Brave Thunders vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 10:05

Final 92-72

21-15 22-15 27-20 22-22

Position#3

Record40-16

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game75.7

Brave Thunders 🏆

Alvark

Position#9

Record32-20

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game77.7

B League

Other2020-21

Meetings · Brave Thunders v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shiga

#13

75-67

H27/03

B League

Shiga

#13

77-71

H28/03

B League

NeoPhoenix

#19

103-74

103

+29

A03/04

B League

NeoPhoenix

#19

87-77

+10

A04/04

B League

Akita

#11

82-55

+27

H10/04

B League

Akita

#11

84-93

-9

H11/04

B League

Chiba

87-85

H17/04

B League

Chiba

80-73

H18/04

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

58-57

A24/04

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

75-67

A25/04

B League

12-17

23-18

17-7

23-25

18-20

17-15

14-16

28-20

29-12

26-16

25-25

23-21

19-16

21-17

27-19

20-25

20-13

24-9

20-23

18-10

22-15

20-27

18-21

24-30

16-19

22-19

27-24

22-23

15-14

23-30

20-11

22-18

14-10

13-16

19-11

12-20

17-17

18-10

24-20

16-20

152.7Avg total

80.8Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (56)	82.5	75.7	158.2	+6.8	71%
Season at home (27)	83.1	75.1	158.3	+8.0	70%
Season away (29)	82.0	76.3	158.2	+5.7	72%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	71.9	152.7	+8.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	75.0	151.8	+1.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	77.3	74.7	152.0	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (21)	85.8	74.4	160.2	+11.3	81%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

#15

84-72

+12

H20/03

B League

Kyoto

#15

89-93

-4

H21/03

B League

Akita

#11

76-62

+14

A24/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

103-96 OT

103

H27/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

79-96

-17

H28/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

70-69

A17/04

B League

Hokkaido

#18

71-70

A18/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

78-82

-4

H21/04

B League

Akita

#11

90-77

+13

H24/04

B League

Akita

#11

93-75

+18

H25/04

B League

17-21

20-16

27-15

20-20

19-15

24-22

19-35

27-21

7-14

22-16

28-10

19-22

14-17

17-21

28-23

23-21

21-25

10-24

20-22

28-25

15-12

18-9

19-14

18-34

25-16

14-21

18-12

23-15

20-12

19-29

16-26

19-16

25-24

25-20

21-17

22-14

23-19

27-27

21-15

162.5Avg total

83.3Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (52)	83.0	77.7	160.8	+5.3	62%
Season at home (28)	84.8	80.8	165.5	+4.0	61%
Season away (24)	81.0	74.1	155.2	+6.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	79.2	162.5	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	74.6	155.0	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.3	74.0	152.3	+4.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	87.8	84.7	172.5	+3.2	54%
vs Weaker (14)	83.5	75.1	158.6	+8.4	79%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brave ThundersAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.3	33.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.6	18.3	38.0	+1.3	52%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	18.5	35.2	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.5	34.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.6	35.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	15.7	30.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	21.1	42.2	+0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.3	16.1	35.4	+3.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.2	37.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	16.5	35.5	+2.6	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.1	16.4	37.5	+4.7	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	19.3	34.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	57%	-

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shiga

#13

35-35

H27/03

B League

Shiga

#13

35-35

H28/03

B League

NeoPhoenix

#19

55-28

+27

A03/04

B League

NeoPhoenix

#19

40-33

A04/04

B League

Akita

#11

44-22

+22

H10/04

B League

Akita

#11

42-42

H11/04

B League

Chiba

38-38

H17/04

B League

Chiba

38-44

-6

H18/04

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

27-26

A24/04

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

35-27

A25/04

B League

71.9Avg total

38.9Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.2	74.6	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.9	35.6	75.5	+4.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.1	34.8	73.9	+4.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	33.0	71.9	+5.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	35.4	71.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.4	36.1	72.6	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.7	34.8	75.5	+6.0	62%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

#15

37-37

H20/03

B League

Kyoto

#15

43-37

H21/03

B League

Akita

#11

29-30

-1

A24/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

31-38

-7

H27/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

31-49

-18

H28/03

B League

Hokkaido

#18

33-21

+12

A17/04

B League

Hokkaido

#18

39-37

A18/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

43-27

+16

H21/04

B League

Akita

#11

44-40

H24/04

B League

Akita

#11

45-33

+12

H25/04

B League

72.4Avg total

37.5Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.7	75.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.1	35.4	71.5	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	34.9	72.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	31.6	72.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.3	35.0	64.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	37.6	34.3	71.9	+3.3	57%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.8	40.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	17.1	38.3	+4.1	78%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.7	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	21.9	44.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.7	17.7	44.3	+9.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.3	44.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.6	21.9	45.6	+1.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	20.5	43.2	+2.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	21.3	43.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.8	22.5	47.2	+2.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.3	83.1	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.7	38.2	80.9	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.6	40.2	84.8	+4.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.9	80.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.9	38.6	79.4	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	45.0	39.7	84.7	+5.4	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.9	43.9	89.8	+2.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	37.2	81.0	+6.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	42.9	86.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.0	82.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	49.0	39.0	88.0	+10.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.7	42.6	87.3	+2.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.4	39.9	84.3	+4.6	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brave Thunders wins

Alvark wins

Date	Game	Score
03/10/20	Alvark v Brave Thunders	52-55
02/10/20	Alvark v Brave Thunders	85-79
01/02/20	Brave Thunders v Alvark	68-72
31/01/20	Brave Thunders v Alvark	86-76
11/11/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	70-87
10/11/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	79-66
21/10/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	66-46
20/10/18	Alvark v Brave Thunders	89-67
31/03/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	89-73
30/03/18	Brave Thunders v Alvark	71-80

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/21	A	Utsunomiya Brex	75-67
24/04/21	A	Utsunomiya Brex	58-57
18/04/21	H	Chiba	80-73
17/04/21	H	Chiba	87-85
11/04/21	H	Akita	84-93
10/04/21	H	Akita	82-55
04/04/21	A	NeoPhoenix	87-77
03/04/21	A	NeoPhoenix	103-74
28/03/21	H	Shiga	77-71
27/03/21	H	Shiga	75-67

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/21	H	Akita	93-75
24/04/21	H	Akita	90-77
21/04/21	H	Yokohama	78-82
18/04/21	A	Hokkaido	71-70
17/04/21	A	Hokkaido	70-69
28/03/21	H	Hokkaido	79-96
27/03/21	H	Hokkaido	103-96 OT
24/03/21	A	Akita	76-62
21/03/21	H	Kyoto	89-93
20/03/21	H	Kyoto	84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders

B League 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	WWWWW	72%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	56	27	29
Win %	71%	70%	72%
Points / game	82.5	83.1	82.0
Allowed / game	75.7	75.1	76.3
Point differential	+6.8	+8.0	+5.7
Avg total	158.2	158.3	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	33%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	79% (14)	75% (8)	83% (6)
Overtime %	4%	4%	3%

Alvark

B League 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WLLWW	61%
Away	LWWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	52	28	24
Win %	62%	61%	62%
Points / game	83.0	84.8	81.0
Allowed / game	77.7	80.8	74.1
Point differential	+5.3	+4.0	+6.9
Avg total	160.8	165.5	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	32%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (15)	50% (10)	40% (5)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Utsunomiya Brex	58	47	11	81%	81.4	71.0	+10.4
2	Ryukyu	51	38	13	75%	83.2	74.7	+8.5
3	Chiba	52	38	14	73%	87.9	77.5	+10.4
4	Brave Thunders	56	40	16	71%	82.5	75.7	+6.8
5	Sun Rockers Shibuya	57	38	19	67%	84.6	80.6	+4.0
6	Toyama	58	37	21	64%	88.9	84.1	+4.8
7	Osaka	48	30	18	62%	83.7	82.1	+1.6
8	Alvark	52	32	20	62%	83.0	77.7	+5.3
9	SeaHorses Mikawa	49	29	20	59%	84.5	80.3	+4.1
10	Diamond Dolphins	54	31	23	57%	81.5	78.6	+2.9
11	Akita	56	28	28	50%	78.0	77.7	+0.3
12	Shimane	56	25	31	45%	77.0	81.5	-4.5
13	Shiga	56	22	34	39%	77.8	81.9	-4.1
14	Kyoto	53	20	33	38%	79.2	81.7	-2.5
15	Shinshu	51	19	32	37%	71.6	74.4	-2.8
16	Niigata	50	15	35	30%	75.7	84.8	-9.1
17	Yokohama	55	16	39	29%	72.6	78.5	-5.9
18	Hokkaido	57	14	43	25%	75.8	83.3	-7.5
19	NeoPhoenix	56	12	44	21%	75.9	87.4	-11.6
20	Hiroshima D.	51	7	44	14%	75.4	87.0	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brave Thunders	21	22	27	22	92
Alvark	15	15	20	22	72

← all games of the day

Brave Thunders vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature