.9
97.9
Offensive rating
90.2
103.4
Defensive rating
94.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
33.6%
62.4%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 90.2Defence103.4 · 94.2Shooting53.7% · 51.7%3-point %33.0% · 33.6%Ball care16.1% · 18.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Caxias do Sul v Minas72-88
26/03/25Minas v Caxias do Sul88-70
16/11/24Caxias do Sul v Minas58-78
10/04/24Caxias do Sul v Minas88-99
27/12/23Minas v Caxias do Sul84-55
10/02/23Caxias do Sul v Minas80-63
28/10/22Minas v Caxias do Sul87-81
27/01/22Minas v Caxias do Sul83-62
27/10/21Caxias do Sul v Minas75-83
12/03/21Minas v Caxias do Sul74-70
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
11/03/26AFranca110-101
08/03/26HFranca90-98
22/02/26APaulistano83-104
19/02/26HRio Claro98-95 OT
17/02/26HBrasilia92-91
12/02/26AFranca82-100
10/02/26ABauru90-105
06/02/26HBoca Juniors67-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26ACruzeiro85-76
11/03/26HVasco71-69
09/03/26HMogi67-72
05/03/26HUniao Corinthians80-90
22/02/26HOsasco83-66
13/02/26HPaulistano80-73
11/02/26HPinheiros62-69
03/02/26ARio Claro73-79
21/01/26HFranca66-93
19/01/26HBauru73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayLWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%87%64%
Points / game87.186.388.0
Allowed / game82.279.385.4
Point differential+4.9+7.0+2.6
Avg total169.4165.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%53%38%
Points / game73.074.371.7
Allowed / game76.875.178.4
Point differential-3.8-0.8-6.7
Avg total149.8149.5150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %10%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3226681%86.074.4+11.6
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2923679%86.777.6+9.1
4 Minas2922776%87.182.2+4.9
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano31191261%82.878.5+4.3
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose32191359%82.380.2+2.2
10 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
11 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians30161453%79.581.2-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul31141745%73.076.8-3.8
14 Cruzeiro31112035%79.885.7-5.9
15 Rio Claro32102231%78.386.6-8.3
16 Pato3172423%73.479.8-6.4
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3262619%76.287.5-11.3
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3252716%76.287.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2418211881
Caxias do Sul291692175
← all games of the day
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