Brave Thunders vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 May 2017

Tip-off: 10:05

Final 84-76

19-22 24-15 22-15 19-24

Position#1

Record51-11

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game75.2

Brave Thunders 🏆

Alvark

Position#4

Record46-16

FormLWWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game73.5

B LeagueB.League - Semi-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Brave Thunders v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toyama

#15

78-63

+15

H15/04

B League

Sun Rockers

87-80

A22/04

B League

Sun Rockers

71-84

-13

A23/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

92-63

+29

H28/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

96-75

+21

H29/04

B League

Toyama

#15

91-70

+21

A03/05

B League

Sun Rockers

93-86 OT

H05/05

B League

Sun Rockers

76-78

-2

H06/05

B League

Sun Rockers

89-75

+14

H13/05

B League

Sun Rockers

98-82

+16

H14/05

B League

18-14

22-7

27-18

11-24

28-8

18-21

21-21

20-30

18-23

26-24

12-15

15-22

24-17

27-18

24-11

17-17

28-20

20-15

25-20

23-20

20-18

29-18

24-11

18-23

25-21

16-22

10-20

25-13

22-25

18-17

18-18

27-26

18-10

18-24

26-15

25-12

26-14

21-35

26-21

162.7Avg total

87.1Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (62)	84.6	75.2	159.8	+9.4	82%
Season at home (32)	86.0	77.4	163.4	+8.7	78%
Season away (30)	83.0	72.9	156.0	+10.1	87%
Last 10 (10)	87.1	75.6	162.7	+11.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	78.2	167.6	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	71.5	89.5	161.0	-18.0	0%
vs Weaker (28)	85.5	74.6	160.1	+10.8	86%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

78-84

-6

H16/04

B League

Hokkaido

#13

82-70

+12

A22/04

B League

Hokkaido

#13

83-61

+22

A23/04

B League

Sendai

#18

79-62

+17

A29/04

B League

Sendai

#18

68-57

+11

A30/04

B League

Tochigi Brex

76-79

-3

H03/05

B League

Akita

#17

83-80

A06/05

B League

Akita

#17

78-52

+26

A07/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

90-75

+15

H13/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

83-74

H14/05

B League

16-22

14-21

22-23

26-18

20-20

19-16

18-18

25-16

21-13

18-19

27-10

17-19

19-20

17-8

28-16

15-18

15-4

24-15

12-24

17-14

14-21

23-24

13-17

26-17

17-20

27-23

16-17

23-20

17-10

14-9

27-12

20-21

26-15

16-24

22-16

26-20

20-23

14-15

17-9

32-27

149.4Avg total

80.0Scored

69.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (62)	81.6	73.5	155.1	+8.1	74%
Season at home (32)	79.3	72.2	151.5	+7.2	69%
Season away (30)	84.0	74.9	158.9	+9.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	69.4	149.4	+10.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	72.0	154.0	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	75.6	78.8	154.4	-3.1	12%
vs Weaker (22)	79.8	68.9	148.6	+10.9	86%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brave ThundersAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	16.2	36.2	+3.7	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.4	41.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	16.5	35.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	15.7	35.5	+4.1	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.2	37.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	17.9	35.2	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	16.4	35.1	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	59%	-

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Toyama

#15

40-21

+19

H15/04

B League

Sun Rockers

46-29

+17

A22/04

B League

Sun Rockers

44-47

-3

A23/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

51-35

+16

H28/04

B League

Yokohama

#16

48-35

+13

H29/04

B League

Toyama

#15

49-36

+13

A03/05

B League

Sun Rockers

41-43

-2

H05/05

B League

Sun Rockers

40-42

-2

H06/05

B League

Sun Rockers

45-36

H13/05

B League

Sun Rockers

51-26

+25

H14/05

B League

80.5Avg total

45.5Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	35.1	76.1	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.8	35.2	77.1	+6.6	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.7	34.9	74.6	+4.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	36.6	81.8	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	34.5	49.0	83.5	-14.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	41.4	34.1	75.5	+7.3	71%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

30-43

-13

H16/04

B League

Hokkaido

#13

39-36

A22/04

B League

Hokkaido

#13

39-32

A23/04

B League

Sendai

#18

36-28

A29/04

B League

Sendai

#18

39-19

+20

A30/04

B League

Tochigi Brex

37-45

-8

H03/05

B League

Akita

#17

44-43

A06/05

B League

Akita

#17

31-19

+12

A07/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

42-39

H13/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

34-38

-4

H14/05

B League

71.3Avg total

37.1Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	34.6	72.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	36.1	73.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	32.9	70.9	+5.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	34.2	71.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.8	74.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	37.6	32.8	70.5	+4.8	68%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.6	39.3	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	14.8	36.2	+6.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	16.1	34.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	14.2	33.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.2	21.6	41.7	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	23.1	44.8	-1.3	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (28)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.5	32%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.0	46.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.2	37.8	81.1	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.6	79.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (28)	42.8	39.8	82.6	+3.1	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	34.9	73.9	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	37.2	79.6	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	35.2	78.1	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	35.2	79.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.8	35.5	77.3	+6.3	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brave Thunders wins

Alvark wins

Date	Game	Score
24/12/16	Brave Thunders v Alvark	92-106
23/12/16	Brave Thunders v Alvark	93-81
02/05/15	Brave Thunders v Alvark	75-85
25/01/15	Brave Thunders v Alvark	84-80
24/01/15	Brave Thunders v Alvark	84-72
16/11/14	Alvark v Brave Thunders	53-69
15/11/14	Alvark v Brave Thunders	103-78
11/05/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	86-71
10/05/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	78-61
26/04/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	59-95

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/17	H	Sun Rockers	98-82
13/05/17	H	Sun Rockers	89-75
06/05/17	H	Sun Rockers	76-78
05/05/17	H	Sun Rockers	93-86 OT
03/05/17	A	Toyama	91-70
29/04/17	H	Yokohama	96-75
28/04/17	H	Yokohama	92-63
23/04/17	A	Sun Rockers	71-84
22/04/17	A	Sun Rockers	87-80
15/04/17	H	Toyama	78-63

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/17	H	NeoPhoenix	83-74
13/05/17	H	NeoPhoenix	90-75
07/05/17	A	Akita	78-52
06/05/17	A	Akita	83-80
03/05/17	H	Tochigi Brex	76-79
30/04/17	A	Sendai	68-57
29/04/17	A	Sendai	79-62
23/04/17	A	Hokkaido	83-61
22/04/17	A	Hokkaido	82-70
16/04/17	H	Chiba	78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders

B League 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWLWW	78%
Away	WWWLW	87%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	62	32	30
Win %	82%	78%	87%
Points / game	84.6	86.0	83.0
Allowed / game	75.2	77.4	72.9
Point differential	+9.4	+8.7	+10.1
Avg total	159.8	163.4	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	56%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (14)	57% (7)	86% (7)
Overtime %	3%	3%	3%

Alvark

B League 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	74%
Home	LLLWW	69%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	62	32	30
Win %	74%	69%	80%
Points / game	81.6	79.3	84.0
Allowed / game	73.5	72.2	74.9
Point differential	+8.1	+7.2	+9.0
Avg total	155.1	151.5	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	31%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	63% (19)	55% (11)	75% (8)
Overtime %	5%	6%	3%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	62	51	11	82%	84.6	75.2	+9.4
2	Tochigi Brex	62	48	14	77%	80.4	69.9	+10.5
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	62	48	14	77%	82.1	74.1	+8.1
4	Alvark	62	46	16	74%	81.6	73.5	+8.1
5	Chiba	62	44	18	71%	81.9	74.4	+7.5
6	NeoPhoenix	62	33	29	53%	76.3	75.8	+0.5
7	Sun Rockers	62	32	30	52%	74.9	73.9	+1.0
8	Ryukyu	62	29	33	47%	75.5	77.1	-1.5
9	Osaka	60	28	32	47%	74.4	76.5	-2.1
10	Diamond Dolphins	60	27	33	45%	77.3	77.2	+0.1
11	Niigata	60	27	33	45%	77.8	81.1	-3.2
12	Kyoto	60	25	35	42%	74.8	77.0	-2.2
13	Hokkaido	60	23	37	38%	73.7	78.8	-5.1
14	Shiga	60	21	39	35%	74.5	79.0	-4.5
15	Toyama	62	20	42	32%	76.1	81.2	-5.1
16	Akita	62	18	44	29%	69.6	73.4	-3.8
17	Yokohama	62	18	44	29%	72.0	77.9	-5.9
18	Sendai	62	14	48	23%	67.7	79.9	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brave Thunders	19	24	22	19	84
Alvark	22	15	15	24	76

← all games of the day

Brave Thunders vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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